Lumen Technologies Inc (LUMN) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · US · Market cap $6.6B · ISIN US5502411037
What is Lumen Technologies Inc really worth?
Lumen Technologies Inc
LUMN · US
Below-average quality, trading 49% below our fair value of $13.66.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Sep 1, 2026
From 5 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +3.0% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
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What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (32/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The model range is unusually wide ($6.19 to $21.13). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.9801 – $13.73 · fair‑value band $6.19 – $21.13 · the $6.91 price screens below the $13.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
Analysis
Lumen Technologies Inc (LUMN) currently trades at $6.91, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.66, implying the stock looks roughly 49.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $14.01 per share, and 2 of the 5 models we run sit above the $6.91 price. Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $2.44, and 3 of the 5 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Lumen Technologies Inc generated revenue of $12.1B at a net margin of −14.3%. Revenue declined 8.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −78.9%. Net debt stands at $16.7B. Fundamentals as of Sep 1, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $6.19 (bear case) to $21.13 (bull case); at $6.91, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 105% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 30% fair-value upside, at 98%, LUMN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 5 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($14.01) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0100). Highest evidence: 5Y EBITDA Exit (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Lumen Technologies, Inc., a networking company, provides integrated products and services to business and mass customers in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Business and Mass Markets.
Full company description
Lumen Technologies, Inc., a networking company, provides integrated products and services to business and mass customers in the United States and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Business and Mass Markets. It offers dark fiber and conduit, edge cloud, internet protocol (IP), voice over IP, managed security, software-defined wide area networks, unified communications and collaboration, and optical services; ethernet and VPN data networks services; and legacy services to manage cash flow, including time division multiplexing voice and private line; other legacy services, such as Synchronous Optical Network (SONET) based ethernet, legacy data hosting services, and conferencing services; and managed and professional service solutions, as well as sells communications equipment. The company also provides high speed and lower speed broadband service to residential and small business customers; local and long-distance voice services, professional services, and other ancillary services; and federal broadband and state support programs. It serves its products and services under the Lumen, CenturyLink, Black Lotus Labs, and Quantum Fiber brand name. The company was formerly known as CenturyLink, Inc. and changed its name to Lumen Technologies, Inc. in September 2020. Lumen Technologies, Inc. was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Monroe, Louisiana.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lumen Technologies Inc reported revenue of $12.4B in FY2025 versus $19.7B in FY2021, a compound −10.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.7B in FY2025.
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Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Can Lumen's Multi-Cloud Expansion Boost AI Connectivity Growth?
- Lumen Technologies (LUMN) Expands Multi Cloud Access, Is The Undervaluation Case Convincing?
- How Investors May Respond To Lumen Technologies (LUMN) Expanding Its Multi-Cloud Gateway Reach Beyond Fiber
- Why Is Lumen Technologies (LUMN) Bringing Multi Cloud Networking To 10 Million Sites?
Peer Group
Telecom Services · 248 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 1, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Mobile Limited 600941 | ¥96.11 | ¥109.88 | +14% |
| T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS | $177.75 | $172.67 | −3% |
| Verizon Communications Inc VZ | $49.43 | $64.43 | +30% |
| AT&T Inc T | $26.01 | $43.97 | +69% |
| Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL | ₹1,935 | ₹941.48 | −51% |
| Comcast Corporation CMCSA | $26.41 | $95.42 | +261% |
| China Telecom Corporation 601728 | ¥6.43 | ¥8.36 | +30% |
| América Móvil, S.A. AMX | $23.50 | $39.45 | +68% |
| Singapore Telecommunications Limited Z77 | 4.29 SGD | 3.03 SGD | −29% |
| Swisscom AG SCMN | CHF 627.50 | CHF 463.92 | −26% |
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