Hedef Holding (HEDEF) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · TR · Market cap 802B TRY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 320.98 TRY to 321.44 TRY (+0.1%) since Aug 8, 2026. Share price +46.2% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 20% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (158.57 TRY to 648.62 TRY). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
57‑month range 0.2235 TRY – 366.00 TRY · fair‑value band 158.57 TRY – 648.62 TRY · the 267.25 TRY price screens below the 321.44 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Hedef Holding (HEDEF) currently trades at 267.25 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 321.44 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 20.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hedef Holding generated revenue of 2.6B TRY at a net margin of 66.0%. It earns a return on equity of 39.9%. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 158.57 TRY (bear case) to 648.62 TRY (bull case); at 267.25 TRY, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -60% fair-value upside, at 20%, HEDEF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (865.93 TRY) versus Asset-Based (61.61 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hedef Holding A.S, an investment company, engages in the investment business in Turkey. The company offers investment consultancy, portfolio management, and corporate finance services to individual and corporate investors; and brokerage services capital market instruments.
Full company description
Hedef Holding A.S, an investment company, engages in the investment business in Turkey. The company offers investment consultancy, portfolio management, and corporate finance services to individual and corporate investors; and brokerage services capital market instruments. It also manages portfolios of domestic and foreign investment funds, investment partnerships, domestic and foreign private and legal entities, and investment companies. The company serves finance, technology, fintech, healthcare, energy, real estate, and other sectors. Hedef Holding A.S was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hedef Holding reported revenue of 2.6B TRY in FY2025 versus 88.7M TRY in FY2021, a compound +133.2%/yr. Reported net income was 1.6B TRY in FY2025, compounding +115.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Asset Management · 690 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BlackRock, Inc BLK | $1,161 | $465.75 | -60% |
| Blackstone Inc BX | $146.41 | $52.88 | -64% |
| Investor AB INVEB | kr 417.90 | kr 835.80 | +100% |
| Brookfield Corporation BN | C$62.41 | C$7.74 | -88% |
| AB Industrivärden INDUA | kr 544.00 | kr 375.93 | -31% |
| ICICIAMC ICICIAMC | ₹3,077 | ₹1,132 | -63% |
| Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN | ₹256.05 | ₹171.84 | -33% |
| Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG | ₹11,579 | ₹11,257 | -3% |
| HDFC Asset Management Company HDFCAMC | ₹2,490 | ₹866.78 | -65% |
| Nippon Life Asset Management Limited NAMINDIA | ₹1,182 | ₹311.00 | -74% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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