EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING AG (EMSN) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CH · Market cap CHF 17.2B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Share price +4.1% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 64% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 82/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 349.68). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 531.50 – CHF 953.44 · fair‑value band CHF 219.57 – CHF 349.68 · the CHF 794.00 price screens above the CHF 284.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING AG (EMSN) currently trades at CHF 794.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 284.63, implying the stock looks roughly 64.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 82/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING AG generated revenue of CHF 2.0B at a net margin of 23.7%. Revenue declined 5.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of CHF 571M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from CHF 219.57 (bear case) to CHF 349.68 (bull case); at CHF 794.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -68% fair-value upside, at -64%, EMSN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (CHF 296.54) versus Asset-Based (CHF 53.14). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 80 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING AG engages in the polymers and specialty chemicals businesses in the Americas, Europe, Asia, and internationally.
Full company description
EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING AG engages in the polymers and specialty chemicals businesses in the Americas, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It is involved in the manufacturing and supply of high-performance polyamide granulate, as well as develops, produces, and sells fibers, fusible adhesives, and adhesive yarns for technical and textile applications, powder coatings, and reactive diluents. The company also offers bonding, coating, sealing, and damping systems; and hotmelt adhesives, crosslinkers, epoxy systems, technical fibers, adhesion promoters, and fusible bonding yarns and granules. It serves automotive, electro and electronic, industry and consumer goods, optic, and packaging markets. EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING AG was founded in 1936 and is based in Domat/Ems, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
EMS-CHEMIE HOLDING AG reported revenue of CHF 2.0B in FY2025 versus CHF 2.3B in FY2021, a compound −3.6%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 467M in FY2025, compounding −4.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +0.5 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
EMSN screens 64% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →
Peer Group
Specialty Chemicals · 666 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $479.43 | $222.03 | -54% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥75.06 | ¥68.03 | -9% |
| Novozymes A/S NSISB | kr 416.10 | kr 170.02 | -59% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,756 | ₹664.51 | -76% |
| Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS | ₹18,730 | ₹2,793 | -85% |
| Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND | ₹1,702 | ₹351.84 | -79% |
| PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA | 2,160 IDR | 2,322 IDR | +8% |
| Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT | ₹559.80 | ₹154.46 | -72% |
| Gujarat Fluorochemicals Limited FLUOROCHEM | ₹4,566 | ₹836.47 | -82% |
| Himadri Speciality Chemical Limited HSCL | ₹778.15 | ₹248.63 | -68% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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