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Saudi Telecom (7010) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · SA · Market cap 216B SAR (≈ $57.4B) · ISIN SA0007879543

What is Saudi Telecom really worth?

ST Saudi Telecom 7010 · SR
Price43.86 SAR
Fair Value50.52 SAR
Upside+15.2%
Quality61/100

A solid business, trading 13% below our fair value of 50.52 SAR.

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Strengths

✓Solidly profitable · 18.9% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (13/14)
✓Wide moat 65/100

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +5.7 %/yr)
!Weak on future: 19 out of 100
Evidence: High Range 37.66 SAR – 63.15 SAR

Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +1.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
  • The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

44.80 SAR 21.43 SAR Fair Value 50.52 SAR Feb 2020 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 21.43 SAR – 44.80 SAR · fair‑value band 37.66 SAR – 63.15 SAR · the 43.86 SAR price screens below the 50.52 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Saudi Telecom (7010) currently trades at 43.86 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 50.52 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 13.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of 62.33 SAR per share, and 13 of the 25 models we run sit above the 43.86 SAR price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 11.20 SAR, and 12 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Saudi Telecom generated revenue of 78.5B SAR at a net margin of 18.9%. Revenue grew 3.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.8%. Net debt stands at 5.8B SAR. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 37.66 SAR (bear case) to 63.15 SAR (bull case); at 43.86 SAR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 30% fair-value upside, at 15%, 7010 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 2.03 SAR per share, which is 4.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence 14.59 SAR 21.99 SAR 33.25 SAR 80
Growth DCF 15.05 SAR 21.91 SAR 31.89 SAR 78
Owner Earnings 29.58 SAR 44.49 SAR 67.16 SAR 76
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence 14.59 SAR 21.99 SAR 33.25 SAR 80
Owner Earnings 29.58 SAR 44.49 SAR 67.16 SAR 76
5Y Revenue Exit 21.13 SAR 34.55 SAR 51.37 SAR 72
5Y EBITDA Exit 30.29 SAR 51.01 SAR 74.56 SAR 74
5Y P/E Exit 33.11 SAR 56.07 SAR 79.36 SAR 70
10Y Revenue Exit 17.86 SAR 29.64 SAR 44.74 SAR 66
10Y EBITDA Exit 24.53 SAR 41.08 SAR 62.21 SAR 67
10Y P/E Exit 26.34 SAR 44.61 SAR 65.82 SAR 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 20.21 SAR 50.56 SAR 65.61 SAR 65
PEG = 1.0 9.26 SAR 13.22 SAR 17.19 SAR 57
EPV 25.84 SAR 30.43 SAR 34.52 SAR 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 40.39 SAR 79.03 SAR 138.18 SAR 65
DDM Multi-Stage 40.39 SAR 62.33 SAR 87.25 SAR 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple 49.03 SAR 65.38 SAR 81.72 SAR 63
P/S Multiple 37.89 SAR 50.52 SAR 63.15 SAR 58
P/B Multiple 37.89 SAR 50.52 SAR 63.15 SAR 55
EV/EBIT 34.52 SAR 46.09 SAR 57.66 SAR 66
EV/EBITDA 43.93 SAR 58.64 SAR 73.35 SAR 67
EV/Revenue 26.12 SAR 37.41 SAR 48.69 SAR 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 8.36 SAR 11.20 SAR 16.72 SAR 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 15.05 SAR 21.91 SAR 31.89 SAR 78
Rev-Margin DCF 21.13 SAR 34.53 SAR 48.99 SAR 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income 19.53 SAR 23.68 SAR 52.67 SAR 70
ROIC Compounder 27.07 SAR 34.08 SAR 42.24 SAR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 37.66 SAR 53.80 SAR 69.94 SAR 67

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (62.33 SAR) versus Asset-Based (11.20 SAR). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 14.7
P/S ratio 2.80 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) 2.99 SAR price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.7
Dividend yield 9.7% payout 143%
Net margin 19.1% FY2025
Return on equity 16.8% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 9.5% avg 5y
Operating margin 20.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 78.5B SAR TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.8% 3y avg +4.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +1.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 6.5B SAR FY2025
Net debt 5.8B SAR FY2025 · ≈ 0.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 61
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Saudi Telecom Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications, information, media, and digital payment services in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and internationally.

