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Insulet Corporation (PODD) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $11.0B · ISIN US45784P1012

What is Insulet Corporation really worth?

IC Insulet Corporation logo Insulet Corporation PODD · US
Price$150.58
Fair Value$78.48
Upside−47.9%
Quality69/100

A solid business, but trading 92% above our fair value of $78.48.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +24.5 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 10.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 68/100

Risks

!Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
!Weak on dividend: 2 out of 100
Evidence: High Range $58.86 – $124.68

Fair value as of: Aug 25, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Share price −9.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($124.68). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($58.86 to $124.68) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$352.82 $127.77 Fair Value $78.48 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $127.77 – $352.82 · fair‑value band $58.86 – $124.68 · the $150.58 price screens above the $78.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.

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Analysis

Insulet Corporation (PODD) currently trades at $150.58, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $78.48, implying the stock looks roughly 91.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $165.74 per share, and 7 of the 26 models we run sit above the $150.58 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $14.66, and 19 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Insulet Corporation generated revenue of $2.9B at a net margin of 10.4%. Revenue grew 33.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.0%. Net debt stands at $335M. Fundamentals as of Aug 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $58.86 (bear case) to $124.68 (bull case); at $150.58, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −48%, PODD screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $2.90 per share, which is 3.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EPV best evidence $49.34 $58.08 $65.73 74
FCF DCF $88.68 $141.32 $308.93 72
Growth DCF $83.22 $168.24 $307.55 72
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $88.68 $141.32 $308.93 72
Owner Earnings $29.97 $72.15 $160.69 67
5Y Revenue Exit $72.39 $128.36 $245.55 67
5Y EBITDA Exit $86.62 $157.12 $295.44 69
5Y P/E Exit $66.48 $145.49 $252.00 65
10Y Revenue Exit $75.69 $171.68 $233.27 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $88.90 $202.31 $400.19 62
10Y P/E Exit $74.21 $158.94 $295.50 58
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $24.26 $169.18 $237.42 61
Lynch FV $87.40 $124.86 $162.32 59
PEG = 1.0 $87.40 $124.86 $162.32 55
EPV best evidence $49.34 $58.08 $65.73 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.41 $2.92 $4.63 64
DDM Multi-Stage $1.41 $2.46 $3.07 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple $58.86 $78.48 $98.11 63
P/S Multiple $45.49 $60.65 $75.81 58
P/B Multiple $45.49 $60.65 $75.81 55
EV/EBIT $84.12 $113.19 $142.26 66
EV/EBITDA $82.43 $110.94 $139.45 67
EV/Revenue $59.15 $85.83 $112.50 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $10.94 $14.66 $21.88 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $83.22 $168.24 $307.55 72
Rev-Margin DCF $80.30 $147.26 $287.29 66
Economic Profit
Residual Income $23.92 $33.54 $141.59 61
ROIC Compounder $69.47 $116.74 $144.67 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $116.02 $165.74 $215.47 65

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($165.74) versus Dividend Discount ($2.46). Highest evidence: EPV (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 35.9
P/S ratio 3.27 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $4.20 price ÷ EPS = P/E 35.9
Dividend yield 0.1% payout 3.9%
Net margin 9.1% FY2025
Return on equity 23.0% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 8.2% avg 5y
Operating margin 16.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $2.9B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +33.9% 3y avg +27.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +159%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $378M FY2025
Net debt $335M FY2025 · ≈ 0.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 64
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 72
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 37
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 42
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Insulet Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells insulin delivery systems for people with insulin-dependent diabetes in the United States and internationally.

Full company description

Insulet Corporation develops, manufactures, and sells insulin delivery systems for people with insulin-dependent diabetes in the United States and internationally. The company offers Omnipod platform products comprising Omnipod 5 automated insulin delivery system, which includes a proprietary AID algorithm embedded in the pod that integrates with a third-party continuous glucose monitor to obtain glucose values through wireless Bluetooth communication; Omnipod DASH insulin management system that features a Bluetooth enabled pod that is controlled by a smartphone-like personal diabetes manager with a color touch screen user interface; and the Omnipod Insulin Management System. It also provides pods for Amgen for use in the Neulasta Onpro kit, which is a delivery system to help reduce the risk of infection after intense chemotherapy. The company sells its products to end-users through the pharmacy channel; and independent distributors. Insulet Corporation was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Acton, Massachusetts.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Insulet Corporation reported revenue of $2.7B in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound +25.3%/yr. Reported net income was $247M in FY2025, compounding +95.8%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.7B
Latest YoY
+30.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+24.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+72.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+89.8% (89.7 + 0.1)
Revenue +25.3%/yr
FY21 $1.1B
FY22 $1.3B
FY23 $1.7B
FY24 $2.1B
FY25 $2.7B
Net income +95.8%/yr
FY21 $16.8M
FY22 $4.6M
FY23 $206M
FY24 $418M
FY25 $247M

PODD screens 92% overvalued. Compare with Abbott Laboratories, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Insulet Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/PODD

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Medical Devices · 351 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −48% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 34% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.61× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 35.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 7.27× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.80× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 29.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 18.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.43× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 32
PAST92 · sector 5
HEALTH69 · sector 97
DIVIDEND2 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Abbott Laboratories, ABT $112.47 $74.79 −34%
Stryker Corporation SYK $322.12 $186.28 −42%
Medtronic plc MDT $89.97 $65.57 −27%
Boston Scientific Corporation BSX $46.84 $30.73 −34%
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW $89.78 $41.02 −54%
Siemens Healthineers AG SHL €39.52 €33.87 −14%
DexCom, Inc DXCM $90.82 $38.95 −57%
GE HealthCare Technologies Inc GEHC $74.82 $64.13 −14%
Koninklijke Philips N.V PHIA €23.69 €14.36 −39%
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 ¥150.63 ¥147.63 −2%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Insulet Corporation (PODD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $78.48 versus a price of $150.58, about −48% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of PODD?
Our model-based fair value for Insulet Corporation is $78.48 (as of Aug 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $150.58.
What is the quality score of PODD?
Insulet Corporation has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Insulet Corporation (PODD)?
Insulet Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.9B (latest available figure, as of Aug 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of PODD?
The net profit margin of Insulet Corporation is about 10.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Insulet Corporation pay a dividend?
Insulet Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.11% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 25, 2026).
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