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Manhattan Associates Inc (MANH) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $9.7B · ISIN US5627501092

What is Manhattan Associates Inc really worth?

MA Manhattan Associates Inc logo Manhattan Associates Inc MANH · US
Price$222.35
Fair Value$91.60
Upside−58.8%
Quality83/100

A strong business, but trading 143% above our fair value of $91.60.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +13.0 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 19.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 85/100

Risks

!Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Evidence: High Range $69.61 – $113.58

Fair value as of: Sep 1, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price +17.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 83/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($113.58). The favourable scenario is already priced in.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$309.78 $108.50 Fair Value $91.60 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $108.50 – $309.78 · fair‑value band $69.61 – $113.58 · the $222.35 price screens above the $91.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.

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Analysis

Manhattan Associates Inc (MANH) currently trades at $222.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $91.60, implying the stock looks roughly 142.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 83/100 (high quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $112.68 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $222.35 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $38.10, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Manhattan Associates Inc generated revenue of $1.1B at a net margin of 19.7%. Revenue grew 7.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 96.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $216M. Fundamentals as of Sep 1, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $69.61 (bear case) to $113.58 (bull case); at $222.35, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 87% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −59%, MANH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $2.42 per share, which is 2.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $79.95 $131.21 $213.59 79
Growth DCF $79.76 $127.49 $201.97 77
Owner Earnings $47.49 $76.38 $122.81 75
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $79.95 $131.21 $213.59 79
Owner Earnings $47.49 $76.38 $122.81 75
5Y Revenue Exit $58.89 $91.01 $132.95 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $70.47 $114.20 $167.33 74
5Y P/E Exit $77.72 $128.71 $185.32 70
10Y Revenue Exit $64.33 $96.34 $142.06 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $73.12 $112.68 $169.40 68
10Y P/E Exit $77.77 $122.90 $183.70 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $25.28 $105.41 $143.74 64
Lynch FV $26.67 $38.10 $49.54 61
PEG = 1.0 $26.67 $38.10 $49.54 57
EPV $38.87 $44.13 $48.66 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $78.07 $104.09 $130.11 63
P/S Multiple $47.40 $63.20 $79.00 58
P/B Multiple $23.94 $31.92 $39.90 55
EV/EBIT $91.58 $120.25 $148.92 66
EV/EBITDA $71.51 $93.50 $115.48 67
EV/Revenue $49.04 $67.68 $86.32 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.66 $3.56 $5.32 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $79.76 $127.49 $201.97 77
Rev-Margin DCF $58.89 $91.00 $131.24 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $29.68 $51.80 $1,259 64
ROIC Compounder $38.87 $44.13 $48.66 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $54.33 $77.61 $100.89 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($112.68) versus Asset-Based ($3.56). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 62.1
P/S ratio 12.6 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $3.58 price ÷ EPS = P/E 62.1
Net margin 20.3% FY2025
Return on equity 96.2% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 30.2% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 23.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.1B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.4% 3y avg +12.1%
EPS growth (YoY) −3.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $374M FY2025
Net cash $216M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 83/100

Of which business quality 83 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 97
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 96
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 75
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 61
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Manhattan Associates, Inc. develops, sells, deploys, services, and maintains software solutions to manage supply chains, inventory, and omni-channel operations.

Full company description

Manhattan Associates, Inc. develops, sells, deploys, services, and maintains software solutions to manage supply chains, inventory, and omni-channel operations. It offers warehouse management solution for managing goods and information across the distribution centers; Manhattan Active Warehouse Management, a cloud native and version less application for the associate; and transportation management solution for helping shippers navigate their way through the demands and meet customer service expectations at the lowest possible freight costs; Manhattan SCALE, a portfolio of logistics execution solution; and Manhattan Active Omni, which offers order management, store inventory and fulfillment, call center, POS, and customer engagement tools for enterprises and stores. The company also provides demand forecasting and replenishment, allocation, and unified business planning; technology platform including Manhattan Active Platform solutions, a cloud-native product designed to provide version-less product access; maintenance services, which offers on-premises software licensees with software upgrades for additional or improved functionality and technological advances; and professional services, such as solutions planning and implementation, and related consulting services. In addition, it provides training and change management services; and resells computer hardware, radio frequency terminal networks, radio frequency identification chip readers, bar code printers and scanners, and other peripherals. The company offers products through direct sales personnel and partnership agreements with various organizations. It serves retail, consumer goods, food and grocery, logistics service providers, industrial and wholesale, high technology and electronics, life sciences, and government industries. The company operates in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. Manhattan Associates, Inc. was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Manhattan Associates Inc reported revenue of $1.1B in FY2025 versus $664M in FY2021, a compound +13.0%/yr. Reported net income was $220M in FY2025, compounding +18.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 98/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.1B
Latest YoY
+3.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (28Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.3%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+21.6% (21.6 + 0.0)
Revenue +13.0%/yr
FY21 $664M
FY22 $767M
FY23 $929M
FY24 $1.0B
FY25 $1.1B
Net income +18.8%/yr
FY21 $110M
FY22 $129M
FY23 $177M
FY24 $218M
FY25 $220M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +10.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +9.2 %

of which total revenue +7.1 % · buybacks/dilution +2.0 %

EBIT margin −1.8 %
Tax rate +2.6 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.1 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

MANH screens 143% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Manhattan Associates Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MANH

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Software - Application · 691 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 83 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −59% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 96% · Top 25%
Return on assets 24% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 62.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 30.67× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 8.77× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 25.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 32.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 2.00× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE37 · sector 37
PAST100 · sector 12
HEALTH100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 1, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAP €191.32 €169.59 −11%
Shopify Inc SHOP C$209.78 C$28.76 −86%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $78.82 $43.66 −45%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $252.05 $249.28 −1%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $138.43 $43.73 −68%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $340.39 $112.57 −67%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $329.11 $42.27 −87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $289.15 $454.04 +57%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $284.68 $177.51 −38%
Intuit Inc INTU $348.00 $363.46 +4%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Manhattan Associates Inc (MANH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $91.60 versus a price of $222.35, about −59% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MANH?
Our model-based fair value for Manhattan Associates Inc is $91.60 (as of Sep 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $222.35.
What is the quality score of MANH?
Manhattan Associates Inc has a Quality Score of 83/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Manhattan Associates Inc (MANH)?
Manhattan Associates Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 1, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MANH?
The net profit margin of Manhattan Associates Inc is about 19.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 19.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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