Telia Company AB (TELIA) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · SE · Market cap 182B SEK (≈ $19.0B) · ISIN SE0000667925
What is Telia Company AB really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 127% above our fair value of kr 19.55.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +3.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 24.44). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 11.33 to kr 24.44) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 17.75 – kr 51.68 · fair‑value band kr 11.33 – kr 24.44 · the kr 44.37 price screens above the kr 19.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Telia Company AB (TELIA) currently trades at kr 44.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 19.55, implying the stock looks roughly 127.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of kr 24.62 per share, and 3 of the 22 models we run sit above the kr 44.37 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at kr 7.39, and 19 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Telia Company AB generated revenue of 80.9B SEK at a net margin of 5.8%. Revenue declined 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.1%. Net debt stands at 90.4B SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 11.33 (bear case) to kr 24.44 (bull case); at kr 44.37, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 30% fair-value upside, at −56%, TELIA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (kr 24.62) versus Earnings-Based (kr 7.39). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Telia Company AB (publ) provides communication services to businesses, individuals, families, and communities in Sweden, Finland, Norway, Denmark, Lithuania, Estonia, and Latvia.
Full company description
Telia Company AB (publ) provides communication services to businesses, individuals, families, and communities in Sweden, Finland, Norway, Denmark, Lithuania, Estonia, and Latvia. It offers mobile, broadband, television, and fixed-line services; and networking, cloud and security, mobility, enterprise mobile network, contact center, managed mobility services, collaboration solutions, and telephony. The company also offers Internet of Things (IoT), broadband services via mobile network and fiber, LAN and WiFi, SD-WAN, mobile LAN, dedicated private networks, and data analysis services, as well as colocation solutions. In addition, it provides smart public transport, and smart utilities, as well as transport and logistics solutions comprising connected vehicle, GPS positioning, and fleet management services. It also provides data communication and security solutions to individuals and companies. The company markets its products and services under the Telia, Telia Cygate, TV4, Halebop, Fello, MTV, Phonero, Onecall, MyCall, Ezys, and Diil brand names for transport and logistics, forestry, healthcare and community, agriculture, and energy and mining, as well as manufacturing industries. Telia Company AB (publ) was formerly known as TeliaSonera AB (publ) and changed its name to Telia Company AB (publ) in April 2016. The company was founded in 1853 and is based in Solna, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Telia Company AB reported revenue of 81.0B SEK in FY2025 versus 88.3B SEK in FY2021, a compound −2.2%/yr. Reported net income was 3.5B SEK in FY2025, compounding −26.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −0.5 % · buybacks/dilution +1.1 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
TELIA screens 127% overvalued. Compare with China Mobile Limited →
Peer Group
Telecom Services · 248 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Mobile Limited 600941 | ¥96.11 | ¥109.88 | +14% |
| T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS | $177.75 | $172.67 | −3% |
| Verizon Communications Inc VZ | $49.43 | $64.43 | +30% |
| AT&T Inc T | $26.01 | $43.97 | +69% |
| Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL | ₹1,935 | ₹941.48 | −51% |
| Comcast Corporation CMCSA | $26.41 | $95.42 | +261% |
| China Telecom Corporation 601728 | ¥6.43 | ¥8.36 | +30% |
| América Móvil, S.A. AMX | $23.50 | $39.45 | +68% |
| Singapore Telecommunications Limited Z77 | 4.29 SGD | 3.03 SGD | −29% |
| Swisscom AG SCMN | CHF 627.50 | CHF 463.92 | −26% |
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