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Kyivstar Group (KYIV) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $3.3B

KG Kyivstar Group logo Kyivstar Group KYIV · US
Price$13.17
Fair Value$17.29
Upside+31.3%
Quality62/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Wide moat 72/100
Evidence: Medium Range $10.50 – $19.51 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $17.69 to $17.29 (−2.3%) since Jul 19, 2026. Share price −12.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 31% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($10.50 to $19.51) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (20 months)

$16.17 $9.33 Fair Value $17.29 Dec 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

20‑month range $9.33 – $16.17 · fair‑value band $10.50 – $19.51 · the $13.17 price screens below the $17.29 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Kyivstar Group (KYIV) currently trades at $13.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.29, implying the stock looks roughly 31.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Kyivstar Group generated revenue of $1.2B at a net margin of 13.5%. Revenue grew 26.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.3%. Net debt stands at $61.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $10.50 (bear case) to $19.51 (bull case); at $13.17, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 30% fair-value upside, at 31%, KYIV screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $19.79 $36.90 $68.31 80
Rev-Margin DCF $14.37 $26.20 $43.78 74
ROIC Compounder $18.42 $25.25 $34.23 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $20.74 $33.72 $69.77 38
Owner Earnings $6.00 $12.42 $25.39 31
5Y Revenue Exit $14.37 $24.77 $44.77 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $24.08 $45.82 $85.53 41
5Y P/E Exit $12.71 $22.80 $35.38 38
10Y Revenue Exit $15.84 $29.11 $44.42 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $22.93 $47.02 $91.06 37
10Y P/E Exit $15.10 $26.05 $43.80 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3.65 $25.47 $35.74 54
Lynch FV $7.53 $10.75 $13.98 50
PEG = 1.0 $7.53 $10.75 $13.98 46
EPV $15.38 $17.69 $19.68 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $8.86 $11.82 $14.77 63
P/S Multiple $6.85 $9.13 $11.41 58
P/B Multiple $6.85 $9.13 $11.41 55
EV/EBIT $23.91 $31.64 $39.37 53
EV/EBITDA $26.11 $34.57 $43.03 54
EV/Revenue $11.25 $15.76 $20.27 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.81 $3.77 $5.63 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $19.79 $36.90 $68.31 80
Rev-Margin DCF $14.37 $26.20 $43.78 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $4.81 $5.27 $7.36 61
ROIC Compounder $18.42 $25.25 $34.23 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $10.50 $15.01 $19.51 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($26.20) versus Asset-Based ($3.77). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +26.7%
Net margin 13.5%
Return on equity 13.3%
Free cash flow $311M FY2025
P/E ratio 18.5
More key figures
Operating margin 35.6%
EPS (TTM) $0.7200
EPS growth (YoY) +75.3%
Net debt $61.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 84
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 49
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kyivstar Group Ltd. provides a range of mobile communication and broadband services for individual and corporate customers in Ukraine.

Full company description

Kyivstar Group Ltd. provides a range of mobile communication and broadband services for individual and corporate customers in Ukraine. The company offers a range of connectivity and digital services, including mobile and fixed-line voice and data, ride-hailing, e-health, digital TV, a suite of self-service options, and enterprise solutions, such as Big Data, cloud, and cybersecurity under Kyivstar TV, Helsi, MyKyivstar, Kyivstar.Tech, and Uklon platforms. It also provides internet services such as corporate internet access, fixed-line telephone, data transmission and fixed-mobile convergence, and internet-TV via FTTB network connections. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Dubai, the United Arab Emirates. Kyivstar Group Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Vimpelcom Amsterdam B.V.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kyivstar Group reported revenue of $1.2B in FY2025 versus $915M in FY2023, a compound +12.4%/yr. Reported net income was $124M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.2B
Latest YoY
+25.9%
Revenue +12.4%/yr
FY23 $915M
FY24 $919M
FY25 $1.2B
Net income
FY22 −$19.4K
FY23 $281M
FY24 $283M
FY25 $124M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kyivstar Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KYIV

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Telecom Services · 253 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +31% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 13% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 36% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 27% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.22× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.53× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.68× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 10.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 5.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.42× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 75 · sector 26
FUTURE 100 · sector 15
PAST 53 · sector 27
HEALTH 89 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 71

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Mobile Limited 600941 ¥96.11 ¥109.88 +14%
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,945 ₹941.55 -52%
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.43 ¥8.36 +30%
América Móvil, S.A. AMXB 23.07 MXN 30.35 MXN +32%
Vodafone Group VODN 259.50 MXN 494.99 MXN +91%
Advanced Info Service Public Company ADVANC 374.00 THB 286.77 THB -23%
Chunghwa Telecom Co 2412 136.00 TWD 100.00 TWD -26%
Telefónica, S.A TEFN 75.67 MXN 108.96 MXN +44%
TLKM TLKM 2,590 IDR 3,898 IDR +50%
PT Indoritel Makmur Internasional Tbk., DNET 9,500 IDR 1,503 IDR -84%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kyivstar Group (KYIV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $17.29 versus a price of $13.17, about +31% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KYIV?
Our model-based fair value for Kyivstar Group is $17.29 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $13.17.
What is the quality score of KYIV?
Kyivstar Group has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kyivstar Group (KYIV)?
Kyivstar Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KYIV?
The net profit margin of Kyivstar Group is about 13.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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