Full company description

Saudi Telecom Company, together with its subsidiaries, provides telecommunications, information, media, and digital payment services in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and internationally. The company establishes, manages, operates, and maintains fixed and mobile telecommunication networks, systems, and infrastructures; delivers, provides, maintains, and manages diverse telecommunication and information technology (IT) services; prepares, plans, and studies for technical, financial, and administrative aspects of telecommunication and IT services; expands and develops telecommunication networks, systems, and infrastructure; offers transfer of internet services; and wholesales and retails, imports, exports, purchases, owns, leases, manufactures, promotes, sells, develops, designs, setups, and maintains devices, equipment, and components. It also provides consultancy services; integrated communication and information technology solutions, including telecom, IT services, managed services, cloud services, and internet of things, etc.; information-based systems and technologies; financial and managerial support and other services; development, training, asset management, and other related services; solutions for decision support, business intelligence, and data investment; supply chain and other related services; and digital banking and cybersecurity services. In addition, the company engages in the selling, buying, leasing, managing, developing, and maintenance of real estate properties; and construction, maintenance, and repair of telecommunication, and radar stations and towers. Saudi Telecom Company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Saudi Telecom reported revenue of 77.8B SAR in FY2025 versus 63.0B SAR in FY2021, a compound +5.4%/yr. Reported net income was 14.8B SAR in FY2025, compounding +7.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 71/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
77.8B SAR
Latest YoY
+2.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (19Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+15.3% (5.6 + 9.7)
Revenue +5.4%/yr
FY21 63.0B SAR
FY22 67.4B SAR
FY23 72.3B SAR
FY24 75.9B SAR
FY25 77.8B SAR
Net income +7.0%/yr
FY21 11.3B SAR
FY22 12.2B SAR
FY23 13.3B SAR
FY24 24.7B SAR
FY25 14.8B SAR
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +6.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.7 %

of which total revenue +4.7 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %

EBIT margin −1.9 %
Tax rate +0.4 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +3.6 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Saudi Telecom · Fair Value
50.52 SAR +13%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Saudi Telecom Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/7010

Peer Group

Telecom Services · 248 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +15% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Above median
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 9.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.17× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Telecom Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.69× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.73× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 8.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 2.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE54 · sector 28
FUTURE19 · sector 16
PAST67 · sector 28
HEALTH91 · sector 89
DIVIDEND100 · sector 76

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Mobile Limited 600941 ¥96.11 ¥109.88 +14%
T-Mobile US, Inc TMUS $177.75 $172.67 −3%
Verizon Communications Inc VZ $49.43 $64.43 +30%
AT&T Inc T $26.01 $43.97 +69%
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,935 ₹941.48 −51%
Comcast Corporation CMCSA $26.41 $95.42 +261%
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.43 ¥8.36 +30%
América Móvil, S.A. AMX $23.50 $39.45 +68%
Singapore Telecommunications Limited Z77 4.29 SGD 3.03 SGD −29%
Swisscom AG SCMN CHF 627.50 CHF 463.92 −26%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Saudi Telecom (7010) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 50.52 SAR versus a price of 43.86 SAR, about +15% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 7010?
Our model-based fair value for Saudi Telecom is 50.52 SAR (as of Aug 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 43.86 SAR.
What is the quality score of 7010?
Saudi Telecom has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Saudi Telecom (7010)?
Saudi Telecom reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 78.5B SAR (latest available figure, as of Aug 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 7010?
The net profit margin of Saudi Telecom is about 18.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Saudi Telecom pay a dividend?
Saudi Telecom currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.72% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 21, 2026).
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