Sika AG (SIKA) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CH · Market cap CHF 25.6B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from CHF 103.69 to CHF 98.89 (−4.6%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price +20.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 48% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 130.91). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (CHF 60.61 to CHF 130.91) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 124.60 – CHF 361.41 · fair‑value band CHF 60.61 – CHF 130.91 · the CHF 191.15 price screens above the CHF 98.89 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Sika AG (SIKA) currently trades at CHF 191.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 98.89, implying the stock looks roughly 48.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Sika AG generated revenue of CHF 11.2B at a net margin of 9.3%. Revenue declined 7.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.3%. Net debt stands at CHF 5.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from CHF 60.61 (bear case) to CHF 130.91 (bull case); at CHF 191.15, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 61% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -68% fair-value upside, at -48%, SIKA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (CHF 108.12) versus Dividend Discount (CHF 27.34). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sika AG, a specialty chemicals company, develops, produces, and sells systems and products for bonding, sealing, damping, reinforcing, and protecting in the building sector and motor vehicle industry worldwide.
Full company description
Sika AG, a specialty chemicals company, develops, produces, and sells systems and products for bonding, sealing, damping, reinforcing, and protecting in the building sector and motor vehicle industry worldwide. It offers admixtures and additives for concrete, cement, and mortar production;waterproofing solutions, such as flexible membrane systems, liquid-applied membranes, joint waterproofing systems, waterproofing mortars, and injection resins under the SikaProof brand for commercial and residential basements, tunnels, bridges, and water retaining structures; and flat roofing systems, including both flexible sheet and liquid-applied membranes under the Sika Sarnafil brand, as well as vapor control layers, adhesives, insulation, fixation, roof drainage, and accessories. The company also provides adhesives and grouts, systems for under-tile waterproofing, sound reduction, decorative finishes, and exterior insulation finishing systems; flooring solutions, such as synthetic resin and cementitious systems for industrial and commercial settings; and sealants, adhesives, spray foams, and tapes for commercial, industrial, residential, and infrastructure construction projects. It serves automobile and commercial vehicle assembly, industrial lamination, renewable energy, home appliances, and advanced resins industries. The company was founded in 1910 and is headquartered in Baar, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sika AG reported revenue of CHF 11.2B in FY2025 versus CHF 9.3B in FY2021, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 1.0B in FY2025, compounding −0.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +8.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.6 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
SIKA screens 48% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Sika AG (SKFOF) (H1 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Challenges with Strategic Growth ...
- SIKA DELIVERS 4.0% LOCAL CURRENCY REVENUE GROWTH AND UPGRADES FULL-YEAR GROWTH EXPECTATIONS
- SIKA OPENS STATE-OF-THE-ART PRODUCTION AND CONCRETE SERVICE HUB IN THE BENELUX REGION
- SIKA APPOINTS NEW MEMBER OF GROUP MANAGEMENT AND ADVANCES DIGITAL TRANSFORMATION
Peer Group
Specialty Chemicals · 666 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $479.43 | $222.03 | -54% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥75.06 | ¥68.03 | -9% |
| Novozymes A/S NSISB | kr 416.10 | kr 170.02 | -59% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,756 | ₹664.51 | -76% |
| Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS | ₹18,730 | ₹2,793 | -85% |
| Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND | ₹1,702 | ₹351.84 | -79% |
| PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA | 2,160 IDR | 2,322 IDR | +8% |
| Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT | ₹559.80 | ₹154.46 | -72% |
| Gujarat Fluorochemicals Limited FLUOROCHEM | ₹4,566 | ₹836.47 | -82% |
| Himadri Speciality Chemical Limited HSCL | ₹778.15 | ₹248.63 | -68% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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