Nintendo Co (NTDOY) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · US · Market cap $58.7B
Nintendo Co
NTDOY · US
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $10.44 to $18.79 (+80.0%) since Aug 11, 2026. Share price +21.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 43% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (73/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($14.09). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $7.57 – $22.82 · fair‑value band $14.09 – $24.97 · the $13.18 price screens below the $18.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Nintendo Co (NTDOY) currently trades at $13.18, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.79, implying the stock looks roughly 42.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Nintendo Co generated revenue of $2.3T at a net margin of 18.3%. Revenue grew 95.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ¥1.8T. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $14.09 (bear case) to $24.97 (bull case); at $13.18, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at 43%, NTDOY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($13.23) versus Asset-Based ($2.96). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nintendo Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells home entertainment products in Japan, the Americas, Europe, and internationally. It offers home console gaming hardware, software, accessories, and other products. The company also provides various services, such as Nintendo Switch Online; and services and content.
Full company description
Nintendo Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells home entertainment products in Japan, the Americas, Europe, and internationally. It offers home console gaming hardware, software, accessories, and other products. The company also provides various services, such as Nintendo Switch Online; and services and content. In addition, it offers develop IP, including video content and mobile apps. The company was formerly known as Nintendo Playing Card Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Nintendo Co., Ltd. in 1963. Nintendo Co., Ltd. was founded in 1889 and is headquartered in Kyoto, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Nintendo Co reported revenue of ¥2.5T in FY2026 versus ¥1.7T in FY2022, a compound +9.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥450B in FY2026, compounding −1.5%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +14.7 pp · buybacks/dilution +4.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch NTDOY: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Is Nintendo (TSE:7974) Still A Bargain After Its Profit Jump?
- Nintendo (TSE:7974) Following Fire Emblem Reveal And The Case For A Modest Discount
- Is Nintendo’s (TSE:7974) Profit Mix Shifting Too Heavily Toward One-Off Boosts Over Core Growth?
- ‘Mamma mia!’: Trump tariffs refund ignites 53% profit spike at Nintendo
Peer Group
Electronic Gaming & Multimedia · 155 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Gaming & Multimedia median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronic Gaming & Multimedia stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NetEase, Inc 9999 | HK$192.50 | HK$262.75 | +36% |
| Electronic Arts Inc EA | $209.70 | $76.57 | -63% |
| Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc TTWO | $243.00 | $60.20 | -75% |
| Roblox Corporation RBLX | $36.22 | $21.20 | -41% |
| Zhejiang Century Huatong Group 002602 | ¥14.29 | ¥14.68 | +3% |
| KRAFTON, Inc 259960 | 234,500 KRW | 356,218 KRW | +52% |
| Giant Network Group 002558 | ¥28.57 | ¥15.50 | -46% |
| International Games System Co 3293 | 762.00 TWD | 568.16 TWD | -25% |
| 37 Interactive Entertainment Network Technology Group 002555 | ¥19.21 | ¥22.29 | +16% |
| Kingnet Network Co 002517 | ¥17.36 | ¥12.86 | -26% |
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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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