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Shinhan Financial Group (SHG) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $31.2B

SF Shinhan Financial Group logo Shinhan Financial Group SHG · US
Price$74.82
Fair Value$98.23
Upside+31.3%
Quality59/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 32.0% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
2.83% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/12)
Moderate moat 64/100
Evidence: High Range $73.67 – $122.78 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $93.88 to $98.23 (+4.6%) since Jul 27, 2026. Share price +5.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 31% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$75.81 $19.37 Fair Value $98.23 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $19.37 – $75.81 · fair‑value band $73.67 – $122.78 · the $74.82 price screens below the $98.23 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Shinhan Financial Group (SHG) currently trades at $74.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $98.23, implying the stock looks roughly 31.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Shinhan Financial Group generated revenue of $16.0T at a net margin of 32.0%. Revenue grew 6.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.6%. Net debt stands at $133T. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $73.67 (bear case) to $122.78 (bull case); at $74.82, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 75% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 64% fair-value upside, at 31%, SHG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $97,041 $106,822 $166,730 76
Gordon GGM $17.75 $36.91 $58.55 70
P/E Multiple $102,944 $137,259 $171,574 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $17.75 $36.91 $58.55 70
DDM Multi-Stage $17.75 $31.12 $38.74 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $102,944 $137,259 $171,574 63
P/B Multiple $118,649 $158,199 $197,748 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $56,500 $75,709 $112,999 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $97,041 $106,822 $166,730 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($137,259) versus Dividend Discount ($31.12). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $16.0T
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.6%
Net margin 32.0%
Return on equity 8.6%
Free cash flow $9.1T FY2025
P/E ratio 11.2
More key figures
Operating margin 51.5%
EPS (TTM) $6.68
Dividend yield 2.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +14.0%
Net debt $133T FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 9
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 94
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 95
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd. provides financial products and services in South Korea, Vietnam, and Japan. The company operates in six segments: Banking, Credit card, Securities, Insurance, Credit, and Others.

Full company description

Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd. provides financial products and services in South Korea, Vietnam, and Japan. The company operates in six segments: Banking, Credit card, Securities, Insurance, Credit, and Others. It offers credit, lending and receiving deposits; credit cards, short-term and long-term card loan services, installment financing, and leases; securities trading, consignment trading, and underwriting; life and non-life insurance business; facility rental and new technology business financing; and real estate trust, investment advisory services, venture business investment, and other businesses. Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1982 and is based in Seoul, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shinhan Financial Group reported revenue of $34.7T in FY2025 versus $25.8T in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was $5.0T in FY2025, compounding +5.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 71/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$34.7T
Latest YoY
−2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.2%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.2%
Revenue +7.7%/yr
FY21 $25.8T
FY22 $24.6T
FY23 $33.8T
FY24 $35.4T
FY25 $34.7T
Net income +5.5%/yr
FY21 $4.0T
FY22 $4.7T
FY23 $4.4T
FY24 $4.5T
FY25 $5.0T
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +6.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +10.4 pp

of which total revenue +11.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.8 pp

EBIT margin −11.9 pp
Tax rate −1.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +9.1 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shinhan Financial Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SHG

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1086 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +31% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 32% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 51% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 2.48× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.2× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 5.10× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 75 · sector 33
FUTURE 33 · sector 44
PAST 35 · sector 41
HEALTH 0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 57 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,350 IDR 4,637 IDR -27%
KB Financial Group 105560 168,100 KRW 220,258 KRW +31%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 3,110 IDR 3,792 IDR +22%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,130 IDR 6,067 IDR +47%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 8,400 ARS +64%
Hana Financial Group 086790 127,900 KRW 210,506 KRW +65%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,500 VND 45,959 VND -23%
Woori Financial Group 316140 33,000 KRW 60,758 KRW +84%
PT Bank Negara Indonesia (Persero) Tbk, BBNI 3,580 IDR 6,702 IDR +87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shinhan Financial Group (SHG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $98.23 versus a price of $74.82, about +31% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SHG?
Our model-based fair value for Shinhan Financial Group is $98.23 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $74.82.
What is the quality score of SHG?
Shinhan Financial Group has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shinhan Financial Group (SHG)?
Shinhan Financial Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $16.0T (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SHG?
The net profit margin of Shinhan Financial Group is about 32.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 32.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shinhan Financial Group pay a dividend?
Shinhan Financial Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.83% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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