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Sotera Health Co (SHC) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $5.3B · ISIN US83601L1026

What is Sotera Health Co really worth?

SH Sotera Health Co logo Sotera Health Co SHC · US
Price$19.03
Fair Value$4.57
Upside−76.0%
Quality50/100

A solid business, but trading 316% above our fair value of $4.57.

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Strengths

Wide moat 71/100

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +7.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.9% net margin
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Medium Range $2.43 – $6.95

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $4.69 to $4.57 (−2.6%) since Jul 13, 2026. Share price +5.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($6.95). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($2.43 to $6.95). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$27.28 $5.95 Fair Value $4.57 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.95 – $27.28 · fair‑value band $2.43 – $6.95 · the $19.03 price screens above the $4.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Sotera Health Co (SHC) currently trades at $19.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.57, implying the stock looks roughly 316.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $6.00 per share, and 1 of the 23 models we run sit above the $19.03 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.42, and 22 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sotera Health Co generated revenue of $1.2B at a net margin of 9.9%. Revenue grew 10.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 22.7%. Net debt stands at $1.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.43 (bear case) to $6.95 (bull case); at $19.03, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 76% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −54% fair-value upside, at −76%, SHC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.2775 per share, which is 6.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $2.09 $6.09 77
Growth DCF $1.88 $5.23 75
Owner Earnings $0.0900 73
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $2.09 $6.09 77
Owner Earnings $0.0900 73
5Y Revenue Exit $0.9500 $5.55 $11.42 66
5Y EBITDA Exit $6.75 $16.27 $27.37 72
5Y P/E Exit $0.7000 $3.14 68
10Y Revenue Exit $0.0300 $4.01 $9.31 58
10Y EBITDA Exit $3.87 $11.24 $21.08 64
10Y P/E Exit $0.7400 $3.20 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.86 $5.46 $7.22 65
Lynch FV $1.14 $1.63 $2.12 61
PEG = 1.0 $1.14 $1.63 $2.12 57
EPV $4.06 $5.69 $7.09 73
Multiples
P/E Multiple $4.51 $6.01 $7.52 63
P/S Multiple $3.49 $4.65 $5.81 58
P/B Multiple $3.49 $4.65 $5.81 55
EV/EBIT $11.32 $17.17 $23.03 65
EV/EBITDA $13.25 $19.75 $26.25 66
EV/Revenue $2.33 $6.00 $9.67 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.06 $1.42 $2.13 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.88 $5.23 75
Rev-Margin DCF $0.9500 $5.53 $10.69 66
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.98 $2.38 $4.87 72
ROIC Compounder $4.45 $7.07 $10.19 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $3.64 $5.20 $6.76 67

Widest divergence: Multiples ($6.00) versus Asset-Based ($1.42). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 46.4
P/S ratio 3.11 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.4100 price ÷ EPS = P/E 46.4
Net margin 6.7% FY2025
Return on equity 22.7% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 9.5% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 31.3% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.2B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.0% 3y avg +5.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +175%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $149M FY2025
Net debt $1.9B FY2025 · ≈ 12.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 21
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 46
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 36
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 75
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Sotera Health Company provides sterilization solutions, lab testing, and advisory services for the healthcare industry in the United States, Canada, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Sterigenics, Nordion, and Nelson Labs.

Full company description

Sotera Health Company provides sterilization solutions, lab testing, and advisory services for the healthcare industry in the United States, Canada, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Sterigenics, Nordion, and Nelson Labs. The Sterigenics segment offers outsourced terminal sterilization and irradiation services using gamma irradiation, ethylene oxide processing, and electron beam irradiation technologies for medical devices, pharmaceutical, and food safety and advanced applications markets. The Nordion segment provides Cobalt-60 used in the sterilization and irradiation processes for the medical device, pharmaceutical, food safety, and high-performance materials industries, as well as in the treatment of cancer. It also offers gamma irradiation systems. The Nelson Labs segment provides outsourced microbiological and analytical chemistry testing and advisory services for the medical device and pharmaceutical industries. The company was formerly known as Sotera Health Topco, Inc. and changed its name to Sotera Health Company in October 2020. Sotera Health Company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Broadview Heights, Ohio.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sotera Health Co reported revenue of $1.2B in FY2025 versus $931M in FY2021, a compound +5.7%/yr. Reported net income was $77.9M in FY2025, compounding −9.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.2B
Latest YoY
+5.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.6%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−8.2% (−8.2 + 0.0)
Revenue +5.7%/yr
FY21 $931M
FY22 $1.0B
FY23 $1.0B
FY24 $1.1B
FY25 $1.2B
Net income −9.6%/yr
FY21 $117M
FY22 −$234M
FY23 $51.4M
FY24 $44.4M
FY25 $77.9M

SHC screens 316% overvalued. Compare with Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sotera Health Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SHC

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Diagnostics & Research · 130 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside −76% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 31% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Debt / equity 3.51× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Diagnostics & Research median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 46.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 8.67× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.42× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 35.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 12.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.68× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE50 · sector 30
PAST91 · sector 12
HEALTH0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND0 · sector 20

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Diagnostics & Research stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc TMO $630.70 $308.19 −51%
Danaher Corporation DHR $215.68 $103.88 −52%
WuXi AppTec Co 2359 HK$189.30 HK$150.16 −21%
Lonza Group LONN CHF 576.60 CHF 259.80 −55%
IDEXX Laboratories, Inc IDXX $556.69 $255.77 −54%
Agilent Technologies, Inc A $149.93 $61.53 −59%
Waters Corporation WAT $416.15 $121.96 −71%
IQVIA Holdings IQV $236.66 $132.17 −44%
Illumina, Inc ILMN $215.59 $95.51 −56%
Mettler-Toledo International Inc MTD $1,419 $615.78 −57%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sotera Health Co (SHC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.57 versus a price of $19.03, about −76% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SHC?
Our model-based fair value for Sotera Health Co is $4.57 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $19.03.
What is the quality score of SHC?
Sotera Health Co has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sotera Health Co (SHC)?
Sotera Health Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SHC?
The net profit margin of Sotera Health Co is about 9.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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