Sinch AB (SINCH) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · SE · Market cap 27.8B SEK (≈ $2.9B) · ISIN SE0016101844
What is Sinch AB really worth?
A solid business, but trading 239% above our fair value of kr 13.09.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price +7.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 19.73). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (kr 6.45 to kr 19.73). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 14.07 – kr 201.70 · fair‑value band kr 6.45 – kr 19.73 · the kr 44.42 price screens above the kr 13.09 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
Analysis
Sinch AB (SINCH) currently trades at kr 44.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 13.09, implying the stock looks roughly 239.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 45.64 per share, and 7 of the 24 models we run sit above the kr 44.42 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at kr 6.80, and 17 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Sinch AB generated revenue of 27.0B SEK at a net margin of 1.4%. Revenue declined 7.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.5%. Net debt stands at 6.4B SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 6.45 (bear case) to kr 19.73 (bull case); at kr 44.42, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 135% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 30% fair-value upside, at −71%, SINCH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly kr 0.3113 per share, which is 2.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 45.64) versus Multiples (kr 6.80). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Sinch AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, provides cloud communication services and digital customer engagement channels to the enterprise sector. The company offers email, messaging, verification, voice, numbers, and other APIs, as well as chatbot builder, contact center, and other applications; and channels and core systems.
Full company description
Sinch AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, provides cloud communication services and digital customer engagement channels to the enterprise sector. The company offers email, messaging, verification, voice, numbers, and other APIs, as well as chatbot builder, contact center, and other applications; and channels and core systems. It also provides solutions for marketing campaigns, customer updates and services, identity and verifications, operations, and security and risk. The company serves various industries, including financial services, healthcare, media and entertainment, retail, telecommunications, and travel and transport. It operates in Sweden, the Netherlands, France, the United Kingdom, Germany, Brazil, India, Australia, Singapore, the United States, and internationally. Sinch AB (publ) was formerly known as CLX Communications AB (publ) and changed its name to Sinch AB (publ) in July 2019. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sinch AB reported revenue of 27.1B SEK in FY2025 versus 16.2B SEK in FY2021, a compound +13.7%/yr. Reported net income was 217M SEK in FY2025, compounding −30.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +42.3 % · buybacks/dilution −8.2 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
SINCH screens 239% overvalued. Compare with China Mobile Limited →
Peer Group
Telecom Services · 248 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Mobile Limited 600941 | ¥96.11 | ¥109.88 | +14% |
| T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS | $177.75 | $172.67 | −3% |
| Verizon Communications Inc VZ | $49.43 | $64.43 | +30% |
| AT&T Inc T | $26.01 | $43.97 | +69% |
| Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL | ₹1,935 | ₹941.48 | −51% |
| Comcast Corporation CMCSA | $26.41 | $95.42 | +261% |
| China Telecom Corporation 601728 | ¥6.43 | ¥8.36 | +30% |
| América Móvil, S.A. AMX | $23.50 | $39.45 | +68% |
| Singapore Telecommunications Limited Z77 | 4.29 SGD | 3.03 SGD | −29% |
| Swisscom AG SCMN | CHF 627.50 | CHF 463.92 | −26% |
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