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Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd (0268) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? Yes
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Technology · HK · ISIN KYG525681477

Some data Sep 20, 2026

Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd

0268 · HK

Stretched ValuationQuality growthStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value HK$3.42 · Strongly overvalued (−57%)

✓Quality 67/100

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +15.9 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 1.3% net margin (TTM)

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow

!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)

!Narrow moat 32/100

!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

!Weak on past: 4 out of 100

26 models, one by onewith weight and evidence Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 67/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$5.42 – HK$31.60 · the HK$7.92 price screens above the HK$3.42 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 20, 2026.

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Company profile

Kingdee International Software Group Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the subscription and sale of software worldwide. It also provides subscription and software implementation services, software solution consulting, maintenance, upgrade and other supporting services, and other services. In addition, the company designs, develops, manufactures, and sells software and hardware products; and provides software-related and online financial intermediation services. It serves enterprises, government agencies, and other organizations. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd (0268) currently trades at HK$7.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.42, implying the stock looks roughly 131.4% overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of HK$5.69 per share, and 1 of the 21 models we run sit above the HK$7.92 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.4000, and 20 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 7.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 4.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +13.8%/yr. Reported net income was 92.9M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$27.8B (≈ $3.6B) · P/E ratio 197.3 · P/S ratio 2.62 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0300 · Net margin 1.3% · Return on equity 0.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.1% · Operating margin 6.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −57%, 0268 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$3.42 Fair Value HK$3.42 Bull HK$3.42

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF HK$4.32 HK$7.76 HK$15.19 76

Growth DCF HK$4.23 HK$7.93 HK$13.67 76

Residual Income HK$1.61 HK$1.50 HK$1.10 76

All 21 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF HK$4.32 HK$7.76 HK$15.19 76

Owner Earnings HK$2.91 HK$5.29 HK$9.78 73

5Y Revenue Exit HK$3.41 HK$5.76 HK$9.04 71

5Y EBITDA Exit HK$2.89 HK$4.62 HK$6.83 74

5Y P/E Exit HK$2.02 HK$2.72 HK$3.49 72

10Y Revenue Exit HK$3.59 HK$5.99 HK$9.90 65

10Y EBITDA Exit HK$3.32 HK$5.13 HK$7.94 67

10Y P/E Exit HK$2.73 HK$3.69 HK$4.98 64

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd HK$0.1800 HK$1.01 HK$1.40 63

Lynch FV HK$0.2800 HK$0.4000 HK$0.5200 61

PEG = 1.0 HK$0.2800 HK$0.4000 HK$0.5200 57

Multiples

P/E Multiple HK$0.5600 HK$0.7400 HK$0.9300 63

P/S Multiple HK$0.3400 HK$0.4500 HK$0.5700 58

P/B Multiple HK$0.3400 HK$0.4500 HK$0.5700 55

EV/EBITDA HK$2.37 HK$3.00 HK$3.63 67

EV/Revenue HK$2.99 HK$4.06 HK$5.13 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$1.17 HK$1.57 HK$2.35 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF HK$4.23 HK$7.93 HK$13.67 76

Rev-Margin DCF HK$3.41 HK$5.69 HK$8.81 71

Economic Profit

Residual Income HK$1.61 HK$1.50 HK$1.10 76

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.4900 HK$0.7000 HK$0.9100 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 29

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 70

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 77

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 74

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 81

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 36

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 34

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 9

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 82

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 90/100

Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Revenue growth 1 year

+12.0%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+12.9%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+15.9%

Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+16.8%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.

−25.1%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year−25.1%

Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−25% vs −10%, slowing

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−12% → −2%

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations

The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

+14.6%

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.

+12.0%

Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.

