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Galderma Group AG (GDERF) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $48.9B

What is Galderma Group AG really worth?

GG Galderma Group AG logo Galderma Group AG GDERF · US
Price$198.00
Fair Value$55.70
Upside−71.9%
Quality74/100

A solid business, but trading 255% above our fair value of $55.70.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +11.1 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 11.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!Moderate moat 51/100
!Weak on dividend: 4 out of 100

For context

·0.22% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $39.37 – $71.57

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $52.27 to $55.70 (+6.6%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price −8.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 74/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($71.57). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • A fairly wide model range ($39.37 to $71.57) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

$245.97 $76.26 Fair Value $55.70 May 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

28‑month range $76.26 – $245.97 · fair‑value band $39.37 – $71.57 · the $198.00 price screens above the $55.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Galderma Group AG (GDERF) currently trades at $198.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $55.70, implying the stock looks roughly 255.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $67.07 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $198.00 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $23.28, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Galderma Group AG generated revenue of $5.2B at a net margin of 11.7%. Revenue grew 24.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.7%. Net debt stands at $1.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $39.37 (bear case) to $71.57 (bull case); at $198.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −72%, GDERF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.45 per share, which is 2.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $47.45 $88.88 $158.97 74
Residual Income $28.42 $30.11 $33.30 73
Growth DCF $47.34 $86.17 $150.60 72
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $47.45 $88.88 $158.97 74
Owner Earnings $34.13 $65.56 $118.72 70
5Y Revenue Exit $32.76 $58.73 $92.99 68
5Y EBITDA Exit $43.40 $80.20 $125.43 70
5Y P/E Exit $36.90 $67.07 $100.66 66
10Y Revenue Exit $36.18 $62.22 $100.18 62
10Y EBITDA Exit $44.30 $77.78 $126.79 64
10Y P/E Exit $40.03 $68.27 $106.47 60
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $17.77 $76.50 $104.56 61
Lynch FV $19.61 $28.01 $36.42 58
PEG = 1.0 $19.61 $28.01 $36.42 55
EPV $20.43 $25.11 $29.21 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.60 $3.34 $5.29 63
DDM Multi-Stage $1.60 $2.81 $3.50 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple $43.12 $57.49 $71.87 63
P/S Multiple $33.32 $44.43 $55.53 58
P/B Multiple $33.32 $44.43 $55.53 55
EV/EBIT $39.95 $55.82 $71.69 66
EV/EBITDA $46.00 $63.89 $81.78 67
EV/Revenue $26.31 $40.88 $55.44 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $17.37 $23.28 $34.74 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $47.34 $86.17 $150.60 72
Rev-Margin DCF $32.76 $58.53 $91.11 68
Economic Profit
Residual Income $28.42 $30.11 $33.30 73
ROIC Compounder $20.43 $25.11 $29.21 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $33.67 $48.10 $62.53 65

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($67.07) versus Dividend Discount ($2.81). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 76.7
P/S ratio 8.98 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $2.58 price ÷ EPS = P/E 76.7
Dividend yield 0.2% payout 17.1%
Net margin 11.7% FY2025
Return on equity 7.7% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 5.6% avg 3y
Operating margin 17.8% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $5.2B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +24.8% 3y avg +11.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +129%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $1.0B FY2025
Net debt $1.8B FY2025 · ≈ 1.8 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 74/100

Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 86
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Galderma Group AG operates as a dermatology company worldwide. The company delivers a science-based portfolio of brands and services for the dermatology market, including injectable aesthetics, dermatological skincare, and therapeutic dermatology.

Full company description

Galderma Group AG operates as a dermatology company worldwide. The company delivers a science-based portfolio of brands and services for the dermatology market, including injectable aesthetics, dermatological skincare, and therapeutic dermatology. Its portfolio of flagship brands includes Azzalure, ALLUZIENCE, Dysport, Restylane, Restylane Skinboosters, Sculptra, Cetaphil, ALASTIN, Soolantra, Epiduo, Epiduo Forte, Differin, AKLIEF, Oracea, Metvix, NEMLUVIO, Relfydess, Benzac, and Loceryl in therapeutic dermatology. The company was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Zug, Switzerland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Galderma Group AG reported revenue of $5.2B in FY2025 versus $3.4B in FY2021, a compound +11.1%/yr. Reported net income was $613M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 88/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$5.2B
Latest YoY
+18.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.1%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed
Revenue +11.1%/yr
FY21 $3.4B
FY22 $3.8B
FY23 $4.1B
FY24 $4.4B
FY25 $5.2B
Net income
FY21 −$154M
FY22 −$98.5M
FY23 −$57.0M
FY24 $231M
FY25 $613M

GDERF screens 255% overvalued. Compare with Merck KGaA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Galderma Group AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GDERF

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 608 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −72% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 25% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.32× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 76.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 6.00× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 9.32× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 47.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 44.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.88× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 2
FUTURE100 · sector 22
PAST31 · sector 26
HEALTH84 · sector 97
DIVIDEND4 · sector 29

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Merck KGaA MRK €140.25 €106.48 −24%
Takeda Pharmaceutical Company TAK $18.03 $11.11 −38%
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.76 ¥25.94 −52%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,944 ₹989.50 −49%
Haleon plc HLN $10.11 $7.64 −24%
Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited TEVA $36.05 $15.33 −57%
Sandoz Group SDZ CHF 70.66 CHF 39.21 −45%
Zoetis Inc ZTS $77.10 $104.88 +36%
Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group 3692 HK$35.12 HK$16.18 −54%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹8,525 ₹1,228 −86%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Galderma Group AG (GDERF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $55.70 versus a price of $198.00, about −72% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GDERF?
Our model-based fair value for Galderma Group AG is $55.70 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $198.00.
What is the quality score of GDERF?
Galderma Group AG has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Galderma Group AG (GDERF)?
Galderma Group AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.2B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GDERF?
The net profit margin of Galderma Group AG is about 11.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Galderma Group AG pay a dividend?
Galderma Group AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.22% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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