Bayer AG NA vs Eli Lilly and: Fair Value & Quality
Both stocks run through our valuation models. Here is how Bayer AG NA (BAYN) and Eli Lilly and (LLY) compare, as of Aug 14, 2026.
As of Aug 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Bayer AG NA as the more attractively valued of the two: Bayer AG NA trades at €47.79 versus a fair value of €52.73 (+10%), while Eli Lilly and trades at $1,209 versus $389 (-68%).
Bayer AG NA
BAYN.XETRA · EUR · Health Care
+10%
upside to fair value
undervalued
Price€47.79
Fair Value€52.73
Quality46/100
Eli Lilly and
LLY · USD · Health Care
-68%
upside to fair value
overvalued
Price$1,209
Fair Value$389
Quality69/100
Head-to-head numbers
Green value = the better side for that row (for valuation multiples: lower = cheaper).
Bayer AG NAEli Lilly and
Valuation
—P/E (TTM)42.2×
1.19×P/S (TTM)14.67×
2.07×P/B39.94×
7.7×EV/EBITDA30.2×
4.72×PEG1.54×
0.2%Dividend yield0.5%
€0.11Dividend per share$6.23
Profitability
-5%Net margin35%
26%Operating margin49%
-7%Return on equity107%
4%Return on assets21%
Growth
-2%Revenue growth (YoY)56%
-3.5%Avg. growth/yr (3Y)31.7%
1.9%Avg. growth/yr (5Y)21.6%
Balance & size
1.19×Debt / equity1.54×
$54BMarket cap$1.1T
weakGrowth qualitymixed
Eli Lilly and leads: 4 to 9 metric wins.
Dash = not meaningfully computable, for example with negative equity.
Quality in detail
The quality score, broken down into the same factor families as on the stock page, 0 to 100 per family.
Bayer AG NAof which business quality 43 · market factors 73Eli Lilly andof which business quality 65 · market factors 83
ProfitabilityMargins and returns on capital today
15
85
Quality GrowthAre margins and returns improving?
59
86
CashflowEarnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
InvestmentDisciplined investing over empire-building
94
15
Low VolatilityCalm price path (market factor)
58
77
MomentumPrice trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
74
79
52W MomentumDistance to the 52-week high (market factor)
90
97
Net IssuanceBuybacks instead of dilution
82
93
What the models say
The median fair value (base case) per model family, each in the currency of its trading venue. Green = above the current price, red = below.
Bayer AG NA
DCF Models€48.13
Earnings-Based€46.24
Dividend Discount€1.59
Multiples€95.79
Asset-Based€17.70
Growth DCF€26.93
Economic Profit€49.09
7 of 15 models see the stock below the current price.
Eli Lilly and
DCF Models$334
Earnings-Based$239
Dividend Discount$115
Multiples$358
Asset-Based$19.94
Growth DCF$187
Economic Profit$347
Growth Earnings$375
26 of 26 models see the stock below the current price.
Scenario ranges
From our cautious bear case to the optimistic bull case. The white tick is the current price: left of fair value means room to run.
Bayer AG NA
Bear €39.32Fair Value €52.73Bull €88.24
€47.79 = current price (white tick)
Eli Lilly and
Bear $216Fair Value $389Bull $582
$1,209 = current price (white tick)
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Ranked within their sector
Where each stock sits within its sector peer group. Band = middle 50% of peers, tick = median, dot = this stock.
Bayer AG NA · Health Care
Quality score46 · below median
Fair value upside+10% · above median
Eli Lilly and · Health Care
Quality score69 · Top 25%
Fair value upside-68% · bottom 25%
Bottom line
As of Aug 14, 2026, Fair Value Calculator sees Bayer AG NA as the more attractively valued of the two: Bayer AG NA trades at €47.79 versus a fair value of €52.73 (+10%), while Eli Lilly and trades at $1,209 versus $389 (-68%).
Eli Lilly and has the higher quality score (69/100).
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A model-based valuation snapshot from 21 models. Values change with price and fundamentals; the date shown above applies.
