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Huadong Medicine Co Ltd (000963) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 52.3B CNY (≈ $7.8B) · ISIN CNE0000011S1

What is Huadong Medicine Co Ltd really worth?

HM Huadong Medicine Co Ltd 000963 · SHE
Price¥27.37
Fair Value¥42.83
Upside+56.5%
Quality64/100

A solid business, trading 36% below our fair value of ¥42.83.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +5.3 %/yr)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/14)

Risks

!Thin margins · 8.0% net margin
!Moderate moat 48/100
!Weak on future: 21 out of 100

For context

·3.40% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range ¥27.47 – ¥53.54

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price −2.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥27.47 to ¥53.54) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥48.14 ¥24.96 Fair Value ¥42.83 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥24.96 – ¥48.14 · fair‑value band ¥27.47 – ¥53.54 · the ¥27.37 price screens below the ¥42.83 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Huadong Medicine Co Ltd (000963) currently trades at ¥27.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥42.83, implying the stock looks roughly 36.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥43.04 per share, and 19 of the 24 models we run sit above the ¥27.37 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥9.48, and 5 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Huadong Medicine Co Ltd generated revenue of 44.1B CNY at a net margin of 8.0%. Revenue grew 4.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.9B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥27.47 (bear case) to ¥53.54 (bull case); at ¥27.37, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at 56%, 000963 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.7270 per share, which is 1.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence ¥22.59 ¥39.27 ¥68.67 78
Growth DCF ¥22.40 ¥37.58 ¥63.54 76
Owner Earnings ¥24.07 ¥41.99 ¥73.58 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence ¥22.59 ¥39.27 ¥68.67 78
Owner Earnings ¥24.07 ¥41.99 ¥73.58 74
5Y Revenue Exit ¥24.78 ¥43.04 ¥68.21 71
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥29.88 ¥53.67 ¥83.96 73
5Y P/E Exit ¥29.31 ¥52.48 ¥79.34 69
10Y Revenue Exit ¥23.08 ¥40.28 ¥67.33 65
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥27.29 ¥48.11 ¥80.64 66
10Y P/E Exit ¥26.90 ¥47.23 ¥76.74 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥13.24 ¥63.47 ¥87.36 64
Lynch FV ¥16.93 ¥24.18 ¥31.43 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥16.93 ¥24.18 ¥31.43 57
EPV ¥22.68 ¥26.01 ¥28.92 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥32.12 ¥42.83 ¥53.54 63
P/S Multiple ¥24.82 ¥33.10 ¥41.37 58
P/B Multiple ¥24.82 ¥33.10 ¥41.37 55
EV/EBIT ¥35.32 ¥46.19 ¥57.06 66
EV/EBITDA ¥35.73 ¥46.74 ¥57.75 67
EV/Revenue ¥25.98 ¥35.96 ¥45.93 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥7.07 ¥9.48 ¥14.15 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥22.40 ¥37.58 ¥63.54 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥24.78 ¥42.43 ¥65.47 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥13.71 ¥17.31 ¥42.41 69
ROIC Compounder ¥25.51 ¥33.85 ¥44.95 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥27.16 ¥38.80 ¥50.44 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥43.04) versus Asset-Based (¥9.48). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 13.7
P/S ratio 1.07 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥2.00 price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.7
Dividend yield 3.4% payout 46.5%
Net margin 7.8% FY2025
Return on equity 13.8% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 10.7% avg 5y
Operating margin 10.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 44.1B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.2% 3y avg +5.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +9.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 2.7B CNY FY2025
Net cash 2.9B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 60
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 87
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Huadong Medicine Co., Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the wholesale and retail of pharmaceutical products in China and internationally. The company operates through Pharmaceutical Manufacturing, Pharmaceutical Distribution, Medical Aesthetics, and Industrial Microbiology segments.

Full company description

Huadong Medicine Co., Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the wholesale and retail of pharmaceutical products in China and internationally. The company operates through Pharmaceutical Manufacturing, Pharmaceutical Distribution, Medical Aesthetics, and Industrial Microbiology segments. It offers Chinese medicine, immunosuppressive agents, endocrine, digestive system, antineoplastic, cardiovascular, antibiotic drugs, medical beauty field, and medical devices, as well as engages in pharmaceutical logistics and industrial microbiology activities. In addition, the company provides formulation filling, technical, transportation and warehousing services. Huadong Medicine Co., Ltd was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Huadong Medicine Co Ltd reported revenue of 43.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 34.6B CNY in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was 3.4B CNY in FY2025, compounding +10.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 70/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
43.6B CNY
Latest YoY
+4.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (29Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+7.3% (3.9 + 3.4)
Revenue +6.0%/yr
FY21 34.6B CNY
FY22 37.7B CNY
FY23 40.6B CNY
FY24 41.9B CNY
FY25 43.6B CNY
Net income +10.4%/yr
FY21 2.3B CNY
FY22 2.5B CNY
FY23 2.8B CNY
FY24 3.5B CNY
FY25 3.4B CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) +14.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +7.2 %

of which total revenue +8.6 % · buybacks/dilution −1.2 %

EBIT margin +4.2 %
Tax rate +0.6 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.5 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Huadong Medicine Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000963

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 608 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +57% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 2.11× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.19× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 2.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.4× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 2
FUTURE21 · sector 22
PAST55 · sector 26
HEALTH100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND68 · sector 29

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Merck KGaA MRK €140.25 €106.48 −24%
Takeda Pharmaceutical Company TAK $18.03 $11.11 −38%
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.76 ¥25.94 −52%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,944 ₹989.50 −49%
Galderma Group GALD CHF 178.55 CHF 55.07 −69%
Haleon plc HLN $10.11 $7.64 −24%
Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited TEVA $36.05 $15.33 −57%
Sandoz Group SDZ CHF 70.66 CHF 39.21 −45%
Zoetis Inc ZTS $77.10 $104.88 +36%
Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group 3692 HK$35.12 HK$16.18 −54%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Huadong Medicine Co Ltd (000963) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥42.83 versus a price of ¥27.37, about +56% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 000963?
Our model-based fair value for Huadong Medicine Co Ltd is ¥42.83 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥27.37.
What is the quality score of 000963?
Huadong Medicine Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Huadong Medicine Co Ltd (000963)?
Huadong Medicine Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 44.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000963?
The net profit margin of Huadong Medicine Co Ltd is about 8.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Huadong Medicine Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Huadong Medicine Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.40% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 19, 2026).
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