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Softbank Group Corp. (SFTBF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Softbank Group Corp. is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Communication Services · US · ISIN JP3436100006

SG Softbank Group Corp. logo Some data Sep 17, 2026

Softbank Group Corp.

SFTBF · US

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value $124.37 · Strongly undervalued (+186%)
!Quality 24/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +6.9 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 64.1% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
·0.76% dividend yield
!Trails peers (5/14)
!Moderate moat 57/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 15 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$175.54 $21.39 Fair Value $124.37 Feb 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $21.39 – $175.54 · fair‑value band $90.75 – $155.46 · the $43.50 price screens below the $124.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 17, 2026.

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Company profile

SoftBank Group Corp. provides telecommunication services in Japan and internationally. It operates through Investment Business of Holding Companies, SoftBank Vision Funds, SoftBank, Arm, and Other segments.

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SoftBank Group Corp. provides telecommunication services in Japan and internationally. It operates through Investment Business of Holding Companies, SoftBank Vision Funds, SoftBank, Arm, and Other segments. The company offers mobile communications and solutions to enterprise customers, and broadband services to retail customers; and sells mobile devices and software tools, as well as related services. It also provides online advertising and e-commerce services; payment and financial services; information and communication technology services products to enterprise customers; and communication device-related products and Internet of Things equipment to retail customers. In addition, the company engages in the design of microprocessor intellectual property and related technology; alternative investment management; ownership of professional baseball team; operation of baseball games; management and maintenance of baseball stadium and other sports facilities; and distribution of video, voice, and data content via media businesses. Further, it is involved in the certification services, security solutions, and Linux/OSS businesses; operation of comprehensive IT information site ITmedia; internet advertising agency business; sale of indirect materials, such as consumable supplies; facility management; operation of StoreMatch, an online advertising distribution service; planning and operation of fashion e-commerce website; operational support of brands' own e-commerce website; operation of fashion coordination app; banking; mail order sale of stationery and services; and provision of autonomous forklifts. The company was formerly known as SoftBank Corp. and changed its name to SoftBank Group Corp. in July 2015. SoftBank Group Corp. was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Stock analysis

Softbank Group Corp. (SFTBF) currently trades at $43.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $124.37, implying the stock looks roughly 65.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $163.31 per share, and 9 of the 13 models we run sit above the $43.50 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $23.26, and 4 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $90.75 (bear) to $155.46 (bull), the price of $43.50 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Softbank Group Corp. reported revenue of ¥7.8T in FY2026 versus ¥6.2T in FY2022, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥5.0T in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap $248B · P/E ratio 8.0 · P/S ratio 5.16 · EPS (TTM) $5.41 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 64.1% · Return on equity 32.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 76% below its 52-week high and 111% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at 186%, SFTBF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $90.75 Fair Value $124.37 Bull $155.46
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.43 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings $90.78 $162.44 $282.70 74
Growth-Adj P/E $114.32 $163.31 $212.30 67
DDM Multi-Stage $1.21 $2.16 $2.74 66
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $90.78 $162.44 $282.70 74
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $67.76 $247.86 $334.55 64
Lynch FV $59.08 $84.40 $109.72 61
PEG = 1.0 $59.08 $84.40 $109.72 57
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.21 $2.63 $4.43 65
DDM Multi-Stage $1.21 $2.16 $2.74 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $164.42 $219.22 $274.03 63
P/S Multiple $40.78 $54.37 $67.97 58
P/B Multiple $91.13 $121.51 $151.89 55
EV/EBITDA $2.57 $8.03 $13.49 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $17.36 $23.26 $34.72 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $79.70 $124.37 $1,440 64
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $114.32 $163.31 $212.30 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 24/100

Of which business quality 24 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 28
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 14
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 31
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 45/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.9%
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−18.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−19.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−20% vs 12%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 0%

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Recent news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (98 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Telecom Services · 255 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 24 · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 33% · Top 25%
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 64% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −20% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.71× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.0× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 2.28× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 5.12× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 50.5× · Priciest 25%
PEG 1,235.70× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)36 · sector 15
PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)65 · sector 88
DIVIDEND (yield)15 · sector 78

