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Sika AG (SIKA) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CH · Market cap CHF 25.6B · ISIN CH0418792922

What is Sika AG really worth?

SA Sika AG SIKA · SW
PriceCHF 191.95
Fair ValueCHF 98.89
Upside−48.5%
Quality59/100

A solid business, but trading 94% above our fair value of CHF 98.89.

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Strengths

Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +7.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.3% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!Moderate moat 63/100
!Weak on dividend: 19 out of 100

For context

·0.96% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range CHF 60.61 – CHF 130.91

Fair value as of: Sep 2, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price −1.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 130.91). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (CHF 60.61 to CHF 130.91) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

CHF 361.41 CHF 124.60 Fair Value CHF 98.89 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range CHF 124.60 – CHF 361.41 · fair‑value band CHF 60.61 – CHF 130.91 · the CHF 191.95 price screens above the CHF 98.89 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.

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Analysis

Sika AG (SIKA) currently trades at CHF 191.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 98.89, implying the stock looks roughly 94.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of CHF 108.12 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the CHF 191.95 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at CHF 27.34, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sika AG generated revenue of CHF 11.2B at a net margin of 9.3%. Revenue declined 7.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.3%. Net debt stands at CHF 5.0B. Fundamentals as of Sep 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from CHF 60.61 (bear case) to CHF 130.91 (bull case); at CHF 191.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −58% fair-value upside, at −48%, SIKA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly CHF 3.07 per share, which is 3.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF CHF 69.41 CHF 118.54 CHF 193.54 78
Growth DCF CHF 70.93 CHF 114.41 CHF 176.75 77
Owner Earnings CHF 68.97 CHF 117.86 CHF 192.48 75
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF CHF 69.41 CHF 118.54 CHF 193.54 78
Owner Earnings CHF 68.97 CHF 117.86 CHF 192.48 75
5Y Revenue Exit CHF 57.54 CHF 100.89 CHF 155.81 71
5Y EBITDA Exit CHF 67.16 CHF 118.89 CHF 178.84 74
5Y P/E Exit CHF 60.16 CHF 105.80 CHF 153.35 70
10Y Revenue Exit CHF 58.78 CHF 99.38 CHF 153.25 66
10Y EBITDA Exit CHF 67.14 CHF 111.88 CHF 170.84 67
10Y P/E Exit CHF 62.68 CHF 102.80 CHF 151.37 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd CHF 44.30 CHF 137.98 CHF 183.53 65
Lynch FV CHF 30.01 CHF 42.87 CHF 55.73 61
PEG = 1.0 CHF 30.01 CHF 42.87 CHF 55.73 57
EPV CHF 51.50 CHF 63.20 CHF 73.44 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM CHF 16.53 CHF 34.36 CHF 54.52 66
DDM Multi-Stage CHF 16.53 CHF 27.34 CHF 36.07 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple CHF 83.07 CHF 110.76 CHF 138.45 63
P/S Multiple CHF 78.54 CHF 104.72 CHF 130.91 58
P/B Multiple CHF 83.07 CHF 110.76 CHF 138.45 55
EV/EBIT CHF 79.01 CHF 111.58 CHF 144.15 65
EV/EBITDA CHF 76.41 CHF 108.12 CHF 139.82 67
EV/Revenue CHF 54.59 CHF 86.01 CHF 117.43 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) CHF 20.74 CHF 27.80 CHF 41.49 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF CHF 70.93 CHF 114.41 CHF 176.75 77
Rev-Margin DCF CHF 57.54 CHF 101.23 CHF 151.55 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income CHF 43.18 CHF 56.81 CHF 163.82 66
ROIC Compounder CHF 53.97 CHF 73.70 CHF 98.41 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E CHF 70.42 CHF 100.60 CHF 130.77 67

Widest divergence: Multiples (CHF 108.12) versus Dividend Discount (CHF 27.34). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 29.5
P/S ratio 2.76 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) CHF 6.50 price ÷ EPS = P/E 29.5
Dividend yield 1.0% payout 28.5%
Net margin 9.3% FY2025
Return on equity 15.3% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 11.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 10.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) CHF 11.2B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −7.9% 3y avg +2.2%
EPS growth (YoY) −46.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow CHF 1.2B FY2025
Net debt CHF 5.0B FY2025 · ≈ 4.0 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 64
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 62
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Sika AG, a specialty chemicals company, develops, produces, and sells systems and products for bonding, sealing, damping, reinforcing, and protecting in the building sector and motor vehicle industry worldwide.

Full company description

Sika AG, a specialty chemicals company, develops, produces, and sells systems and products for bonding, sealing, damping, reinforcing, and protecting in the building sector and motor vehicle industry worldwide. It offers admixtures and additives for concrete, cement, and mortar production;waterproofing solutions, such as flexible membrane systems, liquid-applied membranes, joint waterproofing systems, waterproofing mortars, and injection resins under the SikaProof brand for commercial and residential basements, tunnels, bridges, and water retaining structures; and flat roofing systems, including both flexible sheet and liquid-applied membranes under the Sika Sarnafil brand, as well as vapor control layers, adhesives, insulation, fixation, roof drainage, and accessories. The company also provides adhesives and grouts, systems for under-tile waterproofing, sound reduction, decorative finishes, and exterior insulation finishing systems; flooring solutions, such as synthetic resin and cementitious systems for industrial and commercial settings; and sealants, adhesives, spray foams, and tapes for commercial, industrial, residential, and infrastructure construction projects. It serves automobile and commercial vehicle assembly, industrial lamination, renewable energy, home appliances, and advanced resins industries. The company was founded in 1910 and is headquartered in Baar, Switzerland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sika AG reported revenue of CHF 11.2B in FY2025 versus CHF 9.3B in FY2021, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 1.0B in FY2025, compounding −0.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 73/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
CHF 11.2B
Latest YoY
−4.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+5.8% (4.8 + 1.0)
Revenue +4.9%/yr
FY21 CHF 9.3B
FY22 CHF 10.5B
FY23 CHF 11.2B
FY24 CHF 11.8B
FY25 CHF 11.2B
Net income −0.1%/yr
FY21 CHF 1.0B
FY22 CHF 1.2B
FY23 CHF 1.1B
FY24 CHF 1.2B
FY25 CHF 1.0B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +9.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +7.6 %

of which total revenue +8.2 % · buybacks/dilution −0.6 %

EBIT margin +1.2 %
Tax rate +0.6 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.4 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

SIKA screens 94% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sika AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SIKA

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 695 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside −49% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Revenue growth −8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.57× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 29.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 4.75× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.82× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 25.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 17.8× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.54× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 20
PAST61 · sector 23
HEALTH71 · sector 95
DIVIDEND19 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $485.35 $222.03 −54%
The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW $344.86 $143.38 −58%
Ecolab Inc ECL $286.75 $96.18 −66%
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD $308.09 $122.14 −60%
Givaudan SA GIVN CHF 3,282 CHF 1,498 −54%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥77.66 ¥68.03 −12%
500820 500820 ₹2,757 ₹557.43 −80%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 456.40 kr 169.99 −63%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,630 ₹696.23 −74%
PPG Industries, Inc PPG $114.22 $71.31 −38%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sika AG (SIKA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 98.89 versus a price of CHF 191.95, about −48% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SIKA?
Our model-based fair value for Sika AG is CHF 98.89 (as of Sep 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: CHF 191.95.
What is the quality score of SIKA?
Sika AG has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sika AG (SIKA)?
Sika AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 11.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SIKA?
The net profit margin of Sika AG is about 9.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sika AG pay a dividend?
Sika AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.96% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 2, 2026).
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