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Elanco Animal Health (ELAN) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $12.4B · ISIN US28414H1032

What is Elanco Animal Health really worth?

EA Elanco Animal Health logo Elanco Animal Health ELAN · US
Price$24.42
Fair Value$19.17
Upside−21.5%
Quality45/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 27% above our fair value of $19.17.

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Strengths

Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +7.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -5.0% net margin
!Trails peers (3/13)
!Narrow moat 26/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 5 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range $12.64 – $19.17

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −4.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($19.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$36.72 $8.08 Fair Value $19.17 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $8.08 – $36.72 · fair‑value band $12.64 – $19.17 · the $24.42 price screens above the $19.17 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Elanco Animal Health (ELAN) currently trades at $24.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.17, implying the stock looks roughly 27.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $8.78 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the $24.42 price. Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $1.99, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Elanco Animal Health generated revenue of $4.9B at a net margin of −5.0%. Revenue grew 14.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −3.8%. Net debt stands at $3.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $12.64 (bear case) to $19.17 (bull case); at $24.42, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 86% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −22%, ELAN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely ($0.4800 to $19.32). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $1.99 $5.88 77
Growth DCF $1.97 $5.42 75
Owner Earnings $0.8800 73
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $1.99 $5.88 77
Owner Earnings $0.8800 73
5Y Revenue Exit $0.4800 $3.34 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $6.34 $15.08 $24.94 72
10Y Revenue Exit $0.5500 $3.20 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $3.63 $10.43 $18.97 64
Multiples
EV/EBIT $1.77 $3.92 61
EV/EBITDA $12.79 $19.32 $25.85 66
EV/Revenue $1.72 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.55 $8.78 $13.11 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.97 $5.42 75
Rev-Margin DCF $0.5600 $3.17 69

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($8.78) versus Growth DCF ($0.5600). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 2.43 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−0.5000
Net margin −4.9% FY2025
Return on equity −3.8% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 2.1% avg 5y
Operating margin 12.3% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $4.9B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.9% 3y avg +2.2%
EPS growth (YoY) −15.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $284M FY2025
Net debt $3.5B FY2025 · ≈ 12.2 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 13
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 24
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Elanco Animal Health Incorporated, an animal health company, innovates, develops, manufactures, and markets products for pets and farm animals worldwide.

Full company description

Elanco Animal Health Incorporated, an animal health company, innovates, develops, manufactures, and markets products for pets and farm animals worldwide. The company offers pet health products, such as parasiticides, vaccines, and therapeutics that protect pets from fleas, ticks, and internal parasites under the Seresto, K-9 Advantage, Advantix, and Advocate trademarks; prescription parasiticide products, an over-the-counter treatments for the prevention and elimination of fleas and ticks under the Credelio Family, Interceptor Plus, Drontal family, and Drontal Plus; vaccines portfolio that provides differentiated prevention coverage for a number of important pet health risks; and therapeutics portfolio for the treatment of pain, otitis, cardiovascular, and dermatology indications, as well as osteoarthritis for dogs and cats under the Galliprant trademark. It also provides farm animal products that help farmers improve animal health and wellbeing, and raise livestock, such as cattle, swine, and poultry. In addition, the company offers medicated feed additives, injectable antibiotics, vaccines, insecticides and enzymes, and others under the Rumensin, Baytril, and Experior trademarks for cattle; and under the Maxiban and Monteban trademarks for the control and prevention of intestinal disease in poultry. Further, it offers other pet health products for cats and dogs under the Atopica, Milbemax, Onsior, and Tru Family trademarks; and other farm animal products for poultry, cattle, and swine under the AviPro, Catosal, Denagard, Hemicell, Pulmotil, and Surmax tradmarks. The company sells its products to third-party distributors and independent retailers; and directly to farm animal producers and veterinarians. Elanco Animal Health Incorporated was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Indianapolis, Indiana.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Elanco Animal Health reported revenue of $4.7B in FY2025 versus $4.8B in FY2021, a compound −0.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$232M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 47/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$4.7B
Latest YoY
+6.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.9%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −0.3%/yr
FY21 $4.8B
FY22 $4.4B
FY23 $4.4B
FY24 $4.4B
FY25 $4.7B
Net income
FY21 −$483M
FY22 −$78.0M
FY23 −$1.2B
FY24 $338M
FY25 −$232M

ELAN screens 27% overvalued. Compare with Merck KGaA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Elanco Animal Health Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ELAN

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 608 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −22% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.60× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.89× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.53× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 43.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 16.3× · Pricier than median
PEG 4.04× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE5 · sector 2
FUTURE75 · sector 22
PAST0 · sector 26
HEALTH70 · sector 97
DIVIDEND0 · sector 29

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Merck KGaA MRK €140.25 €106.48 −24%
Takeda Pharmaceutical Company TAK $18.03 $11.11 −38%
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.76 ¥25.94 −52%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,944 ₹989.50 −49%
Galderma Group GALD CHF 178.55 CHF 55.07 −69%
Haleon plc HLN $10.11 $7.64 −24%
Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited TEVA $36.05 $15.33 −57%
Sandoz Group SDZ CHF 70.66 CHF 39.21 −45%
Zoetis Inc ZTS $77.10 $104.88 +36%
Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group 3692 HK$35.12 HK$16.18 −54%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Elanco Animal Health (ELAN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $19.17 versus a price of $24.42, about −22% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ELAN?
Our model-based fair value for Elanco Animal Health is $19.17 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $24.42.
What is the quality score of ELAN?
Elanco Animal Health has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Elanco Animal Health (ELAN)?
Elanco Animal Health reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.9B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ELAN?
The net profit margin of Elanco Animal Health is about −5.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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