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iRhythm Technologies Inc (IRTC) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $3.7B · ISIN US4500561067

What is iRhythm Technologies Inc really worth?

IT iRhythm Technologies Inc logo iRhythm Technologies Inc IRTC · US
Price$123.43
Fair Value$10.03
Upside−91.9%
Quality47/100

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

Below-average quality, and trading another 1,130% above our fair value of $10.03.

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Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +23.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -3.5% net margin
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/12)
!Narrow moat 14/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 15 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range $2.61 – $10.03

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $10.82 to $10.03 (−7.3%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price −2.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($10.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($2.61 to $10.03). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$189.25 $41.91 Fair Value $10.03 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $41.91 – $189.25 · fair‑value band $2.61 – $10.03 · the $123.43 price screens above the $10.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

iRhythm Technologies Inc (IRTC) currently trades at $123.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.03, implying the stock looks roughly 1,130.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $42.38 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the $123.43 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $3.45, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, iRhythm Technologies Inc generated revenue of $788M at a net margin of −3.5%. Revenue grew 25.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −22.4%. Net debt stands at $495M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.61 (bear case) to $10.03 (bull case); at $123.43, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −92%, IRTC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $13.32 $42.38 $133.03 69
5Y Revenue Exit $26.86 $84.59 69
Growth DCF $10.03 $50.38 $129.39 68
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $13.32 $42.38 $133.03 69
5Y Revenue Exit $26.86 $84.59 69
10Y Revenue Exit $2.71 $50.89 $80.43 62
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $22.29 $44.41 $67.24 67
DDM Multi-Stage $22.29 $38.38 $46.86 67
Multiples
EV/Revenue $3.45 $16.67 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.48 $10.03 $15.00 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $10.03 $50.38 $129.39 68
Rev-Margin DCF $1.35 $36.57 $106.40 62

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($42.38) versus Multiples ($3.45). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (69).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 4.69 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−0.8600
Dividend yield 0.7%
Net margin −6.0% FY2025
Return on equity −22.4% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −18.4% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin −6.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $788M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +25.7% 3y avg +22.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $34.5M FY2025
Net debt $495M FY2025 · ≈ 14.3 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 93
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 30
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 59
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 39
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 57
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

iRhythm Holdings, Inc., a digital healthcare company, engages in the design, development, and commercialization of device-based technology that provides ambulatory cardiac monitoring services to diagnose arrhythmias in the United States.

Full company description

iRhythm Holdings, Inc., a digital healthcare company, engages in the design, development, and commercialization of device-based technology that provides ambulatory cardiac monitoring services to diagnose arrhythmias in the United States. The company offers Zio ambulatory cardiac monitoring services, including long-term and short-term continuous monitoring and mobile cardiac telemetry monitoring services. It also provides Zio Monitor System, a prescription-only remote electrocardiogram (ECG) monitoring system consisting a patch ECG monitor that records the electric signal from the heart continuously for up to 14 days; Zio XT System, a prescription-only remote ECG monitoring system that consists of the Zio XT patch that records the electric signal from the heart continuously for up to 14 days; and Zio ECG Utilization Software System, which supports the capture and analysis of ECG data. In addition, the company offers Zio AT System, a prescription-only remote ECG monitoring system, which consists of the Zio AT patch that records the electric signal from the heart continuously for up to 14 days, as well as incorporates the Zio AT wireless gateway to provide connectivity between the patch and the ZEUS System during the patient wear period. It has a development collaboration agreement with BioIS to develop and commercialize pulse oximetry, accelerometry, and trending non-invasive blood pressure technologies for use within ambulatory cardiac monitoring products and services. The company was formerly known as iRhythm Technologies, Inc. and changed its name to iRhythm Holdings, Inc. in January 2026. iRhythm Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

iRhythm Technologies Inc reported revenue of $747M in FY2025 versus $323M in FY2021, a compound +23.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$44.6M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$747M
Latest YoY
+26.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+38.2%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +23.3%/yr
FY21 $323M
FY22 $411M
FY23 $493M
FY24 $592M
FY25 $747M
Net income
FY21 −$101M
FY22 −$116M
FY23 −$123M
FY24 −$113M
FY25 −$44.6M

IRTC screens 1,130% overvalued. Compare with Abbott Laboratories, →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "iRhythm Technologies Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IRTC

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Medical Devices · 351 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −92% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets −1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −6% · Below median
Revenue growth 26% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 4.25× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper

P/B 24.17× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.69× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 106.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 32
PAST0 · sector 5
HEALTH0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND15 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Abbott Laboratories, ABT $112.47 $74.79 −34%
Stryker Corporation SYK $322.12 $186.28 −42%
Medtronic plc MDT $89.97 $65.57 −27%
Boston Scientific Corporation BSX $46.84 $30.73 −34%
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW $89.78 $41.02 −54%
Siemens Healthineers AG SHL €39.52 €33.87 −14%
DexCom, Inc DXCM $90.82 $38.95 −57%
GE HealthCare Technologies Inc GEHC $74.82 $64.13 −14%
Koninklijke Philips N.V PHIA €23.69 €14.36 −39%
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 ¥150.63 ¥147.63 −2%

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Frequently asked questions

Is iRhythm Technologies Inc (IRTC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.03 versus a price of $123.43, about −92% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of IRTC?
Our model-based fair value for iRhythm Technologies Inc is $10.03 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $123.43.
What is the quality score of IRTC?
iRhythm Technologies Inc has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of iRhythm Technologies Inc (IRTC)?
iRhythm Technologies Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $788M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of IRTC?
The net profit margin of iRhythm Technologies Inc is about −3.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does iRhythm Technologies Inc pay a dividend?
iRhythm Technologies Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.75% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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