Black Box Limited (BBOX) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · IN · Market cap ₹170B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ₹185.13 to ₹332.20 (+79.4%) since Aug 2, 2026. Share price −8.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 58% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹501.26). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (₹218.15 to ₹501.26) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹84.81 – ₹1,078 · fair‑value band ₹218.15 – ₹501.26 · the ₹795.85 price screens above the ₹332.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Black Box Limited (BBOX) currently trades at ₹795.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹332.20, implying the stock looks roughly 58.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Black Box Limited generated revenue of ₹63.2B at a net margin of 3.4%. Revenue grew 9.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.3%. Net debt stands at ₹6.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹218.15 (bear case) to ₹501.26 (bull case); at ₹795.85, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 83% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -58%, BBOX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹373.64) versus Dividend Discount (₹15.25). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Black Box Limited provides information and communications technology solutions in India, the United States, and internationally. It operates through System Integration, Technology Product Solution, and Others segments.
Full company description
Black Box Limited provides information and communications technology solutions in India, the United States, and internationally. It operates through System Integration, Technology Product Solution, and Others segments. The company's product portfolio includes data centers, digital workplace, and connected buildings; keyboard, video and mouse (KVM), cables, Internet of Things (IoT), and audio video products; and IP-led hardware offerings under the Black Box brand, including KVM switches, OEM-distributed equipment, and contract-manufactured solutions. It also provides connectivity infrastructure, including fiber connectivity, physical security, surveillance, passive infrastructure, and structured cabling; enterprise networking with local and wide area, cloud, and wireless and private LTE networks; customer and employee experience, and advisory services; and cybersecurity solutions. In addition, the company offers application development and integration, field and dispatch, project and deployment, training, and consulting and design services; and managed services, such as staff augmentation, support, service desk, and X-as-a-service. It serves broadcast, data center, education, finance, government, healthcare, manufacturing and industrial, retail, transportation, utilities, power, oil and gas, workspaces, entertainment and leisure venues, military and defense, and public safety industries under the AlertWerks, Boxilla, ControlBridge, DKM 4K, Emerald, Freedom II KM, iCompel, MCX AVoIP 10G 4K, MediaCento AVoIP 1G HD/4K, Radian, and VideoPlex4000 brands. The company was formerly known as AGC Networks Limited and changed its name to Black Box Limited in November 2021. Black Box Limited was founded in 1976 and is based in Navi Mumbai, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Black Box Limited reported revenue of ₹63.2B in FY2026 versus ₹53.7B in FY2022, a compound +4.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹2.2B in FY2026, compounding +31.5%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +24.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.4 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
BBOX screens 58% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 713 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.46 | C$16.26 | +30% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$209.78 | C$28.76 | -86% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $75.36 | $43.66 | -42% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $193.32 | $249.28 | +29% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $124.94 | $43.73 | -65% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $323.13 | $112.57 | -65% |
| Beijing Kingsoft Office Software, Inc 688111 | ¥254.50 | ¥81.23 | -68% |
| Tata Elxsi Limited TATAELXSI | ₹3,712 | ₹2,519 | -32% |
| Douzone Bizon Co 012510 | 120,000 KRW | 92,181 KRW | -23% |
| KFin Technologies Limited KFINTECH | ₹922.00 | ₹556.85 | -40% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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