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STOCK COMPARISON

Intel vs Microsoft: Fair Value & Quality

Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Intel (INTC) and Microsoft (MSFT) compare, as of Oct 15, 2026.

As of Oct 15, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Microsoft as the more attractively valued of the two: Intel trades at $98.12 versus a fair value of $67.34 (−31.4%), while Microsoft trades at $534 versus $598 (+12.0%).
Intel
INTC · USD · Information Technology
−31.4%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$98.12
Fair Value$67.34
Quality39/100
Microsoft
MSFT · USD · Information Technology
+12.0%
upside to fair value
undervalued
Price$534
Fair Value$598
Quality66/100
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Head-to-head numbers

Green is the better side of a row, red the weaker one (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper). Grey rows are for reference only and are not scored.

betterweakerfor reference, not scored

IntelMicrosoft
Valuation
n/aP/E (TTM)29.7×
233.6×P/E ex one-offs30.9×
47.6×Forward P/E22.5×
13.6×Median P/E at FY-end (ex one-offs where documented)34.4×
11.81×P/S (TTM)11.99×
5.89×P/B8.99×
41.8×EV/EBITDA20.5×
0.50×PEG1.62×
−31.4%Fair value upside+12.0%
n/aDividend yield0.7%
n/aDividend per share$3.64
Profitability
12.2%Operating margin45.1%
n/aEBIT margin trend (5Y)1.13×
-10.7%Return on equity34.0%
-0.1%Return on assets17.6%
Growth
25.4%Revenue growth (YoY)17.7%
-5.7%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)16.1%
-7.5%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)14.6%
n/aValue creation/yr+17.5%
Balance & size
n/aInterest coverage (EBIT/interest)50.9×
0.39×Debt / equity0.07×
$673BMarket cap$4.0T
weakGrowth qualityexpensive
The P/E excluding one-off items is scored: for at least one of the two companies, special items (write-downs, restructuring, litigation) move the reported P/E by 15 % or more. The trailing P/E is shown for reference.
Intel, median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2025 ex one-offs: 13.6. Microsoft, median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2017 to 2026), reported earnings, FY2026 ex one-offs: 34.4.
Forward P/E: price divided by the analyst consensus for the first fiscal year that has not started yet. The current year carries special items from quarters already reported.

Microsoft leads: 3 to 9 metric wins.

n/a = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.

Quality in detail

The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.

Intel Microsoft
ProfitabilityHow much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
14
76
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns getting better?
65
64
CashflowDo the profits arrive as real cash?
22
61
Financial strengthDebt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
71
79
InvestmentDoes it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
51
0
Low VolatilityHow calm the share price moves, does not count
0
57
MomentumPrice trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
84
66
Near the 52-week highDistance to the 52-week high, does not count
80
67
New sharesBuys back shares or issues new ones?
21
83

What the models say

How far the median fair value (base case) per model family sits from the current price, in percent. The amount in the currency of the trading venue is shown underneath.

above the price, more than 15% above close to the price, 85% to 115% of the price below the price, more than 15% below

Model familyIntelPrice $98.12MicrosoftPrice $534
DCF Modelsn/a−29.5%below the price$376
Earnings-Basedn/a−52.7%below the price$252
Dividend Discountn/a−87.3%below the price$68.03
Multiples−65.2%below the price$34.14−27.4%below the price$387
Asset-Based−85.2%below the price$14.48−92.5%below the price$39.92
Growth DCFn/a−50.6%below the price$264
Economic Profitn/a−59.2%below the price$218
Growth Earningsn/a−17.6%below the price$440
Minimum−85.2%below the price$14.48−92.5%below the price$39.92
Maximum−65.2%below the price$34.14−17.6%below the price$440
Median−75.2%below the price$24.31−51.6%below the price$258
Geometric mean−77.3%below the price$22.23−62.6%below the price$200

Minimum, maximum, median and geometric mean refer to the family values in this table. Geometric because deviations are ratios: half the price and twice the price average to 100%, not 125%.

Intel: 2 of 2 models see the stock below the current price.

Microsoft: 23 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.

Scenario ranges

From our cautious bear scenario to the optimistic bull scenario. The white tick is the current price (value above it), the green tick the fair value (value below it): if the price sits left of the fair value, there is room to rise.

Intel
Price $98.12
Fair Value $67.34
Bear $47.44Bull $87.22
Microsoft
Price $534
Fair Value $598
Bear $298Bull $777

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Ranked within their sector

Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.

Intel · Information Technology

Quality score39 · bottom 25%
Fair value upside−31.4% · below median

Microsoft · Information Technology

Quality score66 · Top 25%
Fair value upside+12.0% · above median

Bottom line

As of Oct 15, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Microsoft as the more attractively valued of the two: Intel trades at $98.12 versus a fair value of $67.34 (−31.4%), while Microsoft trades at $534 versus $598 (+12.0%).

Microsoft has the higher quality score (66/100).

Open Microsoft live analysis →

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A model-based valuation snapshot from 26 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.