Koninklijke KPN N.V (KPNN) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · MX · Market cap 318B MXN
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 66.96 MXN to 53.17 MXN (−20.6%) since Jul 13, 2026.
A solid business, but screening 37% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (30.65 MXN to 92.16 MXN). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 45.26 MXN – 84.19 MXN · fair‑value band 30.65 MXN – 92.16 MXN · the 84.19 MXN price screens above the 53.17 MXN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Koninklijke KPN N.V (KPNN) currently trades at 84.19 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 53.17 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 36.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Koninklijke KPN N.V generated revenue of 5.8B MXN at a net margin of 15.2%. Revenue grew 2.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.3%. Net debt stands at 5.9B MXN. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 30.65 MXN (bear case) to 92.16 MXN (bull case); at 84.19 MXN, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 30% fair-value upside, at -37%, KPNN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (70.83 MXN) versus Asset-Based (11.41 MXN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Koninklijke KPN N.V. provides telecommunications and information technology (IT) services in the Netherlands. The company operates through Consumer, Business, Wholesale and Network, and Operations & IT segments.
Full company description
Koninklijke KPN N.V. provides telecommunications and information technology (IT) services in the Netherlands. The company operates through Consumer, Business, Wholesale and Network, and Operations & IT segments. It offers fixed and mobile telephony, fixed and mobile broadband internet, and TV to retail and business consumers; infrastructure and network-related IT solutions to business customers; and wholesale network services to third parties. The company also provides network-related ICT solutions, such as security, internet of things, cloud, connectivity, and smart combinations; interconnect traffic, visitor roaming, digital products, and NL-ix interconnect exchange services; and sale of handsets and peripheral equipment, as well as software licenses. It offers its products and services under the KPN, XS4ALL, Simyo, KPN Security, KPN Health, Solcon, Inspark, and KPN Partner Network, KPN IoT, and youfone brands. The company was formerly known as Koninklijke PTT Nederland NV and changed its name to Koninklijke KPN N.V. in June 1998. Koninklijke KPN N.V. was founded in 1881 and is headquartered in Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Koninklijke KPN N.V reported revenue of 5.8B MXN in FY2025 versus 5.3B MXN in FY2021, a compound +2.4%/yr. Reported net income was 855M MXN in FY2025, compounding −9.7%/yr from FY2021.
KPNN screens 37% overvalued. Compare with China Mobile Limited →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Koninklijke KPN NV's Dividend Analysis
- Koninklijke KPN NV (KKPNF) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Consumer Growth Amid ...
- Koninklijke KPN NV (KKPNF) Misses Q2 Earnings Estimates
- Assessing Koninklijke KPN (ENXTAM:KPN) Valuation As Fresh Investor Interest Meets Conflicting Fair Value Signals
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Mobile Limited 600941 | ¥96.11 | ¥109.88 | +14% |
| Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL | ₹1,945 | ₹941.55 | -52% |
| China Telecom Corporation 601728 | ¥6.43 | ¥8.36 | +30% |
| América Móvil, S.A. AMXB | 23.07 MXN | 30.35 MXN | +32% |
| Vodafone Group VODN | 259.50 MXN | 494.99 MXN | +91% |
| Advanced Info Service Public Company ADVANC | 374.00 THB | 286.77 THB | -23% |
| Chunghwa Telecom Co 2412 | 136.00 TWD | 100.00 TWD | -26% |
| Telefónica, S.A TEFN | 75.67 MXN | 108.96 MXN | +44% |
| TLKM TLKM | 2,590 IDR | 3,898 IDR | +50% |
| PT Indoritel Makmur Internasional Tbk., DNET | 9,500 IDR | 1,503 IDR | -84% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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