GDS Holdings Ltd (GDS) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $6.3B · ISIN US36165L1089
What is GDS Holdings Ltd really worth?
GDS Holdings Ltd
GDS · US
Below-average quality, and trading another 141% above our fair value of $12.89.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −6.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($16.12). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.06 – $80.98 · fair‑value band $9.90 – $16.12 · the $31.12 price screens above the $12.89 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
GDS Holdings Ltd (GDS) currently trades at $31.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.89, implying the stock looks roughly 141.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of $112.24 per share, and 10 of the 13 models we run sit above the $31.12 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $4.08, and 3 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, GDS Holdings Ltd generated revenue of $12.1B at a net margin of 23.5%. Revenue grew 23.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.0%. Net debt stands at $33.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $9.90 (bear case) to $16.12 (bull case); at $31.12, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 69% fair-value upside, at −59%, GDS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.16 per share, which is 9.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($147.33) versus Dividend Discount ($4.08). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
GDS Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and operation of data centers in the People's Republic of China.
Full company description
GDS Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and operation of data centers in the People's Republic of China. It provides colocation services comprising critical facilities space, customer-available power, racks, and cooling; managed hosting services, including business continuity and disaster recovery, network management, data storage, system security, operating system, database, and server middleware services; managed cloud services; and consulting services. The company serves cloud service providers, large Internet companies, financial institutions, telecommunications carriers and IT service providers, large domestic private sector, and multinational corporations. GDS Holdings Limited was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
GDS Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 11.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 7.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound +10.0%/yr. Reported net income was 950M CNY in FY2025.
GDS screens 141% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- GDS Holdings (GDS) Upgraded to Buy: Here's Why
- AI Demand Gives GDS Holdings (GDS) a Bigger Growth Story
- GDS Holdings (GDS) Is Up 7.6% After Raising 2026 Guidance on AI-Driven Data Center Demand
- GDS (GDS) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Peer Group
Information Technology Services · 486 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| International Business Machines Corporation IBM | $235.59 | $175.76 | −25% |
| Accenture plc ACN | $189.61 | $334.27 | +76% |
| Tata Consultancy Services Limited TCS | ₹2,302 | ₹3,473 | +51% |
| Infosys Limited INFY | ₹1,156 | ₹1,958 | +69% |
| HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH | ₹1,282 | ₹1,722 | +34% |
| Fiserv, Inc FI | C$5.13 | C$8.07 | +57% |
| Wipro Limited WIT | $1.83 | $3.51 | +92% |
| Fidelity National Information Services, Inc FIS | $41.34 | $19.28 | −53% |
| Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation CTSH | $64.04 | $132.01 | +106% |
| Capgemini SE CAP | €109.45 | €222.79 | +104% |
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