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PT FAP Agri Tbk (FAPA) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 25.4T IDR

PF PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA · JK
Price7,350 IDR
Fair Value6,420 IDR
Upside-12.7%
Quality68/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
0.96% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Wide moat 72/100
Evidence: High Range 3,378 IDR – 8,025 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 7,463 IDR to 6,420 IDR (−14.0%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price −2.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 13% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (3,378 IDR to 8,025 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

7,550 IDR 2,243 IDR Fair Value 6,420 IDR Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 2,243 IDR – 7,550 IDR · fair‑value band 3,378 IDR – 8,025 IDR · the 7,350 IDR price screens above the 6,420 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

PT FAP Agri Tbk (FAPA) currently trades at 7,350 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 6,420 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 12.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, PT FAP Agri Tbk generated revenue of 7.9T IDR at a net margin of 13.5%. Revenue grew 21.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 31.8%. Net debt stands at 3.6T IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 3,378 IDR (bear case) to 8,025 IDR (bull case); at 7,350 IDR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 104% fair-value upside, at -13%, FAPA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 1,553 IDR 3,495 IDR 7,586 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 1,948 IDR 4,624 IDR 9,649 IDR 74
ROIC Compounder 4,654 IDR 7,463 IDR 10,781 IDR 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1,680 IDR 3,029 IDR 7,442 IDR 38
Owner Earnings 458.93 IDR 1,778 IDR 4,671 IDR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 1,943 IDR 3,980 IDR 8,263 IDR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 5,249 IDR 10,666 IDR 21,327 IDR 41
5Y P/E Exit 3,773 IDR 9,828 IDR 18,210 IDR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 1,818 IDR 5,184 IDR 7,500 IDR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 4,394 IDR 12,469 IDR 27,204 IDR 37
10Y P/E Exit 3,292 IDR 9,215 IDR 19,264 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 2,079 IDR 14,497 IDR 20,345 IDR 54
Lynch FV 5,384 IDR 7,692 IDR 9,999 IDR 50
PEG = 1.0 5,384 IDR 7,692 IDR 9,999 IDR 46
EPV 3,379 IDR 4,067 IDR 4,679 IDR 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 4,815 IDR 6,420 IDR 8,025 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 2,610 IDR 3,480 IDR 4,351 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 3,898 IDR 5,197 IDR 6,496 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 5,794 IDR 7,900 IDR 10,006 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 6,202 IDR 8,444 IDR 10,686 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 1,761 IDR 2,740 IDR 3,719 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 531.56 IDR 712.30 IDR 1,063 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1,553 IDR 3,495 IDR 7,586 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 1,948 IDR 4,624 IDR 9,649 IDR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 2,251 IDR 3,104 IDR 23,975 IDR 61
ROIC Compounder 4,654 IDR 7,463 IDR 10,781 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 6,902 IDR 9,860 IDR 12,818 IDR 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (9,860 IDR) versus Asset-Based (712.30 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 7.9T IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +21.6%
Net margin 13.5%
Return on equity 31.8%
Free cash flow 430B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 24.6
More key figures
Operating margin 20.0%
EPS (TTM) 298.57 IDR
Dividend yield 1.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +3.1%
Net debt 3.6T IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77

Profitability 63
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 78
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 53
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 62
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 98
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT FAP Agri Tbk operates as an oil palm plantation and processing company in Indonesia. It engages in the wholesale of fruit oils, oils, and vegetable fats; agricultural, industrial, and trading activities; and other management consulting activities. The company was founded in 1994 and is based in Jakarta Utara, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT FAP Agri Tbk reported revenue of 7.6T IDR in FY2025 versus 3.4T IDR in FY2021, a compound +22.3%/yr. Reported net income was 1.1T IDR in FY2025, compounding +29.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
7.6T IDR
Latest YoY
+32.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+23.7%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.4%
Revenue +22.3%/yr
FY21 3.4T IDR
FY22 4.8T IDR
FY23 5.1T IDR
FY24 5.7T IDR
FY25 7.6T IDR
Net income +29.0%/yr
FY21 384B IDR
FY22 709B IDR
FY23 154B IDR
FY24 542B IDR
FY25 1.1T IDR

FAPA screens 13% overvalued. Compare with Muyuan Foods Group →

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PT FAP Agri Tbk · Fair Value
6,420 IDR −13%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT FAP Agri Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FAPA

Peer Group

Farm Products · 299 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −13% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 32% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 22% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.78× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 6.87× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.21× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 16 · sector 25
FUTURE 100 · sector 22
PAST 100 · sector 18
HEALTH 61 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 19 · sector 37

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.15 ¥47.42 +18%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,150 IDR 6,818 IDR +116%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 21.90 THB 43.24 THB +97%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,805 IDR 3,087 IDR +71%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,260 IDR 6,974 IDR +209%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,890 IDR 610.80 IDR -68%
PT Nusantara Sawit Sejahtera Tbk NSSS 860.00 IDR 402.24 IDR -53%
PT Sinar Mas Agro Resources and Technology Tbk SMAR 5,625 IDR 16,227 IDR +188%
PT Dharma Satya Nusantara Tbk DSNG 1,320 IDR 2,696 IDR +104%
PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk AALI 7,175 IDR 16,058 IDR +124%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT FAP Agri Tbk (FAPA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 6,420 IDR versus a price of 7,350 IDR, about −13% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FAPA?
Our model-based fair value for PT FAP Agri Tbk is 6,420 IDR (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 7,350 IDR.
What is the quality score of FAPA?
PT FAP Agri Tbk has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT FAP Agri Tbk (FAPA)?
PT FAP Agri Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.9T IDR (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FAPA?
The net profit margin of PT FAP Agri Tbk is about 13.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does PT FAP Agri Tbk pay a dividend?
PT FAP Agri Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.96% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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