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Avantor Inc (AVTR) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $7.6B · ISIN US05352A1007

What is Avantor Inc really worth?

AI Avantor Inc logo Avantor Inc AVTR · US
Price$15.19
Fair Value$4.18
Upside−72.5%
Quality49/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 263% above our fair value of $4.18.

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Strengths

Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -8.4% net margin
!Trails peers (3/12)
!Narrow moat 24/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $1.35 to $7.01
Evidence: Medium Range $1.35 – $7.01

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +11.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($7.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($1.35 to $7.01). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$44.01 $7.41 Fair Value $4.18 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $7.41 – $44.01 · fair‑value band $1.35 – $7.01 · the $15.19 price screens above the $4.18 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Avantor Inc (AVTR) currently trades at $15.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.18, implying the stock looks roughly 263.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $8.02 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the $15.19 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $4.23, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Avantor Inc generated revenue of $6.6B at a net margin of −8.4%. It earns a return on equity of −9.4%. Net debt stands at $3.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.35 (bear case) to $7.01 (bull case); at $15.19, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 109% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −72%, AVTR screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $4.13 $12.32 $26.75 73
5Y EBITDA Exit $1.87 $4.84 72
Growth DCF $3.95 $11.11 $23.08 72
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $4.13 $12.32 $26.75 73
5Y Revenue Exit $2.28 $8.02 $15.94 67
5Y EBITDA Exit $1.87 $4.84 72
10Y Revenue Exit $2.60 $8.30 $17.34 61
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.9300 $3.80 $7.91 62
Multiples
EV/Revenue $1.40 $4.23 $7.05 49
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.08 $5.46 $8.15 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.95 $11.11 $23.08 72
Rev-Margin DCF $2.28 $7.86 $15.38 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($8.02) versus Multiples ($4.23). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (73).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 1.15 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−0.8100
Net margin −8.1% FY2025
Return on equity −9.4% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 5.5% avg 5y
Operating margin 6.3% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $6.6B TTM
EPS growth (YoY) −33.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $495M FY2025
Net debt $3.6B FY2025 · ≈ 7.2 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 92
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 41
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 80
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Avantor, Inc. engages in the provision of mission-critical products and services to customers in the biopharma, healthcare, education and government, advanced technologies, and applied materials industries in the Americas, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and Africa.

Full company description

Avantor, Inc. engages in the provision of mission-critical products and services to customers in the biopharma, healthcare, education and government, advanced technologies, and applied materials industries in the Americas, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, and Africa. The company offers materials and consumables, such as purity chemicals and reagents, lab products and supplies, formulated silicone materials, customized excipients, customized single-use assemblies, process chromatography resins and columns, analytical sample prep kits, education and microbiology products, clinical trial kits, and fluid handling tips. It also provides equipment and instrumentation products, including filtration systems, virus inactivation systems, incubators, analytical instruments, evaporators, ultra-low-temperature freezers, biological safety cabinets, peristaltic pumps, and critical environment supplies. In addition, the company offers services and specialty procurements comprising onsite lab and production, equipment, procurement and sourcing, and biopharmaceutical material scale-up and development services. Further, it provides scientific research support services, such as DNA extraction, bioreactor servicing, clinical and biorepository, compound management, cleanroom control, monitoring, maintenance, and sanitization services. The company was founded in 1904 and is headquartered in Radnor, Pennsylvania.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Avantor Inc reported revenue of $6.6B in FY2025 versus $7.4B in FY2021, a compound −3.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$530M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 24/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$6.6B
Latest YoY
−3.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+26.3%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −3.0%/yr
FY21 $7.4B
FY22 $4.9B
FY23 $7.0B
FY24 $6.8B
FY25 $6.6B
Net income
FY21 $573M
FY22 $687M
FY23 $321M
FY24 $712M
FY25 −$530M

AVTR screens 263% overvalued. Compare with Intuitive Surgical, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Avantor Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AVTR

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Medical Instruments & Supplies · 194 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −73% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.70× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Instruments & Supplies median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.36× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.15× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 15.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 11.7× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 29
PAST0 · sector 26
HEALTH65 · sector 96
DIVIDEND0 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 66/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Instruments & Supplies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Intuitive Surgical, Inc ISRG $367.07 $150.04 −59%
EssilorLuxottica Société anonyme EL €160.35 €94.93 −41%
Medline Inc MDLN $36.59 $30.15 −18%
Becton, Dickinson and Company BDX $187.12 $100.46 −46%
Alcon Inc ALC $72.23 $39.78 −45%
ResMed Inc RMD A$33.19 A$26.23 −21%
West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc WST $337.47 $141.58 −58%
Sartorius Stedim Biotech S.A DIM €197.70 €48.88 −75%
Straumann Holding STMN CHF 97.38 CHF 47.31 −51%
Sartorius Aktiengesellschaft SRT3 €253.50 €63.30 −75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Avantor Inc (AVTR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.18 versus a price of $15.19, about −72% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AVTR?
Our model-based fair value for Avantor Inc is $4.18 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $15.19.
What is the quality score of AVTR?
Avantor Inc has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Avantor Inc (AVTR)?
Avantor Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.6B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AVTR?
The net profit margin of Avantor Inc is about −8.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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