Sinch AB (SINCH) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · SE · Market cap 27.8B SEK
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from kr 6.80 to kr 13.09 (+92.5%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price +8.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 69% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 19.73). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (kr 6.45 to kr 19.73). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 14.07 – kr 201.70 · fair‑value band kr 6.45 – kr 19.73 · the kr 42.63 price screens above the kr 13.09 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Sinch AB (SINCH) currently trades at kr 42.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 13.09, implying the stock looks roughly 69.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Sinch AB generated revenue of 27.0B SEK at a net margin of 1.4%. Revenue declined 7.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.5%. Net debt stands at 6.4B SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 6.45 (bear case) to kr 19.73 (bull case); at kr 42.63, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 126% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 30% fair-value upside, at -69%, SINCH screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 45.64) versus Multiples (kr 6.80). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sinch AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, provides cloud communication services and digital customer engagement channels to the enterprise sector. The company offers email, messaging, verification, voice, numbers, and other APIs, as well as chatbot builder, contact center, and other applications; and channels and core systems.
Full company description
Sinch AB (publ), together with its subsidiaries, provides cloud communication services and digital customer engagement channels to the enterprise sector. The company offers email, messaging, verification, voice, numbers, and other APIs, as well as chatbot builder, contact center, and other applications; and channels and core systems. It also provides solutions for marketing campaigns, customer updates and services, identity and verifications, operations, and security and risk. The company serves various industries, including financial services, healthcare, media and entertainment, retail, telecommunications, and travel and transport. It operates in Sweden, the Netherlands, France, the United Kingdom, Germany, Brazil, India, Australia, Singapore, the United States, and internationally. Sinch AB (publ) was formerly known as CLX Communications AB (publ) and changed its name to Sinch AB (publ) in July 2019. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sinch AB reported revenue of kr 27.1B in FY2025 versus kr 16.2B in FY2021, a compound +13.7%/yr. Reported net income was kr 217M in FY2025, compounding −30.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +42.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −11.7 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
SINCH screens 69% overvalued. Compare with China Mobile Limited →
Peer Group
Telecom Services · 253 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Mobile Limited 600941 | ¥96.11 | ¥109.88 | +14% |
| Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL | ₹1,945 | ₹941.55 | -52% |
| China Telecom Corporation 601728 | ¥6.43 | ¥8.36 | +30% |
| América Móvil, S.A. AMXB | 23.07 MXN | 30.35 MXN | +32% |
| Vodafone Group VODN | 259.50 MXN | 494.99 MXN | +91% |
| Advanced Info Service Public Company ADVANC | 374.00 THB | 286.77 THB | -23% |
| Chunghwa Telecom Co 2412 | 136.00 TWD | 100.00 TWD | -26% |
| Telefónica, S.A TEFN | 75.67 MXN | 108.96 MXN | +44% |
| TLKM TLKM | 2,590 IDR | 3,898 IDR | +50% |
| PT Indoritel Makmur Internasional Tbk., DNET | 9,500 IDR | 1,503 IDR | -84% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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