ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (ASELS) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · TR · Market cap 1.6T TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −13.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 62% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (164.14 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (61.82 TRY to 164.14 TRY). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 6.98 TRY – 434.00 TRY · fair‑value band 61.82 TRY – 164.14 TRY · the 346.75 TRY price screens above the 130.70 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (ASELS) currently trades at 346.75 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 130.70 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 62.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi generated revenue of 185B TRY at a net margin of 17.6%. Revenue grew 15.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.8%. Net debt stands at 14.0B TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 61.82 TRY (bear case) to 164.14 TRY (bull case); at 346.75 TRY, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 108% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -60% fair-value upside, at -62%, ASELS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (268.97 TRY) versus Dividend Discount (0.8400 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi engages in research, development, engineering, production, testing, assembly, integration, sale, support, consultancy, and trading of software, equipment, systems, tools, materials, and platforms in turkey.
Full company description
ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi engages in research, development, engineering, production, testing, assembly, integration, sale, support, consultancy, and trading of software, equipment, systems, tools, materials, and platforms in turkey. It operates in six divisions: Communication and Information Technologies; Microelectronics, Guidance & Electro-Optics; Avionics and Guidance Systems Vice Presidency; Integrated Defence Systems Technologies; Radar and Electronic Warfare Systems; and Transportation, Security, Energy, Automation and Healthcare Systems. The company offers military communication and information, mission critical communication, avionics and navigation, electro-optic, guidance and seeker, land and weapon, naval and underwater, air and missile, transportation and energy, and security and health systems; satellite and space technologies; radar technologies; electronic warfare system technologies; and command, control, communication and computer systems. It also provides geographic information system; business development and repair services; and consultancy services, as well as operates in the fields of augmented reality, artificial intelligence, simulation software, research, development, and design and engineering. In addition, the company is involved in serial production, maintenance and repair activities of visible precision optical and electro optical devices; designing of electronic industry and integrated circuit; marketing and business development business; research, designing, development, and engineering activities of weapons and weapons systems; after-sales services of electronic components within the field of military power electronics; and commercial and industrial activities related to electromechanical industrial products and slip ring. The company was incorporated in 1975 and is headquartered in Ankara, Turkey. ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is a subsidiary of Turkish Armed Forces Foundation.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi reported revenue of 180B TRL in FY2025 versus 20.1B TRL in FY2021, a compound +73.0%/yr. Reported net income was 29.9B TRL in FY2025, compounding +43.2%/yr from FY2021.
ASELS screens 62% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →
Peer Group
Aerospace & Defense · 225 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Electric Company GE | $365.33 | $116.71 | -68% |
| RTX Corporation RTX | $222.76 | $88.37 | -60% |
| Airbus SE 1AIR | €213.05 | €86.20 | -60% |
| The Boeing Company BA | $231.20 | $49.09 | -79% |
| China CSSC Holdings 600150 | ¥33.89 | ¥21.90 | -35% |
| HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 | 496,000 KRW | 272,966 KRW | -45% |
| Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 | 1,156,000 KRW | 573,468 KRW | -50% |
| Saab AB SAABB | kr 680.10 | kr 212.84 | -69% |
| Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG | kr 330.10 | kr 101.07 | -69% |
| HD Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering Co 009540 | 371,500 KRW | 643,950 KRW | +73% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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