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Grab Holdings Ltd (GRAB) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $14.6B · ISIN KYG4124C1096

What is Grab Holdings Ltd really worth?

GH Grab Holdings Ltd logo Grab Holdings Ltd GRAB · US
Price$3.42
Fair Value$1.30
Upside−62.0%
Quality49/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 163% above our fair value of $1.30.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 10.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +48.4 %/yr)
!Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
!Narrow moat 41/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 19 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range $1.27 – $1.54

Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Share price −8.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$17.06 $2.31 Fair Value $1.30 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.31 – $17.06 · fair‑value band $1.27 – $1.54 · the $3.42 price screens above the $1.30 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Grab Holdings Ltd (GRAB) currently trades at $3.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.30, implying the stock looks roughly 163.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $3.10 per share, and 1 of the 24 models we run sit above the $3.42 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.14, and 23 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Grab Holdings Ltd generated revenue of $3.6B at a net margin of 10.7%. Revenue grew 23.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.4B. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.27 (bear case) to $1.54 (bull case); at $3.42, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −62%, GRAB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.0271 per share, which is 2.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $1.39 $1.71 $2.75 78
Growth DCF $1.35 $1.88 $2.74 76
EPV $1.19 $1.25 $1.30 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $1.39 $1.71 $2.75 78
Owner Earnings $2.20 $3.95 $7.65 70
5Y Revenue Exit $1.39 $1.84 $2.78 70
5Y EBITDA Exit $1.72 $2.50 $4.04 72
5Y P/E Exit $1.78 $3.10 $4.92 67
10Y Revenue Exit $1.37 $2.12 $2.61 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $1.64 $2.83 $4.96 64
10Y P/E Exit $1.68 $2.96 $5.12 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.4600 $3.21 $4.50 61
Lynch FV $1.66 $2.37 $3.08 59
PEG = 1.0 $1.66 $2.37 $3.08 55
EPV $1.19 $1.25 $1.30 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1.06 $1.42 $1.77 63
P/S Multiple $0.8600 $1.15 $1.44 58
P/B Multiple $0.8600 $1.15 $1.44 55
EV/EBIT $1.53 $1.77 $2.01 66
EV/EBITDA $1.80 $2.13 $2.45 67
EV/Revenue $1.33 $1.55 $1.77 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.8500 $1.14 $1.70 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.35 $1.88 $2.74 76
Rev-Margin DCF $1.45 $1.98 $3.10 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.26 $1.25 $1.13 74
ROIC Compounder $1.19 $1.25 $1.30 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $2.17 $3.10 $4.02 65

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($3.10) versus Asset-Based ($1.14). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 89.3 as of Jun 20, 2026
P/S ratio 7.10 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.0400 price ÷ EPS = P/E 89.3
Net margin 8.0% FY2025
Return on equity 4.8% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −6.2% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 2.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $3.6B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +23.5% 3y avg +33.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +41.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $134M FY2025
Net cash $1.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 74
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 32
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 38
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Grab Holdings Limited operates the Grab superapp in Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam.

Full company description

Grab Holdings Limited operates the Grab superapp in Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam. The company offers delivery services on its platform, such as GrabFood, a food ordering and delivery booking service; Dine-Out for table reservations; GrabMart, a goods ordering and delivery booking service; GrabAds, an online advertising solution; GrabExpress, a package delivery booking service; Grab for Business platform, a unified management portal for corporate clients. It also provides GrabKios, a network of agents; GrabCar, which enables a private hire driver-partner to register with Grab and accept bookings through its driver-partner application; and GrabTaxi, which enables a taxi driver-partner to register with Grab and accept bookings through the Grab driver-partner application. In addition, the company offers JustGrab, which enables consumers to book a private car or a traditional taxi; GrabBike, a motorcycle ride-hailing offering; three-wheel vehicles for culturally localized modes; carpooling shared mobility options; GrabRentals, which facilitates vehicle rental for its driver-partners; GrabPay, a digital payments solution; and GrabCoins, a loyalty platform. Further, it provides GrabFin for financial services comprising digital and offline lending, PayLater services, white goods financing, receivables factoring, and working capital loans; GrabInsure, aprotection for rides and package deliveries, personal accident insurance, income protection insurance, critical illness insurance, vehicle insurance, and travel insurance; GrabLink, a payment gateway and acquiring service; Digibank Savings Account, a digital banking deposit account. Additionally, the company offers GX Bank debit cards; GXS FlexiCard, a fee-based credit card; and mapping services, autonomous vehicle services, and last-mile delivery infrastructure. Grab Holdings Limited was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Singapore, Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Grab Holdings Ltd reported revenue of $3.4B in FY2025 versus $675M in FY2021, a compound +49.5%/yr. Reported net income was $268M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 71/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$3.4B
Latest YoY
+20.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+33.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+48.4%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Revenue +49.5%/yr
FY21 $675M
FY22 $1.4B
FY23 $2.4B
FY24 $2.8B
FY25 $3.4B
Net income
FY21 −$3.4B
FY22 −$1.7B
FY23 −$434M
FY24 −$105M
FY25 $268M

GRAB screens 163% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Grab Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GRAB

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Software - Application · 691 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −62% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 24% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 89.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.17× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 4.11× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 109.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 35.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.93× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 37
PAST19 · sector 12
HEALTH99 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAP €191.32 €169.59 −11%
Shopify Inc SHOP C$209.78 C$28.76 −86%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $78.82 $43.66 −45%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $252.05 $249.28 −1%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $138.43 $43.73 −68%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $340.39 $112.57 −67%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $329.11 $42.27 −87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $289.15 $454.04 +57%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $284.68 $177.51 −38%
Intuit Inc INTU $348.00 $363.46 +4%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Grab Holdings Ltd (GRAB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.30 versus a price of $3.42, about −62% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GRAB?
Our model-based fair value for Grab Holdings Ltd is $1.30 (as of Sep 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.42.
What is the quality score of GRAB?
Grab Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Grab Holdings Ltd (GRAB)?
Grab Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GRAB?
The net profit margin of Grab Holdings Ltd is about 10.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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