iRhythm Technologies Inc (IRTC) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $3.7B · ISIN US4500561067
What is iRhythm Technologies Inc really worth?
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Below-average quality, and trading another 1,130% above our fair value of $10.03.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $10.82 to $10.03 (−7.3%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price −2.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($10.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide ($2.61 to $10.03). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $41.91 – $189.25 · fair‑value band $2.61 – $10.03 · the $123.43 price screens above the $10.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
iRhythm Technologies Inc (IRTC) currently trades at $123.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.03, implying the stock looks roughly 1,130.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $42.38 per share, and 0 of the 9 models we run sit above the $123.43 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $3.45, and 9 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, iRhythm Technologies Inc generated revenue of $788M at a net margin of −3.5%. Revenue grew 25.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −22.4%. Net debt stands at $495M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $2.61 (bear case) to $10.03 (bull case); at $123.43, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −92%, IRTC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($42.38) versus Multiples ($3.45). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (69).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
iRhythm Holdings, Inc., a digital healthcare company, engages in the design, development, and commercialization of device-based technology that provides ambulatory cardiac monitoring services to diagnose arrhythmias in the United States.
Full company description
iRhythm Holdings, Inc., a digital healthcare company, engages in the design, development, and commercialization of device-based technology that provides ambulatory cardiac monitoring services to diagnose arrhythmias in the United States. The company offers Zio ambulatory cardiac monitoring services, including long-term and short-term continuous monitoring and mobile cardiac telemetry monitoring services. It also provides Zio Monitor System, a prescription-only remote electrocardiogram (ECG) monitoring system consisting a patch ECG monitor that records the electric signal from the heart continuously for up to 14 days; Zio XT System, a prescription-only remote ECG monitoring system that consists of the Zio XT patch that records the electric signal from the heart continuously for up to 14 days; and Zio ECG Utilization Software System, which supports the capture and analysis of ECG data. In addition, the company offers Zio AT System, a prescription-only remote ECG monitoring system, which consists of the Zio AT patch that records the electric signal from the heart continuously for up to 14 days, as well as incorporates the Zio AT wireless gateway to provide connectivity between the patch and the ZEUS System during the patient wear period. It has a development collaboration agreement with BioIS to develop and commercialize pulse oximetry, accelerometry, and trending non-invasive blood pressure technologies for use within ambulatory cardiac monitoring products and services. The company was formerly known as iRhythm Technologies, Inc. and changed its name to iRhythm Holdings, Inc. in January 2026. iRhythm Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
iRhythm Technologies Inc reported revenue of $747M in FY2025 versus $323M in FY2021, a compound +23.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$44.6M in FY2025.
IRTC screens 1,130% overvalued. Compare with Abbott Laboratories, →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- The Top 5 Analyst Questions From iRhythm’s Q2 Earnings Call
- iRhythm to Acquire VitalConnect to Expand Cardiac Monitoring Platform
- Why iRhythm (IRTC) Shares Are Trading Lower Today
- iRhythm edges lower amid Spruce Point short comments
Peer Group
Medical Devices · 351 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abbott Laboratories, ABT | $112.47 | $74.79 | −34% |
| Stryker Corporation SYK | $322.12 | $186.28 | −42% |
| Medtronic plc MDT | $89.97 | $65.57 | −27% |
| Boston Scientific Corporation BSX | $46.84 | $30.73 | −34% |
| Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW | $89.78 | $41.02 | −54% |
| Siemens Healthineers AG SHL | €39.52 | €33.87 | −14% |
| DexCom, Inc DXCM | $90.82 | $38.95 | −57% |
| GE HealthCare Technologies Inc GEHC | $74.82 | $64.13 | −14% |
| Koninklijke Philips N.V PHIA | €23.69 | €14.36 | −39% |
| Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 | ¥150.63 | ¥147.63 | −2% |
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