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Shionogi & Co Ltd ADR (SGIOY) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $14.8B · ISIN US8246671098

What is Shionogi & Co Ltd ADR really worth?

SC Shionogi & Co Ltd ADR logo Shionogi & Co Ltd ADR SGIOY · US
Price$9.53
Fair Value$13.76
Upside+44.4%
Quality62/100

A solid business, trading 31% below our fair value of $13.76.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +12.3 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 41.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/11)

Risks

!Moderate moat 51/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·2.50% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range $10.52 – $19.33

Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Sep 3, 2026, revised from $13.98 to $13.76 (−1.6%) since Aug 27, 2026. Share price +8.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($10.52). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($10.52 to $19.33) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$11.48 $5.89 Fair Value $13.76 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.89 – $11.48 · fair‑value band $10.52 – $19.33 · the $9.53 price screens below the $13.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

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Analysis

Shionogi & Co Ltd ADR (SGIOY) currently trades at $9.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.76, implying the stock looks roughly 30.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $14.55 per share, and 16 of the 23 models we run sit above the $9.53 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $4.31, and 7 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Shionogi & Co Ltd ADR generated revenue of $500B at a net margin of 41.1%. Revenue grew 32.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $27.1B. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $10.52 (bear case) to $19.33 (bull case); at $9.53, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at 44%, SGIOY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $11.20 $14.87 $20.07 81
Growth DCF $11.46 $14.89 $19.56 80
Owner Earnings $11.99 $16.01 $21.69 77
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $11.20 $14.87 $20.07 81
Owner Earnings $11.99 $16.01 $21.69 77
5Y Revenue Exit $8.32 $10.51 $13.13 74
5Y EBITDA Exit $10.23 $13.89 $17.92 76
5Y P/E Exit $13.38 $19.45 $25.48 71
10Y Revenue Exit $9.21 $11.35 $13.89 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $10.52 $13.63 $17.36 70
10Y P/E Exit $12.48 $17.38 $22.84 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $5.62 $12.73 $16.30 65
PEG = 1.0 $2.10 $3.00 $3.90 57
EPV $7.64 $8.46 $9.17 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $13.63 $18.17 $22.72 63
P/S Multiple $5.28 $7.04 $8.80 58
P/B Multiple $10.53 $14.04 $17.55 55
EV/EBIT $11.00 $13.76 $16.52 66
EV/EBITDA $10.68 $13.33 $15.99 67
EV/Revenue $6.94 $8.75 $10.56 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.21 $4.31 $6.43 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $11.46 $14.89 $19.56 80
Rev-Margin DCF $8.32 $10.65 $13.16 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $6.09 $7.42 $16.21 65
ROIC Compounder $7.78 $8.93 $10.22 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $10.18 $14.55 $18.91 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($14.55) versus Asset-Based ($4.31). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 12.7
P/S ratio 5.22 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.7500 price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.7
Dividend yield 2.5% payout 31.8%
Net margin 41.1% FY2026
Return on equity 13.5% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 10.2% avg 5y
Operating margin −18.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $500B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +32.8% 3y avg +7.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +47.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $211B FY2026
Net cash $27.1B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 83
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 39
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 48
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Shionogi & Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, manufacture, and distribution of pharmaceuticals, diagnostic reagents, and medical devices in Japan and internationally.

Full company description

Shionogi & Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, manufacture, and distribution of pharmaceuticals, diagnostic reagents, and medical devices in Japan and internationally. It is also involved in consumer healthcare business; manufacturing, sale, analytical testing, and pharmaceutical engineering of medicinal drugs and investigational drugs; contracted monitoring of epidemiological components in sewage; promotion of implementation in social infrastructure; and business related to providing data and information; develops and sells foothold; and research and development of mucosal vaccines. In addition, the company provides contract support services for experimental research; contract testing of agricultural production materials; solutions for education and healthcare, system development, human resource development, and training business; marketing support services; and IT services for medical and healthcare-related issues. The company was formerly known as Shionogi Shoten Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shionogi & Co., Ltd. in 1943. The company was founded in 1878 and is headquartered in Kita, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Shionogi & Co Ltd ADR reported revenue of ¥530B in FY2026 versus ¥335B in FY2022, a compound +12.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥218B in FY2026, compounding +17.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 96/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$530B
Latest YoY
+20.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (28Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in JPY) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+17.7% (15.2 + 2.5)
Revenue +12.1%/yr
FY22 ¥335B
FY23 ¥427B
FY24 ¥435B
FY25 ¥438B
FY26 ¥530B
Net income +17.5%/yr
FY22 ¥114B
FY23 ¥185B
FY24 ¥162B
FY25 ¥170B
FY26 ¥218B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +14.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.5 %

of which total revenue +4.8 % · buybacks/dilution +1.6 %

EBIT margin +3.1 %
Tax rate +3.0 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.8 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shionogi & Co Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SGIOY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 608 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside +44% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 41% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −19% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 33% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE93 · sector 2
FUTURE100 · sector 22
PAST54 · sector 26
HEALTH100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND50 · sector 29

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Merck KGaA MRK €140.25 €106.48 −24%
Takeda Pharmaceutical Company TAK $18.03 $11.11 −38%
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.76 ¥25.94 −52%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,944 ₹989.50 −49%
Galderma Group GALD CHF 178.55 CHF 55.07 −69%
Haleon plc HLN $10.11 $7.64 −24%
Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited TEVA $36.05 $15.33 −57%
Sandoz Group SDZ CHF 70.66 CHF 39.21 −45%
Zoetis Inc ZTS $77.10 $104.88 +36%
Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group 3692 HK$35.12 HK$16.18 −54%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shionogi & Co Ltd ADR (SGIOY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.76 versus a price of $9.53, about +44% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SGIOY?
Our model-based fair value for Shionogi & Co Ltd ADR is $13.76 (as of Sep 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $9.53.
What is the quality score of SGIOY?
Shionogi & Co Ltd ADR has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shionogi & Co Ltd ADR (SGIOY)?
Shionogi & Co Ltd ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $500B (latest available figure, as of Sep 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SGIOY?
The net profit margin of Shionogi & Co Ltd ADR is about 41.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 41.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shionogi & Co Ltd ADR pay a dividend?
Shionogi & Co Ltd ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.50% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 3, 2026).
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