Alkermes Plc (ALKS) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $8.6B · ISIN USG017671052
What is Alkermes Plc really worth?
A solid business, but trading 57% above our fair value of $29.91.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Sep 2, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price −5.6% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($38.00). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $21.47 – $55.22 · fair‑value band $23.92 – $38.00 · the $46.88 price screens above the $29.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 4 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.
Analysis
Alkermes Plc (ALKS) currently trades at $46.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $29.91, implying the stock looks roughly 56.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $43.85 per share, and 5 of the 26 models we run sit above the $46.88 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $7.31, and 21 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Alkermes Plc generated revenue of $1.6B at a net margin of 9.8%. Revenue grew 28.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.0B. Fundamentals as of Sep 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $23.92 (bear case) to $38.00 (bull case); at $46.88, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 86% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −36%, ALKS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.6090 per share, which is 2.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($43.85) versus Dividend Discount ($0.1300). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Alkermes plc, a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research, development, and commercialization of pharmaceutical products to address unmet medical needs of patients in therapeutic areas in the United States, Ireland, and internationally.
Full company description
Alkermes plc, a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research, development, and commercialization of pharmaceutical products to address unmet medical needs of patients in therapeutic areas in the United States, Ireland, and internationally. The company has a portfolio of proprietary commercial products for the treatment of opioid dependence, alcohol dependence, schizophrenia, bipolar I, and a pipeline of clinical and preclinical product candidates in development for neurological disorders. Its marketed products include ARISTADA, an intramuscular injectable suspension for the treatment of schizophrenia; ARISTADA INITIO for the treatment of schizophrenia in adults; VIVITROL for the treatment of alcohol and prevention of opioid dependence; LYBALVI, an oral atypical antipsychotic drug candidate for the treatment of adults with schizophrenia and bipolar I disorder; and LUMRYZ, an extended-release oral suspension product for the treatment of cataplexy or EDS in pediatric patients. The company also offers proprietary technology platforms to third parties to enable them to develop, commercialize, and manufacture products. It has collaboration agreements primarily with Janssen Pharmaceutica N.V., Janssen Pharmaceutica Inc, and Janssen Pharmaceutica International. Alkermes plc was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Alkermes Plc reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2025 versus $1.2B in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was $242M in FY2025.
ALKS screens 57% overvalued. Compare with Merck KGaA →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Alkermes Chief Commercial Officer Sells 7,576 Shares for $373,000
- Why Is Alkermes (ALKS) Up 1.7% Since Last Earnings Report?
- The Lancet Neurology Publishes Data From Alkermes’ Positive Vibrance-1 Phase 2 Study of Alixorexton in Adults With Narcolepsy Type 1
- ALKS Stock Rises 27% in 3 Months: Here's What You Should Know
Peer Group
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 608 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 42/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Merck KGaA MRK | €140.25 | €106.48 | −24% |
| Takeda Pharmaceutical Company TAK | $18.03 | $11.11 | −38% |
| Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 | ¥53.76 | ¥25.94 | −52% |
| Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA | ₹1,944 | ₹989.50 | −49% |
| Galderma Group GALD | CHF 178.55 | CHF 55.07 | −69% |
| Haleon plc HLN | $10.11 | $7.64 | −24% |
| Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited TEVA | $36.05 | $15.33 | −57% |
| Sandoz Group SDZ | CHF 70.66 | CHF 39.21 | −45% |
| Zoetis Inc ZTS | $77.10 | $104.88 | +36% |
| Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group 3692 | HK$35.12 | HK$16.18 | −54% |
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