Galderma Group AG (GDERF) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $48.9B
What is Galderma Group AG really worth?
A solid business, but trading 255% above our fair value of $55.70.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $52.27 to $55.70 (+6.6%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price −8.2% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
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What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 74/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($71.57). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- A fairly wide model range ($39.37 to $71.57) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
28‑month range $76.26 – $245.97 · fair‑value band $39.37 – $71.57 · the $198.00 price screens above the $55.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Galderma Group AG (GDERF) currently trades at $198.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $55.70, implying the stock looks roughly 255.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $67.07 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $198.00 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $23.28, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Galderma Group AG generated revenue of $5.2B at a net margin of 11.7%. Revenue grew 24.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.7%. Net debt stands at $1.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $39.37 (bear case) to $71.57 (bull case); at $198.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −72%, GDERF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.45 per share, which is 2.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($67.07) versus Dividend Discount ($2.81). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Galderma Group AG operates as a dermatology company worldwide. The company delivers a science-based portfolio of brands and services for the dermatology market, including injectable aesthetics, dermatological skincare, and therapeutic dermatology.
Full company description
Galderma Group AG operates as a dermatology company worldwide. The company delivers a science-based portfolio of brands and services for the dermatology market, including injectable aesthetics, dermatological skincare, and therapeutic dermatology. Its portfolio of flagship brands includes Azzalure, ALLUZIENCE, Dysport, Restylane, Restylane Skinboosters, Sculptra, Cetaphil, ALASTIN, Soolantra, Epiduo, Epiduo Forte, Differin, AKLIEF, Oracea, Metvix, NEMLUVIO, Relfydess, Benzac, and Loceryl in therapeutic dermatology. The company was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Zug, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Galderma Group AG reported revenue of $5.2B in FY2025 versus $3.4B in FY2021, a compound +11.1%/yr. Reported net income was $613M in FY2025.
GDERF screens 255% overvalued. Compare with Merck KGaA →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Galderma Receives European Union Approval for Restylane® Shaype™: the First-and-Only Bone-Mimicking Hyaluronic Acid Injectable for Facial Sh
- Morgan Stanley bullish on Galderma on stronger Nemluvio growth outlook
- Galderma Group AG (GDERF) Half Year 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Sales and Strategic ...
- Galderma Reports Record First Half 2026 Net Sales of 3.134 Billion USD and 24.6% Year-on-Year Growth at Constant Currency, Raises Net Sales
Peer Group
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 608 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Merck KGaA MRK | €140.25 | €106.48 | −24% |
| Takeda Pharmaceutical Company TAK | $18.03 | $11.11 | −38% |
| Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 | ¥53.76 | ¥25.94 | −52% |
| Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA | ₹1,944 | ₹989.50 | −49% |
| Haleon plc HLN | $10.11 | $7.64 | −24% |
| Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited TEVA | $36.05 | $15.33 | −57% |
| Sandoz Group SDZ | CHF 70.66 | CHF 39.21 | −45% |
| Zoetis Inc ZTS | $77.10 | $104.88 | +36% |
| Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group 3692 | HK$35.12 | HK$16.18 | −54% |
| Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB | ₹8,525 | ₹1,228 | −86% |
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