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Paycom Software, Inc (PAYC) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $6.9B

PS Paycom Software, Inc logo Paycom Software, Inc PAYC · US
Price$223.63
Fair Value$272.27
Upside+21.8%
Quality57/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 22.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.00% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/15)
Wide moat 87/100
Evidence: High Range $187.46 – $454.30 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $194.48 to $272.27 (+40.0%) since Jul 19, 2026. Share price +55.7% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 22% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (57/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($187.46 to $454.30) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$539.20 $113.27 Fair Value $272.27 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $113.27 – $539.20 · fair‑value band $187.46 – $454.30 · the $223.63 price screens below the $272.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Paycom Software, Inc (PAYC) currently trades at $223.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $272.27, implying the stock looks roughly 21.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Paycom Software, Inc generated revenue of $2.1B at a net margin of 22.4%. Revenue grew 7.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 37.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $218M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $187.46 (bear case) to $454.30 (bull case); at $223.63, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 114% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at 22%, PAYC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $138.01 $242.28 $446.32 80
Residual Income $65.51 $92.54 $636.90 76
Rev-Margin DCF $134.12 $263.31 $497.26 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $146.49 $221.59 $455.76 38
Owner Earnings $121.58 $260.54 $541.55 31
5Y Revenue Exit $134.12 $231.19 $433.48 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $205.13 $375.47 $708.32 41
5Y P/E Exit $197.00 $444.50 $783.00 38
10Y Revenue Exit $134.59 $291.70 $399.26 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $189.89 $439.72 $898.29 37
10Y P/E Exit $184.10 $422.78 $833.74 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $66.12 $461.13 $647.13 54
Lynch FV $167.72 $239.60 $311.48 50
PEG = 1.0 $167.72 $239.60 $311.48 46
EPV $85.54 $97.89 $108.54 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $15.97 $31.83 $48.20 70
DDM Multi-Stage $15.97 $27.51 $33.60 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $204.20 $272.27 $340.34 63
P/S Multiple $123.98 $165.31 $206.63 58
P/B Multiple $123.98 $165.31 $206.63 55
EV/EBIT $226.28 $299.26 $372.25 53
EV/EBITDA $222.58 $294.34 $366.09 54
EV/Revenue $118.01 $165.45 $212.90 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $18.57 $24.88 $37.14 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $138.01 $242.28 $446.32 80
Rev-Margin DCF $134.12 $263.31 $497.26 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $65.51 $92.54 $636.90 76
ROIC Compounder $106.75 $151.28 $212.21 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $244.63 $349.47 $454.30 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($349.47) versus Asset-Based ($24.88). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.8%
Net margin 22.4%
Return on equity 37.2%
Free cash flow $408M FY2025
P/E ratio 25.9
More key figures
Operating margin 36.8%
EPS (TTM) $8.64
Dividend yield 1.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +22.6%
Net cash $218M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 55
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 73
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 23
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 61
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Paycom Software, Inc. provides cloud-based human capital management (HCM) solution delivered as software-as-a-service for small to mid-sized companies in the United States. The company offers functionality and data analytics that businesses need to manage the employment life cycle from recruitment to retirement.

Full company description

Paycom Software, Inc. provides cloud-based human capital management (HCM) solution delivered as software-as-a-service for small to mid-sized companies in the United States. The company offers functionality and data analytics that businesses need to manage the employment life cycle from recruitment to retirement. The company's HCM solution offers payroll applications comprising better employee transaction interface, payroll and payroll tax management, payroll card, Everyday, Paycom pay, Client Action Center, expense management, garnishment administration, and GL concierge applications; talent acquisition, including applicant tracking, background checks, on-boarding, e-verify, and tax credit services; and talent management applications that include employee self-service, compensation budgeting, performance management, position management, Paycom learning, certification management. The company also offers time and labor management, such as time and attendance, scheduling, time-off requests, and labor allocation solutions. Its HCM solution provides manager on-the-go that gives supervisors and managers the ability to perform a variety of tasks, such as approving time-off requests and expense reimbursements; direct data exchange; ask here, a tool for direct line of communication to ask work-related questions; document and checklist; government and compliance; benefits administration; COBRA administration; personnel action and performance discussion forms; Paycom surveys; retirement reporting; report center; and affordable care act applications, as well as Clue, which securely collects, tracks, and manages the vaccination and testing data of the workforce; and MyCom is a communications tool that provides organizations with a central place to share information with employees. Paycom Software, Inc. was founded in 1998 and is based in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Paycom Software, Inc reported revenue of $2.1B in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound +18.1%/yr. Reported net income was $453M in FY2025, compounding +23.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.1B
Latest YoY
+8.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.5%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+29.1%
Revenue +18.1%/yr
FY21 $1.1B
FY22 $1.4B
FY23 $1.7B
FY24 $1.9B
FY25 $2.1B
Net income +23.3%/yr
FY21 $196M
FY22 $281M
FY23 $341M
FY24 $502M
FY25 $453M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +38.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +25.8 pp

of which total revenue +26.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.1 pp

EBIT margin +3.5 pp
Tax rate +0.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +8.1 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Paycom Software, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PAYC

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Software - Application · 712 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside +22% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 37% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 37% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 25.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.98× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.30× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 16.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.8× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.07× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 62 · sector 4
FUTURE 39 · sector 38
PAST 100 · sector 13
HEALTH 99 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 20 · sector 27

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
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Salesforce, Inc CRM $193.32 $249.28 +29%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $124.94 $43.73 -65%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $323.13 $112.57 -65%
Beijing Kingsoft Office Software, Inc 688111 ¥254.50 ¥81.23 -68%
Tata Elxsi Limited TATAELXSI ₹3,712 ₹2,519 -32%
Douzone Bizon Co 012510 120,000 KRW 92,181 KRW -23%
KFin Technologies Limited KFINTECH ₹922.00 ₹556.85 -40%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Paycom Software, Inc (PAYC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $272.27 versus a price of $223.63, about +22% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of PAYC?
Our model-based fair value for Paycom Software, Inc is $272.27 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $223.63.
What is the quality score of PAYC?
Paycom Software, Inc has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Paycom Software, Inc (PAYC)?
Paycom Software, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PAYC?
The net profit margin of Paycom Software, Inc is about 22.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 22.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Paycom Software, Inc pay a dividend?
Paycom Software, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.09% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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