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Mobile Limited 600941 ¥97.72 ¥102.17 +5%
T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS $180.47 $270.48 +50%
Verizon Communications Inc VZ $51.45 $64.43 +25%
AT&T Inc T $26.72 $43.97 +65%
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,832 ₹1,883 +3%
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.26 ¥8.36 +34%
América Móvil, S.A. AMX $22.98 $39.05 +70%
Singapore Telecommunications Limited Z77 4.50 SGD 1.91 SGD −58%
Swisscom AG SCMN CHF 673.00 CHF 463.92 −31%
Telstra Group TLS A$4.87 A$3.31 −32%

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Softbank Group Corp. · Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Softbank Group Corp. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SFTBF

Frequently asked questions

Is Softbank Group Corp. (SFTBF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $124.37 versus a price of $43.50, about +186% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SFTBF?
Our model-based fair value for Softbank Group Corp. is $124.37 (as of Sep 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $43.50.
What is the quality score of SFTBF?
Softbank Group Corp. has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Softbank Group Corp. (SFTBF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $124.37 (as of Sep 17, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario $90.75, optimistic scenario $155.46. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Softbank Group Corp. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $124.37, about +186% upside versus a price of $43.50 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $90.75, optimistic scenario $155.46. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Softbank Group Corp. (SFTBF)?
Softbank Group Corp. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥7.8T (latest available figure, as of Sep 17, 2026).
Does Softbank Group Corp. pay a dividend?
Softbank Group Corp. currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.76% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 17, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Softbank Group Corp. (SFTBF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Softbank Group Corp. it is $124.37 per share (as of Sep 17, 2026), against a price of $43.50. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Softbank Group Corp. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 17, 2026, SFTBF trades below its calculated fair value: price $43.50, fair value $124.37, a gap of about +186% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SFTBF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($43.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($124.37). For Softbank Group Corp. the two are $80.87 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Softbank Group Corp. worth?
The market values Softbank Group Corp. at about $248B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 17, 2026). Per share that is $43.50; our models calculate a fair value of $124.37 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SFTBF?
Our models span a range for Softbank Group Corp.: cautious scenario $90.75, base $124.37, optimistic $155.46 per share (as of Sep 17, 2026, price $43.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SFTBF?
Softbank Group Corp. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.0 (as of Sep 17, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $124.37 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.3, P/S 5.1, EV/EBITDA 50.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Softbank Group Corp. (SFTBF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Softbank Group Corp. (as of Sep 17, 2026): return on equity 32.7%, debt of 0.71 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 24/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SFTBF from its 52-week high?
Softbank Group Corp. trades at $43.50, about 76% below its 52-week high of $178.66 and 111% above the low of $20.65 (as of Sep 17, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $124.37 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Softbank Group Corp.?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value China Mobile Limited, T-Mobile US, Inc, Verizon Communications Inc, AT&T Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Softbank Group Corp. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 17, 2026: price $43.50, calculated fair value $124.37 (+186%), Quality Score 24/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SFTBF calculated?
We run Softbank Group Corp. through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $124.37, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Softbank Group Corp. currently trades 186 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Softbank Group Corp. (SFTBF)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was $43.50. Our model-based fair value is $124.37, about +186% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Softbank Group Corp. right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (24/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($90.75). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.

Key figures of Softbank Group Corp.

How large is the market capitalisation of Softbank Group Corp. (SFTBF)?
The market capitalisation of Softbank Group Corp. is $248B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Softbank Group Corp. (SFTBF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Softbank Group Corp. is 5.16 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Softbank Group Corp. (SFTBF)?
Earnings per share at Softbank Group Corp. are $5.41 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Softbank Group Corp. (SFTBF)?
The dividend yield of Softbank Group Corp. is 0.8% (payout 6.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Softbank Group Corp. (SFTBF)?
The net margin of Softbank Group Corp. is 64.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Softbank Group Corp. (SFTBF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Softbank Group Corp. is 32.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Softbank Group Corp. (SFTBF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Softbank Group Corp. is 1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Softbank Group Corp. (SFTBF)?
The operating margin of Softbank Group Corp. is −20.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Softbank Group Corp. (SFTBF)?
Revenue at Softbank Group Corp. is growing +7.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Softbank Group Corp. (SFTBF)?
Earnings per share at Softbank Group Corp. are growing +261% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Softbank Group Corp. (SFTBF) generate?
The free cash flow of Softbank Group Corp. is −¥2.5T (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Softbank Group Corp. (SFTBF) carry?
The net debt of Softbank Group Corp. is ¥20.6T (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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