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Livzon Pharmaceutical Group (000513) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · CN · Market cap 27.1B CNY

LP Livzon Pharmaceutical Group 000513 · SHE
Price¥30.27
Fair Value¥49.84
Upside+64.7%
Quality80/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 16.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.65% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Wide moat 68/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥37.38 – ¥62.30 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Share price −3.4% over the past month.

A strong business, screening 65% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (80/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥37.38). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥43.76 ¥25.54 Fair Value ¥49.84 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥25.54 – ¥43.76 · fair‑value band ¥37.38 – ¥62.30 · the ¥30.27 price screens below the ¥49.84 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Livzon Pharmaceutical Group (000513) currently trades at ¥30.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥49.84, implying the stock looks roughly 64.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 80/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Livzon Pharmaceutical Group generated revenue of 11.7B CNY at a net margin of 16.8%. Revenue declined 9.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 5.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥37.38 (bear case) to ¥62.30 (bull case); at ¥30.27, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at 65%, 000513 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥45.62 ¥70.17 ¥110.44 80
Residual Income ¥15.39 ¥19.47 ¥44.89 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥38.94 ¥58.09 ¥81.94 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥45.58 ¥71.47 ¥114.57 38
Owner Earnings ¥37.25 ¥57.16 ¥90.29 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥38.94 ¥58.28 ¥83.79 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥44.26 ¥68.89 ¥98.92 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥44.27 ¥68.92 ¥96.23 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥40.03 ¥58.87 ¥86.16 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥44.39 ¥66.50 ¥98.44 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥44.40 ¥66.52 ¥96.25 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥15.40 ¥63.40 ¥86.36 54
Lynch FV ¥15.95 ¥22.79 ¥29.63 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥15.95 ¥22.79 ¥29.63 46
EPV ¥32.75 ¥36.62 ¥40.00 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥10.10 ¥20.99 ¥33.30 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥10.10 ¥17.70 ¥22.03 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥37.38 ¥49.84 ¥62.30 63
P/S Multiple ¥28.88 ¥38.51 ¥48.14 58
P/B Multiple ¥28.88 ¥38.51 ¥48.14 55
EV/EBIT ¥47.04 ¥59.53 ¥72.02 53
EV/EBITDA ¥46.94 ¥59.39 ¥71.84 54
EV/Revenue ¥36.32 ¥47.78 ¥59.24 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥7.78 ¥10.42 ¥15.55 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥45.62 ¥70.17 ¥110.44 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥38.94 ¥58.09 ¥81.94 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥15.39 ¥19.47 ¥44.89 76
ROIC Compounder ¥34.83 ¥41.69 ¥49.65 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥28.25 ¥40.36 ¥52.46 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥66.50) versus Asset-Based (¥10.42). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 11.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -9.7%
Net margin 16.8%
Return on equity 15.1%
Free cash flow 2.6B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 14.4 as of Jun 16, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 29.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥2.21
Dividend yield 4.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -8.5%
Net cash 5.5B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 80/100

Of which business quality 78 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 55
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 83
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 95
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 29
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 99
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Livzon Pharmaceutical Group Inc. researches, develops, produces, exports, and sells pharmaceutical products, and active pharmaceutical ingredients (API) and intermediates in the People's Republic of China and internationally.

Full company description

Livzon Pharmaceutical Group Inc. researches, develops, produces, exports, and sells pharmaceutical products, and active pharmaceutical ingredients (API) and intermediates in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company offers leuprorelin acetate microspheres, urofollitropin, and menotropins for injection for the assisted reproduction field; Ilaprazole enteric-coated tablets, ilaprazole sodium for injection, and bismuth potassium citrate products for the gastrointestinal field; fluvoxamine maleate for the psychiatric and neurological field; and shenqi fuzheng injection and anti-viral granules for the traditional Chinese medicine field. It also produces APIs and intermediates, such as mevastatin, acarbose, teicoplanin, gentamycin sulfate, phenylalanine, vancomycin hydrochloride, daptomycin, milbemycin oxime, and ceftriaxone sodium, as well as diagnostic reagents such as diagnostic kits for IgM antibody to mycoplasma pneumonia; diagnostic kits for human immunodeficiency virus antibody; and livzon antinuclear antibody test kits. In addition, the company offers nucleic acid test kits; livzon interferon-gamma release assays test kits; influenza A/B virus antigen detection kits; and treponema pallidum antibody detection kits. Further, it provides biochemical drugs, microbiological preparations, biologic products, Chinese drug preparations and pharmaceutical raw materials, stomatitis granules, biochemical and polypeptide APIs, and antibiotic APIs, as well as diagnostic equipment. Livzon Pharmaceutical Group Inc. was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Zhuhai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Livzon Pharmaceutical Group reported revenue of ¥11.9B in FY2025 versus ¥12.1B in FY2021, a compound −0.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥2.0B in FY2025, compounding +3.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 65/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
11.9B CNY
Latest YoY
+0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.5%
Avg. growth/yr (34Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.7%
Revenue −0.3%/yr
FY21 ¥12.1B
FY22 ¥12.6B
FY23 ¥12.4B
FY24 ¥11.8B
FY25 ¥11.9B
Net income +3.3%/yr
FY21 ¥1.8B
FY22 ¥1.9B
FY23 ¥2.0B
FY24 ¥2.1B
FY25 ¥2.0B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +12.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.2 pp

of which total revenue +6.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.7 pp

EBIT margin +8.0 pp
Tax rate −0.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Livzon Pharmaceutical Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000513

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 625 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 80 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +65% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 29% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -10% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.05× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.95× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.32× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 5
FUTURE 0 · sector 21
PAST 60 · sector 25
HEALTH 97 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 93 · sector 34

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.76 ¥25.94 -52%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,944 ₹989.50 -49%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹8,500 ₹1,932 -77%
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM ₹4,915 ₹1,163 -76%
PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 1,440 TWD 233.93 TWD -84%
Cipla Limited CIPLA ₹1,463 ₹1,001 -32%
Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE ₹1,167 ₹703.32 -40%
Lupin Limited LUPIN ₹2,281 ₹2,477 +9%
Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND ₹2,433 ₹983.11 -60%
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY ₹1,200 ₹874.79 -27%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Livzon Pharmaceutical Group (000513) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥49.84 versus a price of ¥30.27, about +65% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 000513?
Our model-based fair value for Livzon Pharmaceutical Group is ¥49.84 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥30.27.
What is the quality score of 000513?
Livzon Pharmaceutical Group has a Quality Score of 80/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Livzon Pharmaceutical Group (000513)?
Livzon Pharmaceutical Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000513?
The net profit margin of Livzon Pharmaceutical Group is about 16.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Livzon Pharmaceutical Group pay a dividend?
Livzon Pharmaceutical Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.65% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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