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NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A (NOS) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · PT · Market cap €2.6B

NS NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A NOS · LS
Price€5.22
Fair Value€9.49
Upside+81.8%
Quality62/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
6.65% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/15)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: High Range €5.91 – €13.19 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from €10.11 to €9.49 (−6.1%) since Jul 25, 2026. Share price −2.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 82% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€5.91). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (€5.91 to €13.19) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€5.56 €2.22 Fair Value €9.49 Apr 2021 Jun 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €2.22 – €5.56 · fair‑value band €5.91 – €13.19 · the €5.22 price screens below the €9.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A (NOS) currently trades at €5.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €9.49, implying the stock looks roughly 81.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A generated revenue of €1.9B at a net margin of 13.4%. Revenue grew 9.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.3%. Net debt stands at €1.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €5.91 (bear case) to €13.19 (bull case); at €5.22, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 30% fair-value upside, at 82%, NOS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €6.66 €9.83 €14.00 80
Residual Income €2.82 €3.40 €7.95 76
Rev-Margin DCF €5.83 €9.65 €13.81 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €6.47 €9.93 €14.70 38
Owner Earnings €2.69 €4.52 €7.05 31
5Y Revenue Exit €5.83 €9.57 €14.17 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €9.18 €15.57 €22.77 41
5Y P/E Exit €5.80 €9.51 €13.21 38
10Y Revenue Exit €5.80 €9.14 €13.30 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €8.06 €13.13 €19.46 37
10Y P/E Exit €5.98 €9.10 €12.61 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €3.26 €8.04 €10.41 54
PEG = 1.0 €1.45 €2.07 €2.69 46
EPV €5.15 €6.20 €7.12 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €3.51 €6.24 €9.63 70
DDM Multi-Stage €3.51 €5.20 €6.97 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €7.92 €10.55 €13.19 63
P/S Multiple €6.12 €8.16 €10.19 58
P/B Multiple €5.72 €7.63 €9.54 55
EV/EBIT €8.27 €11.54 €14.81 53
EV/EBITDA €12.54 €17.24 €21.93 54
EV/Revenue €5.90 €9.09 €12.28 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.09 €1.46 €2.18 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €6.66 €9.83 €14.00 80
Rev-Margin DCF €5.83 €9.65 €13.81 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €2.82 €3.40 €7.95 76
ROIC Compounder €5.44 €6.98 €8.64 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €6.05 €8.65 €11.24 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (€9.65) versus Asset-Based (€1.46). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €1.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.2%
Net margin 13.4%
Return on equity 21.3%
Free cash flow €401M FY2025
P/E ratio 10.9
More key figures
Operating margin 17.3%
EPS (TTM) €0.4800
Dividend yield 6.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +3.6%
Net debt €1.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80

Profitability 57
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 73
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 31
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 62
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 72
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A. together with its subsidiaries, engages in the telecommunications and entertainment business. The company offers cable and satellite television, voice and internet access, mobile broadband internet access and mobile voice; and voice over internet protocol services.

Full company description

NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A. together with its subsidiaries, engages in the telecommunications and entertainment business. The company offers cable and satellite television, voice and internet access, mobile broadband internet access and mobile voice; and voice over internet protocol services. It is involved in publishing and sale of video grams; advertising on pay-TV channels; operation of cinemas and mobile communications network; distribution of films; production of pay-TV channels; data center management; licensing; and provision of engineering and consultancy services in information systems. In addition, the company engages in the negotiation, acquisition, purchase, and distribution of content rights and other multimedia products; distributing films; acquiring/negotiating rights for pay-TV and video-on-demand; cinema exhibition and distribution; sale of DVDs and insurance; and provision of security solutions. Further, it invests in and supports the development of companies that commercialize technologies and products; ownership, management, and operation of intellectual property; supply and marketing of electronic communications products and equipment; distribution of television and radio program; and provision of accounting, logistical, administrative, financial, tax, human resources and any other services. Additionally, the company is involved in demonstration, dissemination, and technology transfer and training activities; import, distribution, exploitation, commercialization, and production of audiovisual products; design, construction, management, and operation of electronic communications networks, and related equipment and infrastructures; buying and selling, renting, operating, purchase, and sale of property and commercial establishments; development and construction of buildings, planning, urban management, studies, construction and property management. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Lisbon, Portugal.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A reported revenue of €1.8B in FY2025 versus €1.4B in FY2021, a compound +6.3%/yr. Reported net income was €246M in FY2025, compounding +14.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€1.8B
Latest YoY
+7.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.9%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−12.4%
Revenue +6.3%/yr
FY21 €1.4B
FY22 €1.5B
FY23 €1.6B
FY24 €1.7B
FY25 €1.8B
Net income +14.3%/yr
FY21 €144M
FY22 €225M
FY23 €181M
FY24 €272M
FY25 €246M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NOS

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Telecom Services · 253 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +82% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Above median
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.72× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 2.74× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.65× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 7.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 6.0× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.11× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 27
FUTURE 46 · sector 15
PAST 85 · sector 27
HEALTH 64 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 71

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Mobile Limited 600941 ¥96.11 ¥109.88 +14%
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,945 ₹941.55 -52%
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.43 ¥8.36 +30%
América Móvil, S.A. AMXB 23.07 MXN 30.35 MXN +32%
Vodafone Group VODN 259.50 MXN 494.99 MXN +91%
Advanced Info Service Public Company ADVANC 374.00 THB 286.77 THB -23%
Chunghwa Telecom Co 2412 136.00 TWD 100.00 TWD -26%
Telefónica, S.A TEFN 75.67 MXN 108.96 MXN +44%
TLKM TLKM 2,590 IDR 3,898 IDR +50%
PT Indoritel Makmur Internasional Tbk., DNET 9,500 IDR 1,503 IDR -84%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A (NOS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €9.49 versus a price of €5.22, about +82% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NOS?
Our model-based fair value for NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A is €9.49 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €5.22.
What is the quality score of NOS?
NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A (NOS)?
NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.9B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NOS?
The net profit margin of NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A is about 13.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A pay a dividend?
NOS, S.G.P.S., S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.65% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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