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IMCD N.V (IMCD) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · NL · Market cap €5.3B

IN IMCD N.V IMCD · AS
Price€97.94
Fair Value€77.40
Upside-21.0%
Quality53/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 4.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.96% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 43/100
Evidence: High Range €45.48 – €96.75 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +6.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 21% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (€45.48 to €96.75) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€191.91 €68.87 Fair Value €77.40 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €68.87 – €191.91 · fair‑value band €45.48 – €96.75 · the €97.94 price screens above the €77.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

IMCD N.V (IMCD) currently trades at €97.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €77.40, implying the stock looks roughly 21.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, IMCD N.V generated revenue of €4.8B at a net margin of 4.5%. Revenue declined 1.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.2%. Net debt stands at €1.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €45.48 (bear case) to €96.75 (bull case); at €97.94, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -68% fair-value upside, at -21%, IMCD screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €44.72 €86.92 €153.84 80
Residual Income €30.60 €34.10 €50.78 76
Rev-Margin DCF €40.60 €81.90 €134.44 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €45.14 €91.15 €166.74 38
Owner Earnings €52.91 €104.62 €189.55 31
5Y Revenue Exit €40.60 €82.75 €139.37 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €54.90 €111.84 €182.65 41
5Y P/E Exit €38.62 €78.72 €123.77 38
10Y Revenue Exit €39.73 €79.52 €139.15 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €50.80 €100.20 €174.11 37
10Y P/E Exit €40.30 €76.66 €126.56 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €25.06 €110.85 €151.78 54
Lynch FV €28.72 €41.02 €53.33 50
PEG = 1.0 €28.72 €41.02 €53.33 46
EPV €28.02 €35.26 €41.50 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €18.90 €37.66 €57.02 70
DDM Multi-Stage €18.90 €32.54 €39.75 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €58.05 €77.40 €96.75 63
P/S Multiple €46.99 €62.66 €78.32 58
P/B Multiple €46.99 €62.66 €78.32 55
EV/EBIT €62.37 €89.10 €115.83 53
EV/EBITDA €67.11 €95.42 €123.72 54
EV/Revenue €39.42 €63.94 €88.47 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €17.29 €23.16 €34.57 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €44.72 €86.92 €153.84 80
Rev-Margin DCF €40.60 €81.90 €134.44 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €30.60 €34.10 €50.78 76
ROIC Compounder €28.02 €36.01 €51.14 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €47.17 €67.39 €87.60 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€82.75) versus Asset-Based (€23.16). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €4.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.5%
Net margin 4.5%
Return on equity 10.2%
Free cash flow €309M FY2025
P/E ratio 26.6
More key figures
Operating margin 7.3%
EPS (TTM) €3.68
Dividend yield 2.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -37.5%
Net debt €1.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 48
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 52
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 59
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

IMCD N.V. distributes, markets, and sells specialty chemicals and ingredients in the Netherlands, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North America, South America, and the Asia-Pacific.

Full company description

IMCD N.V. distributes, markets, and sells specialty chemicals and ingredients in the Netherlands, rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North America, South America, and the Asia-Pacific. The company provides adhesives, core materials, filler reinforcements, flame retardants, masterbatch, modifiers, operating materials, pigments, plasticizers, processing aids, PUR raw materials, rubber elastomers, solvents, stabilizers, thermoplastic elastomers, thermoplastics, thermoplastics, and other additives. It offers actives, UV sunscreens, rheology modifiers, thickeners, surfactants, emulsifiers, emollients, film formers, humectants, waxes, conditioners, hair styling polymers, solvent, solubilizers, pigments, pearls, powders and colorants, opacifiers, pearlizers, preservatives, antioxidants, fragrances, and essential oils. In addition, the company provides functional fillers, pigments, resins, and specialty solvents; taste, texture, nutrition, and function; and abrasives, acids, alkalines, anti-soil redeposition and foam control systems, bio-actives, biocides, bittering and bleaching agents, builders, capsules, chelating agents, concentrates/ready-to-use, corrosion and dye transfer inhibitors, disintegrants, dispersants, emulsifiers, enzymes, fluorinated polymers, oleo chemicals, optical brighteners, perfumes, dyes, phosphates, plasticisers, proteins, rheology modifiers and thickeners, silicones, solvents/diluents, TAED, UV-filters, and waxes. Further, it offers base oils; lubricants addictive; lubricants finished fluids; fuel additives; solvents, degreasers, and fuel compounds; and upstream, midstream, and downstream oil, gas, and energy. IMCD N.V. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Rotterdam, the Netherlands.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

IMCD N.V reported revenue of €4.8B in FY2025 versus €3.4B in FY2021, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was €218M in FY2025, compounding +1.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€4.8B
Latest YoY
+1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.5%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.0%
Revenue +8.6%/yr
FY21 €3.4B
FY22 €4.6B
FY23 €4.4B
FY24 €4.7B
FY25 €4.8B
Net income +1.2%/yr
FY21 €207M
FY22 €313M
FY23 €292M
FY24 €278M
FY25 €218M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +16.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +9.5 pp

of which total revenue +13.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.6 pp

EBIT margin +4.1 pp
Tax rate −0.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +3.1 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

IMCD screens 21% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "IMCD N.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/IMCD

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 666 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −20% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.63× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 26.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.98× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.26× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 19.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 14.1× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 6 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 18
PAST 41 · sector 23
HEALTH 68 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 39 · sector 25

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $479.43 $222.03 -54%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥75.06 ¥68.03 -9%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 416.10 kr 170.02 -59%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,756 ₹664.51 -76%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,730 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,702 ₹351.84 -79%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 2,160 IDR 2,322 IDR +8%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹559.80 ₹154.46 -72%
Gujarat Fluorochemicals Limited FLUOROCHEM ₹4,566 ₹836.47 -82%
Himadri Speciality Chemical Limited HSCL ₹778.15 ₹248.63 -68%

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Frequently asked questions

Is IMCD N.V (IMCD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €77.40 versus a price of €97.94, about −21% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of IMCD?
Our model-based fair value for IMCD N.V is €77.40 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €97.94.
What is the quality score of IMCD?
IMCD N.V has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of IMCD N.V (IMCD)?
IMCD N.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €4.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of IMCD?
The net profit margin of IMCD N.V is about 4.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does IMCD N.V pay a dividend?
IMCD N.V currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.04% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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