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Telefónica Chile S.A (CTC) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · CL · Market cap 483B CLP

TC Telefónica Chile S.A CTC · SN
Price392.00 CLP
Fair Value561.45 CLP
Upside+43.2%
Quality34/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -7.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/8)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: Low Range 413.19 CLP – 709.71 CLP Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated yesterday

Below-average quality, screening 43% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (34/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (413.19 CLP). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

432.09 CLP 115.56 CLP Fair Value 561.45 CLP Jun 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 115.56 CLP – 432.09 CLP · fair‑value band 413.19 CLP – 709.71 CLP · the 392.00 CLP price screens below the 561.45 CLP fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Telefónica Chile S.A (CTC) currently trades at 392.00 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 561.45 CLP, implying the stock looks roughly 43.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Telefónica Chile S.A generated revenue of 930B CLP at a net margin of -7.1%. Revenue grew 23.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.8%. Net debt stands at 41.2B CLP. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 413.19 CLP (bear case) to 709.71 CLP (bull case); at 392.00 CLP, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 14% fair-value upside, at 43%, CTC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM 117.75 CLP 129.50 CLP 147.55 CLP 70
DDM Multi-Stage 117.75 CLP 150.28 CLP 197.33 CLP 61
EV/EBITDA 525.70 CLP 673.97 CLP 822.23 CLP 54
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 117.75 CLP 129.50 CLP 147.55 CLP 70
DDM Multi-Stage 117.75 CLP 150.28 CLP 197.33 CLP 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 525.70 CLP 673.97 CLP 822.23 CLP 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 363.81 CLP 487.51 CLP 727.63 CLP 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (673.97 CLP) versus Dividend Discount (129.50 CLP). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 930B CLP
Revenue growth (YoY) +23.1%
Net margin -7.1%
Return on equity -5.8%
Free cash flow −14.7B CLP FY2025
Operating margin 5.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -50.80 CLP
EPS growth (YoY) +554%
Net debt 41.2B CLP FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 19
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 65
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Telefónica Chile S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a telecommunication company in Chile. The company operates through Telephony and fixed broadband, Data services and technological solutions for companies, and Others segments.

Full company description

Telefónica Chile S.A., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a telecommunication company in Chile. The company operates through Telephony and fixed broadband, Data services and technological solutions for companies, and Others segments. It offers basic telephony services, dedicated lines, line connections and installations, value-added services, broadband, international long-distance services, marketing of terminal equipment and leasing of circuit media of terminal equipment, rental of means of circuits, and others. The company also engages in the provision of business communication services; data transmission services; the sale and rental of communication equipment; telecommunications; and the sale and lease of networks. In addition, it provides multimedia services, such as the development, installation, maintenance, marketing, and operation of satellite television services; broadband; multi-channel paid services; video on demand; and interactive or multimedia television services. Further, the company offers logistics, personnel, and administration services. Additionally, it provides stream live and play games without interruption services, as well as other related services in the fields of connectivity, cloud, security, big data, IoT, and digital workplace. The company was formerly known as Compañía de Telecomunicaciones de Chile S.A. and changed its name to Telefónica Chile S.A. in April 2009. Telefónica Chile S.A. was founded in 1880 and is based in Santiago, Chile. Telefónica Chile S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Telefonica Moviles Chile S.A.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Telefónica Chile S.A reported revenue of 882B CLP in FY2025 versus 809B CLP in FY2021, a compound +2.2%/yr. Reported net income was −64.4B CLP in FY2025.

Growth Quality 16/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
882B CLP
Latest YoY
−4.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.2%
Revenue +2.2%/yr
FY21 809B CLP
FY22 918B CLP
FY23 963B CLP
FY24 925B CLP
FY25 882B CLP
Net income
FY21 314B CLP
FY22 50.1B CLP
FY23 −7.6B CLP
FY24 −63.9B CLP
FY25 −64.4B CLP

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Telefónica Chile S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CTC

Peer Group

Telecom Services · 253 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +43% · Above median
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 23% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 91 · sector 27
FUTURE 100 · sector 15
PAST 0 · sector 27
HEALTH 100 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 71

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Telecom Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Mobile Limited 600941 ¥96.11 ¥109.88 +14%
Bharti Airtel Limited BHARTIARTL ₹1,945 ₹941.55 -52%
China Telecom Corporation 601728 ¥6.43 ¥8.36 +30%
América Móvil, S.A. AMXB 23.07 MXN 30.35 MXN +32%
Vodafone Group VODN 259.50 MXN 494.99 MXN +91%
Advanced Info Service Public Company ADVANC 374.00 THB 286.77 THB -23%
Chunghwa Telecom Co 2412 136.00 TWD 100.00 TWD -26%
TLKM TLKM 2,590 IDR 3,898 IDR +50%
PT Indoritel Makmur Internasional Tbk., DNET 9,500 IDR 1,503 IDR -84%
SK Telecom Co 017670 91,100 KRW 41,693 KRW -54%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Telefónica Chile S.A (CTC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 561.45 CLP versus a price of 392.00 CLP, about +43% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CTC?
Our model-based fair value for Telefónica Chile S.A is 561.45 CLP (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 392.00 CLP.
What is the quality score of CTC?
Telefónica Chile S.A has a Quality Score of 34/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Telefónica Chile S.A (CTC)?
Telefónica Chile S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 930B CLP (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CTC?
The net profit margin of Telefónica Chile S.A is about -7.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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