Guangdong Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (002317) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · CN · Market cap 18.7B CNY (≈ $2.8B) · ISIN CNE100000HW4
What is Guangdong Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical Co Ltd really worth?
A solid business, but trading 359% above our fair value of ¥5.37.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −9.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.98). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.51 – ¥37.62 · fair‑value band ¥3.88 – ¥6.98 · the ¥24.64 price screens above the ¥5.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Guangdong Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical Co Ltd (002317) currently trades at ¥24.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.37, implying the stock looks roughly 358.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥6.06 per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥24.64 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥2.81, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical Co Ltd generated revenue of 2.5B CNY at a net margin of 11.7%. Revenue declined 1.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.88 (bear case) to ¥6.98 (bull case); at ¥24.64, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 71% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at −78%, 002317 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.1015 per share, which is 1.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥6.06) versus Earnings-Based (¥2.81). Highest evidence: Owner Earnings (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Guangdong Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. engages in research, development, production, and sale of pharmaceutical drugs in China. The company offers traditional Chinese medicine and chemical medicine. It also focuses on the fields of cardiovascular, respiratory, ophthalmology, and digestive. Guangdong Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.
Full company description
Guangdong Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. engages in research, development, production, and sale of pharmaceutical drugs in China. The company offers traditional Chinese medicine and chemical medicine. It also focuses on the fields of cardiovascular, respiratory, ophthalmology, and digestive. Guangdong Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. was founded in 1979 and is based in Dongguan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guangdong Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.5B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was 276M CNY in FY2025, compounding −0.2%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +8.5 % · buybacks/dilution −1.3 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
002317 screens 359% overvalued. Compare with Merck KGaA →
Peer Group
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 608 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Merck KGaA MRK | €140.25 | €106.48 | −24% |
| Takeda Pharmaceutical Company TAK | $18.03 | $11.11 | −38% |
| Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 | ¥53.76 | ¥25.94 | −52% |
| Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA | ₹1,944 | ₹989.50 | −49% |
| Galderma Group GALD | CHF 178.55 | CHF 55.07 | −69% |
| Haleon plc HLN | $10.11 | $7.64 | −24% |
| Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited TEVA | $36.05 | $15.33 | −57% |
| Sandoz Group SDZ | CHF 70.66 | CHF 39.21 | −45% |
| Zoetis Inc ZTS | $77.10 | $104.88 | +36% |
| Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group 3692 | HK$35.12 | HK$16.18 | −54% |
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