Oracle Corporation (ORAC) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CA · Market cap C$752B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from C$2.94 to C$2.34 (−20.4%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price −0.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 68% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$4.18). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (C$1.64 to C$4.18) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (18 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
18‑month range C$5.70 – C$808.43 · fair‑value band C$1.64 – C$4.18 · the C$7.22 price screens above the C$2.34 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Oracle Corporation (ORAC) currently trades at C$7.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$2.34, implying the stock looks roughly 67.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Oracle Corporation generated revenue of C$61.0B at a net margin of 25.3%. Revenue grew 14.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 69.0%. Net debt stands at C$81.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$1.64 (bear case) to C$4.18 (bull case); at C$7.22, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -68%, ORAC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (C$2.34) versus Asset-Based (C$0.1300). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 12
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Oracle Corporation offers products and services that address enterprise information technology environments worldwide. Its Oracle cloud software as a service offering include various cloud software applications, including Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise resource planning ERP, Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise performance management EPM, Oracle Fusion cloud …
Full company description
Oracle Corporation offers products and services that address enterprise information technology environments worldwide. Its Oracle cloud software as a service offering include various cloud software applications, including Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise resource planning ERP, Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise performance management EPM, Oracle Fusion cloud supply chain and manufacturing management SCM, Oracle Fusion cloud human capital management HCM, and NetSuite applications suite, Oracle Health applications, as well as Oracle Fusion Sales, Service, and Marketing. The company also offers cloud-based industry solutions for various industries; Oracle cloud license and on-premise license; and Oracle license support services. In addition, it provides cloud and license business' infrastructure technologies, such as the Oracle Database and MySQL Database; Java, a software development language; and middleware, including development tools and others. The company's cloud and license business' infrastructure technologies also comprise cloud-based compute, storage, and networking capabilities; and Oracle autonomous database, as well as AI, Internet-of-Things, machine learning, digital assistant, and blockchain. Further, it provides hardware products and other hardware-related software offerings, including Oracle engineered systems, enterprise servers, storage solutions, industry-specific hardware, virtualization software, operating systems, management software, and related hardware support services, and consulting and advanced customer services. It markets and sells its cloud, license, hardware, support, and services offerings directly to businesses in various industries, government agencies, and educational institutions, as well as through indirect channels. Oracle Corporation has a strategic alliance with Metron, Inc. The company was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Oracle Corporation reported revenue of C$57.4B in FY2025 versus C$42.4B in FY2022, a compound +10.6%/yr. Reported net income was C$12.4B in FY2025, compounding +22.8%/yr from FY2022.
ORAC screens 68% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 369 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $506.06 | $365.74 | -28% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $160.84 | $61.46 | -62% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €358.00 | €93.61 | -74% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$111.01 | A$70.69 | -36% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥67.70 | ¥30.89 | -54% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,679 | ₹6,897 | -41% |
| 360 Security Technology Inc 601360 | ¥9.58 | ¥1.05 | -89% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,610 | ₹241.68 | -85% |
| PT GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk GOTO | 50.00 IDR | 20.41 IDR | -59% |
| Kakao Pay Corp 377300 | 43,950 KRW | 14,643 KRW | -67% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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