Samrat Forgings Ltd (SAMRATFORG) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹1.2B (≈ $13.1M) · ISIN INE412J01010
What is Samrat Forgings Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 75% above our fair value of ₹138.15.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 26, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 10 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 26, 2026, revised from ₹143.01 to ₹138.15 (−3.4%) since Aug 22, 2026. Share price +15.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹206.72). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (₹51.98 to ₹206.72). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹43.60 – ₹550.00 · fair‑value band ₹51.98 – ₹206.72 · the ₹242.00 price screens above the ₹138.15 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 26, 2026.
Analysis
Samrat Forgings Ltd (SAMRATFORG) currently trades at ₹242.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹138.15, implying the stock looks roughly 75.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹184.33 per share, and 3 of the 22 models we run sit above the ₹242.00 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹55.45, and 19 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Samrat Forgings Ltd generated revenue of ₹2.0B at a net margin of 2.2%. Revenue declined 1.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.2%. Net debt stands at ₹955M. Fundamentals as of Aug 26, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹51.98 (bear case) to ₹206.72 (bull case); at ₹242.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at −43%, SAMRATFORG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹3.77 per share, which is 2.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (₹184.33) versus Asset-Based (₹55.45). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Samrat Forgings Ltd reported revenue of ₹2.0B in FY2026 versus ₹1.4B in FY2022, a compound +9.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹43.9M in FY2026, compounding +5.4%/yr from FY2022.
SAMRATFORG screens 75% overvalued. Compare with SAPL →
Peer Group
Industrials · 5415 stocks
How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Auto Components” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)
Valuation Multiples vs Industrials median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 26, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAPL SAPL | ₹3,998 | ₹2,275 | −43% |
| SIMMOND SIMMOND | ₹204.65 | ₹264.08 | +29% |
| SALAUTO SALAUTO | ₹201.40 | ₹177.67 | −12% |
| Simmonds Marshall Limited 507998 | ₹204.90 | ₹224.47 | +10% |
| Swaraj Automotives Limited 539353 | ₹201.05 | ₹465.32 | +131% |
| Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 | HK$652.50 | HK$394.19 | −40% |
| Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company DELTA | 246.00 THB | 40.28 THB | −84% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 206.60 | kr 112.59 | −46% |
| ITOCHU Corporation ITOCHU19 | 7.20 THB | 14.40 THB | +100% |
| AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA | kr 351.40 | kr 288.08 | −18% |
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