VNP.TO (VNP) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CA · Market cap C$3.0B (≈ $2.1B) · ISIN CA33833X1015
What is VNP.TO really worth?
A solid business, but trading 111% above our fair value of C$11.81.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 20, 2026, revised from C$8.53 to C$11.81 (+38.5%) since Aug 14, 2026. Share price −16.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
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What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$16.76). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (C$7.03 to C$16.76) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$1.08 – C$47.65 · fair‑value band C$7.03 – C$16.76 · the C$24.92 price screens above the C$11.81 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.
Analysis
VNP.TO (VNP) currently trades at C$24.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$11.81, implying the stock looks roughly 111.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of C$9.17 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the C$24.92 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at C$1.48, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, VNP.TO generated revenue of C$420M at a net margin of 14.0%. Revenue grew 32.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 31.9%. Net debt stands at C$106M. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$7.03 (bear case) to C$16.76 (bull case); at C$24.92, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 192% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −58% fair-value upside, at −53%, VNP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly C$0.6226 per share, which is 5.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (C$9.17) versus Asset-Based (C$1.48). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
5N Plus Inc. produces and sells specialty semiconductors and performance materials in the Americas, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It offers semiconductor compounds, semiconductor wafers, metals, epitaxial semiconductor substrates, ultra-high purity metals, space solar cells, and assemblies.
Full company description
5N Plus Inc. produces and sells specialty semiconductors and performance materials in the Americas, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It offers semiconductor compounds, semiconductor wafers, metals, epitaxial semiconductor substrates, ultra-high purity metals, space solar cells, and assemblies. The company also provides active pharmaceutical ingredients, specialized chemicals, commercial grade metals, alloys, engineered powders, and recycling services. It serves renewable energy, security, space, pharmaceutical, medical imaging, and industrial application markets. The company is headquartered in Montreal, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
VNP.TO reported revenue of $398M in FY2025 versus $210M in FY2021, a compound +17.3%/yr. Reported net income was $51.5M in FY2025, compounding +101.7%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
VNP screens 111% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →
Peer Group
Specialty Chemicals · 695 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $485.35 | $222.03 | −54% |
| The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW | $344.86 | $143.38 | −58% |
| Ecolab Inc ECL | $286.75 | $96.18 | −66% |
| Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD | $308.09 | $122.14 | −60% |
| Givaudan SA GIVN | CHF 3,282 | CHF 1,498 | −54% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥77.66 | ¥68.03 | −12% |
| 500820 500820 | ₹2,757 | ₹557.43 | −80% |
| Novozymes A/S NSISB | kr 456.40 | kr 169.99 | −63% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,630 | ₹696.23 | −74% |
| PPG Industries, Inc PPG | $114.22 | $71.31 | −38% |
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