Leidos Holdings Inc (LDOS) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $13.6B · ISIN US5253271028
What is Leidos Holdings Inc really worth?
Leidos Holdings Inc
LDOS · US
A solid business, trading 51% below our fair value of $271.78.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 1, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +1.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (73/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($156.93). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- A fairly wide model range ($156.93 to $391.23) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $74.02 – $197.91 · fair‑value band $156.93 – $391.23 · the $132.36 price screens below the $271.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
Analysis
Leidos Holdings Inc (LDOS) currently trades at $132.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $271.78, implying the stock looks roughly 51.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $279.34 per share, and 19 of the 26 models we run sit above the $132.36 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $75.82, and 7 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Leidos Holdings Inc generated revenue of $17.3B at a net margin of 8.2%. Revenue grew 3.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 30.6%. Net debt stands at $4.7B. Fundamentals as of Sep 1, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $156.93 (bear case) to $391.23 (bull case); at $132.36, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 69% fair-value upside, at 105%, LDOS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $6.27 per share, which is 2.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($279.34) versus Dividend Discount ($25.45). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Leidos Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides services and solutions for government and commercial customers in the United States and internationally.
Full company description
Leidos Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides services and solutions for government and commercial customers in the United States and internationally. The National Security & Digital segment provides national security software; services by using artificial intelligence and machine learning to coordinate sea, ground, air, and space to help warfighters; offensive, defensive, and physical cyber operation solutions; intelligence analysis, operational support, logistics operations, security, linguistics, force production, biometrics, chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear, and explosives, energetics, training, and other services; and Digital Modernization and transformation services. The Health & Civil segment offers air traffic control systems; health mission software; managed health services; infrastructure management and operation; logistical operations and information technology support; and life science research and development support services. The Commercial & International segment provides power grid engineering and design, grid modernization, utility planning and consulting, energy management and efficiency, technology-driven innovation, and software and application development; people scanners, computed tomography carry-on baggage scanners, checked baggage scanners, and explosive trace detectors; mobile, non-intrusive ports and borders inspection systems; and open-architecture platform that transforms airport security by integrating disparate devices and technologies into a unified management system. The Defense Systems segment offers air and missile defense, maritime, aerospace, and cyber and threat systems; offers airborne training, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance missions; and provides space-based electro-optic infrared systems, multi/hyperspectral, electronic warfare and signals intelligence, and communications payloads. Leidos Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Leidos Holdings Inc reported revenue of $17.2B in FY2025 versus $13.7B in FY2021, a compound +5.7%/yr. Reported net income was $1.5B in FY2025, compounding +17.9%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +12.4 % · buybacks/dilution −4.8 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Curtiss-Wright Awarded $40 Million in Contracts by Leidos to Supply Electromechanical Actuation and Mission Computing for U.S. Army Indirect
- Leidos Holdings (LDOS) Dropped, So What Is Driving Attention Now?
- Leidos highlights $56M Navy health research contract first announced in 2025
- Leidos to support Naval Health Research Center with studies to improve health and readiness of U.S. service members
Peer Group
Information Technology Services · 486 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 46/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 1, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| International Business Machines Corporation IBM | $235.59 | $175.76 | −25% |
| Accenture plc ACN | $189.61 | $334.27 | +76% |
| Tata Consultancy Services Limited TCS | ₹2,302 | ₹3,473 | +51% |
| Infosys Limited INFY | ₹1,156 | ₹1,958 | +69% |
| HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH | ₹1,282 | ₹1,722 | +34% |
| Fiserv, Inc FI | C$5.13 | C$8.07 | +57% |
| Wipro Limited WIT | $1.83 | $3.51 | +92% |
| Fidelity National Information Services, Inc FIS | $41.34 | $19.28 | −53% |
| Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation CTSH | $64.04 | $132.01 | +106% |
| Capgemini SE CAP | €109.45 | €222.79 | +104% |
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