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The Saudi Investment Bank (1030) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · SA · Market cap 17.2B SAR

TS The Saudi Investment Bank 1030 · SR
Price13.86 SAR
Fair Value25.34 SAR
Upside+82.8%
Quality54/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 52.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Moderate moat 64/100
Evidence: High Range 19.01 SAR – 31.68 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price +3.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 83% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (19.01 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

15.18 SAR 5.40 SAR Fair Value 25.34 SAR Jan 2020 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 5.40 SAR – 15.18 SAR · fair‑value band 19.01 SAR – 31.68 SAR · the 13.86 SAR price screens below the 25.34 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 31, 2026.

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Analysis

The Saudi Investment Bank (1030) currently trades at 13.86 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 25.34 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 82.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, The Saudi Investment Bank generated revenue of 4.7B SAR at a net margin of 52.9%. Revenue grew 146.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.2%. Net debt stands at 38.0B SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 19.01 SAR (bear case) to 31.68 SAR (bull case); at 13.86 SAR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at 83%, 1030 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 13.46 SAR 17.01 SAR 40.14 SAR 76
Gordon GGM 7.35 SAR 15.27 SAR 24.23 SAR 70
P/E Multiple 19.01 SAR 25.34 SAR 31.68 SAR 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 7.35 SAR 15.27 SAR 24.23 SAR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 7.35 SAR 12.88 SAR 16.03 SAR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 19.01 SAR 25.34 SAR 31.68 SAR 63
P/B Multiple 14.41 SAR 19.22 SAR 24.02 SAR 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 6.86 SAR 9.20 SAR 13.73 SAR 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 13.46 SAR 17.01 SAR 40.14 SAR 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (19.22 SAR) versus Asset-Based (9.20 SAR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.7B SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) +147%
Net margin 52.9%
Return on equity 11.2%
Free cash flow 2.9B SAR FY2025
P/E ratio 8.2
More key figures
Operating margin 24.9%
EPS (TTM) 1.69 SAR
EPS growth (YoY) +47.0%
Net debt 38.0B SAR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 44
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 85
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 11
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 95
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

The Saudi Investment Bank provides commercial and retail banking services to individuals, small to medium-sized businesses, and corporate and institutional customers in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company operates through Retail Banking, Corporate Banking, Treasury and Investments, and Asset Management and Brokerage and other segments.

Full company description

The Saudi Investment Bank provides commercial and retail banking services to individuals, small to medium-sized businesses, and corporate and institutional customers in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The company operates through Retail Banking, Corporate Banking, Treasury and Investments, and Asset Management and Brokerage and other segments. The company offers loans, deposits, and other products for public institutions, high-net worth individuals and consumers; money market, investments and treasury services, and investments in associates and related activities. It also provides support functions, special credit, and other management and control units. It offers current, saving, murabaha, and travel accounts; time deposits; and working capital, Shariah-compliant, contract, project and structured, home and personal, secured, and trade financing solutions, as well as syndicated loans. The company also engages in the provision of money market and international trade services; and dealing, managing, advising, and custody of securities. In addition, it offers structured products; liquidity management, foreign exchange, treasury and investment, trade and business finance, and cash management services; marine cargo insurance services; debit, prepaid, and credit cards; internet and phone banking; and payroll services, as well as payment and transfer, and ATM/cash deposit services. The company was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

The Saudi Investment Bank reported revenue of 11.3B SAR in FY2025 versus 2.8B SAR in FY2021, a compound +42.3%/yr. Reported net income was 2.4B SAR in FY2025, compounding +23.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
11.3B SAR
Latest YoY
+171.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+50.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+31.8%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.2%
Revenue +42.3%/yr
FY21 2.8B SAR
FY22 3.3B SAR
FY23 4.0B SAR
FY24 4.2B SAR
FY25 11.3B SAR
Net income +23.0%/yr
FY21 1.1B SAR
FY22 1.5B SAR
FY23 1.8B SAR
FY24 2.0B SAR
FY25 2.4B SAR
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +2.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share +9.5 pp

of which total revenue +12.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.7 pp

EBIT margin −4.5 pp
Tax rate −1.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Saudi Investment Bank Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1030

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1086 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +83% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 53% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 25% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 147% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.27× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.98× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 33
FUTURE 100 · sector 44
PAST 45 · sector 41
HEALTH 100 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,350 IDR 4,637 IDR -27%
KB Financial Group 105560 168,100 KRW 220,258 KRW +31%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 3,110 IDR 3,792 IDR +22%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,130 IDR 6,067 IDR +47%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 8,400 ARS +64%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 103,800 KRW 146,032 KRW +41%
Hana Financial Group 086790 127,900 KRW 210,506 KRW +65%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,500 VND 45,959 VND -23%
Woori Financial Group 316140 33,000 KRW 60,758 KRW +84%

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Frequently asked questions

Is The Saudi Investment Bank (1030) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 25.34 SAR versus a price of 13.86 SAR, about +83% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 1030?
Our model-based fair value for The Saudi Investment Bank is 25.34 SAR (as of Jul 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 13.86 SAR.
What is the quality score of 1030?
The Saudi Investment Bank has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of The Saudi Investment Bank (1030)?
The Saudi Investment Bank reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.7B SAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1030?
The net profit margin of The Saudi Investment Bank is about 52.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 52.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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