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Nintendo Co ADR (NTDOY) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $58.7B · ISIN US6544453037

What is Nintendo Co ADR really worth?

NC Nintendo Co ADR logo Nintendo Co ADR NTDOY · US
Price$14.24
Fair Value$18.79
Upside+32.0%
Quality73/100

A solid business, trading 24% below our fair value of $18.79.

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Strengths

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +6.9 %/yr)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (8/13)
✓Wide moat 83/100

Risks

!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·1.92% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range $14.09 – $24.97

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $10.44 to $18.79 (+80.0%) since Aug 11, 2026. Share price +18.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (73/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
  • Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$22.82 $7.57 Fair Value $18.79 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.57 – $22.82 · fair‑value band $14.09 – $24.97 · the $14.24 price screens below the $18.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Nintendo Co ADR (NTDOY) currently trades at $14.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.79, implying the stock looks roughly 24.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $13.23 per share, and 5 of the 24 models we run sit above the $14.24 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.96, and 19 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Nintendo Co ADR generated revenue of ¥2.3T at a net margin of 18.3%. Revenue grew 95.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ¥1.8T. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $14.09 (bear case) to $24.97 (bull case); at $14.24, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at 32%, NTDOY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $7.45 $10.22 $14.52 81
Growth DCF $7.52 $9.95 $13.48 79
Owner Earnings $10.18 $14.54 $21.30 76
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $7.45 $10.22 $14.52 81
Owner Earnings $10.18 $14.54 $21.30 76
5Y Revenue Exit $7.57 $10.66 $14.64 73
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.45 $10.44 $13.94 76
5Y P/E Exit $10.79 $16.75 $23.10 71
10Y Revenue Exit $7.32 $10.15 $14.01 67
10Y EBITDA Exit $7.40 $9.99 $13.47 69
10Y P/E Exit $9.54 $14.40 $20.53 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.56 $14.90 $19.92 64
Lynch FV $3.34 $4.77 $6.20 61
PEG = 1.0 $3.34 $4.77 $6.20 57
EPV $5.92 $6.47 $6.94 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $11.06 $14.75 $18.43 63
P/S Multiple $8.55 $11.40 $14.24 58
P/B Multiple $8.55 $11.40 $14.24 55
EV/EBIT $9.50 $11.78 $14.06 66
EV/EBITDA $8.02 $9.80 $11.59 67
EV/Revenue $7.85 $10.07 $12.29 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.21 $2.96 $4.42 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $7.52 $9.95 $13.48 79
Rev-Margin DCF $7.57 $10.65 $14.23 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income $4.46 $5.84 $15.78 62
ROIC Compounder $6.18 $7.14 $8.28 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $9.26 $13.23 $17.19 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($13.23) versus Asset-Based ($2.96). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 24.6
P/S ratio 4.50 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.5800 price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.6
Dividend yield 1.9% payout 47.1%
Net margin 18.3% FY2026
Return on equity 14.9% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 15.0% avg 5y
Operating margin 27.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ¥2.3T TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −9.5% 3y avg +15.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +55.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow ¥278B FY2026
Net cash ¥1.8T FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 73/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 59
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 98
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Nintendo Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells home entertainment products in Japan, the Americas, Europe, and internationally. It offers home console gaming hardware, software, accessories, and other products. The company also provides various services, such as Nintendo Switch Online; and services and content.

Full company description

Nintendo Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells home entertainment products in Japan, the Americas, Europe, and internationally. It offers home console gaming hardware, software, accessories, and other products. The company also provides various services, such as Nintendo Switch Online; and services and content. In addition, it offers develop IP, including video content and mobile apps. The company was formerly known as Nintendo Playing Card Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Nintendo Co., Ltd. in 1963. Nintendo Co., Ltd. was founded in 1889 and is headquartered in Kyoto, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Nintendo Co ADR reported revenue of ¥2.5T in FY2026 versus ¥1.7T in FY2022, a compound +9.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥450B in FY2026, compounding −1.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 83/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
¥2.5T
Latest YoY
+110.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.9%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in JPY) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+1.1% (−0.8 + 1.9)
Revenue +9.7%/yr
FY22 ¥1.7T
FY23 ¥1.6T
FY24 ¥1.7T
FY25 ¥1.2T
FY26 ¥2.5T
Net income −1.5%/yr
FY22 ¥478B
FY23 ¥433B
FY24 ¥491B
FY25 ¥279B
FY26 ¥450B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +29.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +18.7 %

of which total revenue +14.7 % · buybacks/dilution +3.6 %

EBIT margin +16.7 %
Tax rate −0.2 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −6.2 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Nintendo Co ADR · Fair Value
$18.79 +24%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nintendo Co ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NTDOY

Peer Group

Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 150 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +32% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Revenue growth −10% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.9% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Gaming & Multimedia median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.6× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 4.04× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE76 · sector 16
FUTURE0 · sector 6
PAST60 · sector 18
HEALTH100 · sector 100
DIVIDEND54 · sector 55

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Konami Group KNM £221.05 £71.97 −67%
NetEase, Inc 9999 HK$188.80 HK$263.39 +40%
Electronic Arts Inc EA $209.70 $76.57 −63%
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc TTWO $233.00 $60.20 −74%
Roblox Corporation RBLX $41.29 $21.20 −49%
Zhejiang Century Huatong Group 002602 ¥13.90 ¥14.68 +6%
KRAFTON, Inc 259960 234,500 KRW 356,218 KRW +52%
Giant Network Group 002558 ¥28.57 ¥15.50 −46%
International Games System Co 3293 762.00 TWD 568.16 TWD −25%
CD Projekt S.A CDR 234.40 PLN 64.48 PLN −72%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nintendo Co ADR (NTDOY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $18.79 versus a price of $14.24, about +32% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NTDOY?
Our model-based fair value for Nintendo Co ADR is $18.79 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $14.24.
What is the quality score of NTDOY?
Nintendo Co ADR has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nintendo Co ADR (NTDOY)?
Nintendo Co ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥2.3T (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NTDOY?
The net profit margin of Nintendo Co ADR is about 18.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Nintendo Co ADR pay a dividend?
Nintendo Co ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.92% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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