Forecast 2026 (sales)+13.0%

Forecast 2027 (sales)+14.1%

Projected 2028 (sales)+12.6%

Projected 2029 (sales)+11.1%

Projected 2030 (sales)+9.5%

0268 screens 131% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 696 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures

A mixed picture versus its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median

Return on assets 0% · Below median

Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median

Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 13% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 197.3× · Priciest 25%

P/B 2.52× · Pricier than median

P/S (TTM) 2.95× · Pricier than median

P/FCF 2.7× · Cheaper than median

PEG 0.95× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 23

FUTURE (revenue growth)63 · sector 37

PAST (return on equity)4 · sector 13

HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 98

DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 29

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAP	€186.56	€156.00	−16%
Shopify Inc SHOP	C$178.41	C$112.02	−37%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER	$70.84	$102.51	+45%
Salesforce, Inc CRM	$236.42	$344.41	+46%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW	$141.90	$156.09	+10%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS	$273.96	$224.24	−18%
Snowflake Inc SNOW	$322.98	$74.65	−77%
Datadog, Inc DDOG	$230.27	$32.92	−86%
Adobe Inc ADBE	$249.52	$471.62	+89%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP	$276.53	$177.51	−36%

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Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd · Fair Value
HK$3.42 −131%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0268" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">HK$3.42</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−131%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0268

Frequently asked questions

Is Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd (0268) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$3.42 versus a price of HK$7.92, about −57% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of 0268?

Our model-based fair value for Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd is HK$3.42 (as of Sep 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$7.92.

What is the quality score of 0268?

Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd (0268)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$3.42 (as of Sep 20, 2026) from 21 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at HK$3.42, about −57% upside versus a price of HK$7.92 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd (0268)?

Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$7.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 20, 2026).

What growth is priced into Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd (0268)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +14.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +15.9 % per year. As of Sep 20, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0268 use?

Our models discount Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd at 10.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.89, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd that is +14.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd (0268) delivered so far?

Over the past 5 years revenue at Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd grew +15.9 % a year. The price currently implies +14.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

How fast is the sector of Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd (0268) growing?

The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd (+14.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.

What is the free cash flow yield of Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd (0268)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.45 %: that much free cash flow Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd (0268)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd it is HK$3.42 per share (as of Sep 20, 2026), against a price of HK$7.92. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 20, 2026, 0268 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$7.92, fair value HK$3.42, a gap of about −57% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 0268?

No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$7.92); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$3.42). For Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd the two are HK$4.50 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd worth?

The market values Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd at about HK$27.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 20, 2026). Per share that is HK$7.92; our models calculate a fair value of HK$3.42 per share.

What is the P/E ratio of 0268?

Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 197.3 (as of Sep 20, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$3.42 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.0, P/B 2.5, P/S 3.0.

What is the PEG ratio of 0268?

The PEG ratio of Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd is 0.95 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 20, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.

How solid is the balance sheet of Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd (0268)?

Balance-sheet figures for Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd (as of Sep 20, 2026): return on equity 0.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 0268 from its 52-week high?

Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd trades at HK$7.92, about 58% below its 52-week high of HK$19.00 and 41% above the low of HK$5.63 (as of Sep 20, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$3.42 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd?

From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Shopify Inc, Uber Technologies, Inc, Salesforce, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 20, 2026: price HK$7.92, calculated fair value HK$3.42 (−57%), Quality Score 67/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 0268 calculated?

We run Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd through 21 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$3.42, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 16.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd (0268)?

The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was HK$7.92. Our model-based fair value is HK$3.42, about −57% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$3.42). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd (0268)?

The market capitalisation of Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd is HK$27.8B (≈ $3.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd (0268)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd is 2.62 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd (0268)?

Earnings per share at Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd are HK$−0.0300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 197.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the net margin of Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd (0268)?

The net margin of Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd is 1.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd (0268)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd is 0.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd (0268)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd is −3.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd (0268)?

The operating margin of Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd (0268)?

Revenue at Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd is growing +12.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd (0268)?

Earnings per share at Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd are growing +152% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much net cash does Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd (0268) hold?

Kingdee International Software Group Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$1.7B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.

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