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Lupin Limited (LUPIN) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · IN · Market cap ₹1.1T

LL Lupin Limited LUPIN · NSE
Price₹2,235
Fair Value₹2,477
Upside+10.8%
Quality68/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 19.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.72% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Wide moat 80/100
Evidence: High Range ₹1,577 – ₹3,102 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price −9.7% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 11% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (₹1,577 to ₹3,102) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from ₹1,577 (bear) to ₹3,102 (bull), base ₹2,477. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 68/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹2,515 ₹573.78 Fair Value ₹2,477 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹573.78 – ₹2,515 · fair‑value band ₹1,577 – ₹3,102 · the ₹2,235 price screens below the ₹2,477 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Lupin Limited (LUPIN) currently trades at ₹2,235, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹2,477, implying the stock looks roughly 10.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Lupin Limited generated revenue of ₹280B at a net margin of 19.1%. Revenue grew 31.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 26.9%. Net debt stands at ₹9.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹1,577 (bear case) to ₹3,102 (bull case); at ₹2,235, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at 11%, LUPIN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹1,637 ₹2,938 ₹5,321 80
Residual Income ₹849.95 ₹1,218 ₹8,868 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹1,454 ₹2,494 ₹3,860 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹1,650 ₹3,063 ₹5,689 38
Owner Earnings ₹1,469 ₹2,719 ₹5,040 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹1,454 ₹2,524 ₹3,992 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹1,777 ₹3,201 ₹5,012 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹1,810 ₹3,270 ₹4,965 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹1,460 ₹2,523 ₹4,184 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹1,727 ₹3,034 ₹5,071 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹1,750 ₹3,086 ₹5,030 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹793.10 ₹3,871 ₹5,334 54
Lynch FV ₹1,038 ₹1,484 ₹1,929 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹1,038 ₹1,484 ₹1,929 46
EPV ₹1,264 ₹1,472 ₹1,657 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹115.36 ₹251.84 ₹423.74 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹115.36 ₹206.30 ₹262.46 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹1,924 ₹2,566 ₹3,207 63
P/S Multiple ₹1,487 ₹1,983 ₹2,478 58
P/B Multiple ₹1,487 ₹1,983 ₹2,478 55
EV/EBIT ₹2,011 ₹2,652 ₹3,293 53
EV/EBITDA ₹1,961 ₹2,586 ₹3,211 54
EV/Revenue ₹1,372 ₹1,922 ₹2,472 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹245.48 ₹328.94 ₹490.96 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹1,637 ₹2,938 ₹5,321 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹1,454 ₹2,494 ₹3,860 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹849.95 ₹1,218 ₹8,868 76
ROIC Compounder ₹1,433 ₹1,902 ₹2,503 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹1,649 ₹2,356 ₹3,062 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹3,034) versus Dividend Discount (₹206.30). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹280B
Revenue growth (YoY) +31.9%
Net margin 19.1%
Return on equity 26.9%
Free cash flow ₹51.4B FY2026
P/E ratio 19.2
More key figures
Operating margin 24.2%
EPS (TTM) ₹116.54
Dividend yield 0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +89.0%
Net debt ₹9.6B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 73
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 59
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 85
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 26
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 95
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 55
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Lupin Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a pharmaceutical company in India, the United States, and internationally. The company operates in two segments: Pharmaceuticals and Others.

Full company description

Lupin Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a pharmaceutical company in India, the United States, and internationally. The company operates in two segments: Pharmaceuticals and Others. It engages in the drug discovery, development, production, marketing, and sale of various branded and generic formulations, biosimilars, over-the-counter and specialty drugs, and active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs). The company also offers formulations for use in the therapeutic areas of anti-tuberculosis, diabetes management, cardiovascular, chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases, asthma, women's health, and central nervous system areas, as well as pediatrics, gastrointestinal, anti-infective, and nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug therapies. In addition, it focuses on various therapeutic spectrum, including rheumatology, oncology, neuroscience, and renal therapies. Further, the company is involved in the provision of diagnostics services, and digital healthcare services; and neuro rehabilition business. It operates through network consists of labs and collection centers. The company has a strategic collaboration with TB Alliance for the development and commercialization of the investigational drug Telacebec for the treatment of multiple mycobacterial diseases including tuberculosis (TB), leprosy, and buruli ulcer. The company was formerly known as Lupin Chemicals Limited and changed its name to Lupin Limited in 2001. Lupin Limited was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Lupin Limited reported revenue of ₹280B in FY2026 versus ₹164B in FY2022, a compound +14.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹53.3B in FY2026.

Growth Quality 98/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹280B
Latest YoY
+23.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.0%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.3%
Revenue +14.3%/yr
FY22 ₹164B
FY23 ₹166B
FY24 ₹200B
FY25 ₹227B
FY26 ₹280B
Net income
FY22 −₹15.3B
FY23 ₹4.3B
FY24 ₹19.1B
FY25 ₹32.8B
FY26 ₹53.3B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +4.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +5.2 pp

of which total revenue +5.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.1 pp

EBIT margin −1.9 pp
Tax rate +1.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.4 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lupin Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LUPIN

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 624 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +10% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 27% · Top 25%
Return on assets 13% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 32% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.07× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 4.98× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.00× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.5× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 47 · sector 6
FUTURE 100 · sector 21
PAST 100 · sector 25
HEALTH 96 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 14 · sector 34

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.76 ¥25.94 -52%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,944 ₹989.50 -49%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹8,500 ₹1,932 -77%
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM ₹4,915 ₹1,163 -76%
PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 1,440 TWD 233.93 TWD -84%
Cipla Limited CIPLA ₹1,463 ₹1,001 -32%
Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE ₹1,167 ₹703.32 -40%
Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND ₹2,433 ₹983.11 -60%
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY ₹1,200 ₹874.79 -27%
Aurobindo Pharma Limited AUROPHARMA ₹1,667 ₹1,340 -20%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Lupin Limited (LUPIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹2,477 versus a price of ₹2,235, about +11% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of LUPIN?
Our model-based fair value for Lupin Limited is ₹2,477 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹2,235.
What is the quality score of LUPIN?
Lupin Limited has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Lupin Limited (LUPIN)?
Lupin Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹280B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LUPIN?
The net profit margin of Lupin Limited is about 19.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 19.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Lupin Limited pay a dividend?
Lupin Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.80% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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