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Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock (SAIC) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $4.9B · ISIN US8086251076

What is Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock really worth?

SA Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock logo Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock SAIC · US
Price$126.50
Fair Value$159.16
Upside+25.8%
Quality67/100

A solid business, trading 21% below our fair value of $159.16.

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Strengths

Ranks above peers (9/15)

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.6% net margin
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Moderate moat 57/100
!Weak on future: 8 out of 100
!Weak on balance sheet: 18 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 23 out of 100

For context

·1.17% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $95.41 – $254.78

Fair value as of: Sep 1, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price +5.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($95.41 to $254.78). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$150.47 $74.40 Fair Value $159.16 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $74.40 – $150.47 · fair‑value band $95.41 – $254.78 · the $126.50 price screens below the $159.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.

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Analysis

Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock (SAIC) currently trades at $126.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $159.16, implying the stock looks roughly 20.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $181.15 per share, and 12 of the 24 models we run sit above the $126.50 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $20.04, and 12 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock generated revenue of $7.3B at a net margin of 5.6%. Revenue grew 1.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 27.7%. Net debt stands at $2.5B. Fundamentals as of Sep 1, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $95.41 (bear case) to $254.78 (bull case); at $126.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 69% fair-value upside, at 26%, SAIC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 7 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $4.41 per share, which is 2.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $80.13 $129.04 $201.52 79
Growth DCF $84.33 $130.73 $195.99 78
Owner Earnings $56.41 $96.67 $156.34 75
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $80.13 $129.04 $201.52 79
Owner Earnings $56.41 $96.67 $156.34 75
5Y Revenue Exit $62.08 $113.05 $178.38 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $112.37 $200.20 $302.70 74
5Y P/E Exit $92.55 $165.85 $242.11 70
10Y Revenue Exit $65.01 $110.43 $163.49 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $98.45 $167.25 $248.29 67
10Y P/E Exit $86.45 $144.85 $206.96 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $57.58 $113.27 $141.90 66
EPV $47.34 $63.35 $77.16 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $14.54 $20.20 $25.80 69
DDM Multi-Stage $14.54 $20.04 $26.21 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $177.83 $237.10 $296.38 63
P/S Multiple $107.97 $143.96 $179.94 58
P/B Multiple $107.97 $143.96 $179.94 55
EV/EBIT $169.03 $243.40 $317.76 65
EV/EBITDA $160.83 $232.47 $304.10 67
EV/Revenue $58.72 $107.06 $155.39 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $17.74 $23.77 $35.48 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $84.33 $130.73 $195.99 78
Rev-Margin DCF $62.08 $115.27 $174.44 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income $54.53 $75.52 $410.59 64
ROIC Compounder $48.45 $68.46 $89.44 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $126.80 $181.15 $235.49 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($181.15) versus Dividend Discount ($20.04). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 14.2
P/S ratio 0.70 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $8.89 price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.2
Dividend yield 1.2% payout 16.6%
Net margin 4.9% FY2026
Return on equity 27.7% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 10.2% avg 5y
Operating margin 8.8% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $7.3B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.5% 3y avg −2.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +83.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $577M FY2026
Net debt $2.5B FY2026 · ≈ 4.4 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 62
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 74
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Science Applications International Corporation provides technical, engineering, and mission and enterprise information technology (IT) services in the United States. It operates through two segments, Defense and Intelligence; and Civilian.

Full company description

Science Applications International Corporation provides technical, engineering, and mission and enterprise information technology (IT) services in the United States. It operates through two segments, Defense and Intelligence; and Civilian. The company offers IT modernization services for defense, intelligence, and civilian agencies; digital engineering services; artificial intelligence (AI) solutions; mission systems support and advisory; training and simulation; and ground vehicle support services for the nation's armed forces. It also provides services for the design, development, integration, deployment, management and operations, sustainability, and security of IT infrastructure; mission IT solutions comprising CJADC2, data and AI, digital transformation, and quantum technologies; enterprise IT solutions consisting of service management, cloud, cybersecurity, and digital workplace; engineering services, including system integration and delivery services; and professional services, such as program management. The company serves military forces, including the Army, Air Force, Navy, Marines, Coast Guard, and Space Force; agencies of the Department of War, National Aeronautics and Space Administration, U.S. Department of State, Department of Justice, and Department of Homeland Security; and members of the Intelligence Community, as well as civilian markets, such as federal, state, and local governments. The company was formerly known as SAIC Gemini, Inc. and changed its name to Science Applications International Corporation in September 2013. Science Applications International Corporation was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock reported revenue of $7.3B in FY2026 versus $7.4B in FY2022, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was $358M in FY2026, compounding +6.6%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$7.3B
Latest YoY
−2.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (16Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.3%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+12.8% (11.6 + 1.2)
Revenue −0.4%/yr
FY22 $7.4B
FY23 $7.7B
FY24 $7.4B
FY25 $7.5B
FY26 $7.3B
Net income +6.6%/yr
FY22 $277M
FY23 $300M
FY24 $477M
FY25 $362M
FY26 $358M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +12.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +5.7 %

of which total revenue +6.4 % · buybacks/dilution −0.7 %

EBIT margin +3.9 %
Tax rate +3.1 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.9 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SAIC

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Information Technology Services · 486 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +26% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.2% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.65× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 3.26× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.67× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 8.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.7× · Cheaper than median
PEG 3.67× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE68 · sector 34
FUTURE8 · sector 31
PAST100 · sector 33
HEALTH18 · sector 97
DIVIDEND23 · sector 36

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 1, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
International Business Machines Corporation IBM $235.59 $175.76 −25%
Accenture plc ACN $189.61 $334.27 +76%
Tata Consultancy Services Limited TCS ₹2,302 ₹3,473 +51%
Infosys Limited INFY ₹1,156 ₹1,958 +69%
HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH ₹1,282 ₹1,722 +34%
Fiserv, Inc FI C$5.13 C$8.07 +57%
Wipro Limited WIT $1.83 $3.51 +92%
Fidelity National Information Services, Inc FIS $41.34 $19.28 −53%
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation CTSH $64.04 $132.01 +106%
Capgemini SE CAP €109.45 €222.79 +104%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock (SAIC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $159.16 versus a price of $126.50, about +26% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SAIC?
Our model-based fair value for Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock is $159.16 (as of Sep 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $126.50.
What is the quality score of SAIC?
Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock (SAIC)?
Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $7.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 1, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SAIC?
The net profit margin of Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock is about 5.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock pay a dividend?
Science Applications International Corporation Common Stock currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.17% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 1, 2026).
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