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Ipsen SA (IPN) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · FR · Market cap €13.3B · ISIN FR0010259150

What is Ipsen SA really worth?

IS Ipsen SA IPN · PA
Price€164.70
Fair Value€118.26
Upside−28.2%
Quality72/100

A solid business, but trading 39% above our fair value of €118.26.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 11.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +6.5 %/yr)
!Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
!Moderate moat 64/100
!Weak on dividend: 19 out of 100

For context

·0.97% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range €88.70 – €147.83

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +3.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€147.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€171.10 €73.95 Fair Value €118.26 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €73.95 – €171.10 · fair‑value band €88.70 – €147.83 · the €164.70 price screens above the €118.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Ipsen SA (IPN) currently trades at €164.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €118.26, implying the stock looks roughly 39.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €173.61 per share, and 7 of the 26 models we run sit above the €164.70 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at €21.85, and 19 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Ipsen SA generated revenue of €3.9B at a net margin of 11.3%. Revenue grew 9.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €471M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €88.70 (bear case) to €147.83 (bull case); at €164.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −28%, IPN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly €2.52 per share, which is 2.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €153.22 €237.05 €366.87 79
Growth DCF €155.32 €228.81 €335.25 78
Owner Earnings €106.22 €162.66 €250.06 76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €153.22 €237.05 €366.87 79
Owner Earnings €106.22 €162.66 €250.06 76
5Y Revenue Exit €110.52 €162.67 €228.31 73
5Y EBITDA Exit €140.95 €220.21 €312.66 75
5Y P/E Exit €110.93 €163.45 €218.19 71
10Y Revenue Exit €121.99 €173.61 €241.76 67
10Y EBITDA Exit €144.01 €213.79 €306.81 68
10Y P/E Exit €124.79 €174.15 €233.96 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €36.55 €119.84 €160.19 64
Lynch FV €26.90 €38.44 €49.97 61
PEG = 1.0 €26.90 €38.44 €49.97 57
EPV €79.97 €91.73 €102.02 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €12.90 €26.83 €42.56 66
DDM Multi-Stage €12.90 €21.85 €28.16 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple €88.70 €118.26 €147.83 63
P/S Multiple €68.54 €91.38 €114.23 58
P/B Multiple €68.54 €91.38 €114.23 55
EV/EBIT €124.47 €162.83 €201.19 66
EV/EBITDA €149.41 €196.08 €242.75 67
EV/Revenue €91.53 €126.73 €161.93 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €26.22 €35.13 €52.44 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €155.32 €228.81 €335.25 78
Rev-Margin DCF €110.52 €163.71 €226.13 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income €46.37 €51.85 €85.84 74
ROIC Compounder €85.22 €106.42 €131.97 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €74.31 €106.15 €138.00 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€173.61) versus Dividend Discount (€21.85). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 31.0
P/S ratio 3.74 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) €5.32 price ÷ EPS = P/E 31.0
Dividend yield 1.0% payout 30.1%
Net margin 12.1% FY2025
Return on equity 10.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 13.2% avg 5y
Operating margin 26.1% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) €3.9B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.3% 3y avg +5.2%
EPS growth (YoY) −3.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow €1.0B FY2025
Net cash €471M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 72/100

Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 98
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 60
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 83
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Ipsen S.A., a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes medicines in the areas of oncology, rare disease, and neuroscience in North America, Europe, and internationally.

Full company description

Ipsen S.A., a biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes medicines in the areas of oncology, rare disease, and neuroscience in North America, Europe, and internationally. It engages in the development of Somatuline for neuroendocrine tumors and acromegaly indications; and Dysport for motor muscular disorders and medical aesthetics indications; and Decapeptyl for advanced metastatic prostate cancer, uterine fibroids, central precocious puberty, endometriosis, female infertility, and early-stage breast cancer in combination with hormone therapy. The company also develops Cabometyx for renal cell carcinoma, second line hepatocellular carcinoma, differentiated thyroid cancer, and neuroendocrine tumors; Onivyde for second-line metastatic pancreatic cancer; and Bylvay for the treatment of progressive familial intrahepatic cholestasis and cholestatic pruritus in patients with both PFIC and Alagille syndrome. In addition, it is involved in the development of Iqirvo for the second line treatment for primary biliary cholangitis; Sohonos for the treatment to reduce new, abnormal bone formation in soft and connective tissues, in people living with ultra-rare bone disease, and fibrodysplasia ossificans progressiva; and IPN60340 in Phase I/II clinical trial for first line acute myeloid leukemia indications. Further, the company develops Tazverik + rituximab and lenalidomide in Phase III clinical trials for second line follicular lymphoma indications; Tovorafenib in Phase III clinical trials for first line pediatric low-grade gliomas indications; and IPN01194, IPN01195, IPN60300, and IPN01203 in Phase I for solid tumors indications; and IPN10200 in Phase II clinical trials for aesthetic and therapeutic indications. Ipsen S.A. was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Paris, France.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ipsen SA reported revenue of €3.7B in FY2025 versus €2.7B in FY2021, a compound +7.5%/yr. Reported net income was €445M in FY2025, compounding −8.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 77/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€3.7B
Latest YoY
+2.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−4.8% (−5.8 + 1.0)
Revenue +7.5%/yr
FY21 €2.7B
FY22 €3.2B
FY23 €3.3B
FY24 €3.6B
FY25 €3.7B
Net income −8.9%/yr
FY21 €647M
FY22 €649M
FY23 €644M
FY24 €346M
FY25 €445M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +10.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +9.7 %

of which total revenue +9.9 % · buybacks/dilution −0.1 %

EBIT margin −0.4 %
Tax rate +0.6 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.6 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

IPN screens 39% overvalued. Compare with Merck KGaA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ipsen SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IPN

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 608 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −28% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.17× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 31.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.58× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.95× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 15.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.0× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.94× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 2
FUTURE47 · sector 22
PAST42 · sector 26
HEALTH91 · sector 97
DIVIDEND19 · sector 29

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Merck KGaA MRK €140.25 €106.48 −24%
Takeda Pharmaceutical Company TAK $18.03 $11.11 −38%
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.76 ¥25.94 −52%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,944 ₹989.50 −49%
Galderma Group GALD CHF 178.55 CHF 55.07 −69%
Haleon plc HLN $10.11 $7.64 −24%
Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited TEVA $36.05 $15.33 −57%
Sandoz Group SDZ CHF 70.66 CHF 39.21 −45%
Zoetis Inc ZTS $77.10 $104.88 +36%
Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group 3692 HK$35.12 HK$16.18 −54%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ipsen SA (IPN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €118.26 versus a price of €164.70, about −28% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of IPN?
Our model-based fair value for Ipsen SA is €118.26 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €164.70.
What is the quality score of IPN?
Ipsen SA has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ipsen SA (IPN)?
Ipsen SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €3.9B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of IPN?
The net profit margin of Ipsen SA is about 11.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Ipsen SA pay a dividend?
Ipsen SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.97% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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