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ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc (CNTM) Fair Value & Analysis

Information Technology · US · Market cap $42.9M · ISIN US2079441091

What is ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc really worth?

CT ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc logo ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc CNTM · US
Price$5.25
Fair Value$6.46
Upside+23.1%
Quality38/100

Below-average quality, trading 19% below our fair value of $6.46.

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Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +32.4 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -46.2% net margin
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/9)
!Narrow moat 0/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range $5.09 – $7.83

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +2.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
  • The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
  • Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

$79.68 $0.0035 Fair Value $6.46 Jul 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

50‑month range $0.0035 – $79.68 · fair‑value band $5.09 – $7.83 · the $5.25 price screens below the $6.46 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc (CNTM) currently trades at $5.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.46, implying the stock looks roughly 18.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Information Technology sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 82/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Over the trailing twelve months, ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc generated revenue of $35.0M at a net margin of −46.2%. Revenue declined 9.1% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $2.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $5.09 (bear case) to $7.83 (bull case); at $5.25, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Information Technology peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 23%, CNTM screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings best evidence $5.13 $8.94 $15.60 69
EV/EBITDA $5.99 $7.60 $9.21 67
All 2 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings best evidence $5.13 $8.94 $15.60 69
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $5.99 $7.60 $9.21 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($8.94) versus Multiples ($7.60). Highest evidence: Owner Earnings (69).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 1.22 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−7.04
Net margin −45.3% FY2025
Return on assets (EBIT) −225% avg 5y
Operating margin −39.5% TTM
Revenue (TTM) $35.0M TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY) −9.1% 3y avg +32.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$9.8B FY2025
Net cash $2.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 43
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 65
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

ConnectM Technology Solutions, Inc. provides a digital platform for the electrification and decarbonization of homeowners in the United States and India. It operates through Owned Service Network, Managed Solutions, Logistics, Transportation, Distributed Energy & Renewables segments.

Full company description

ConnectM Technology Solutions, Inc. provides a digital platform for the electrification and decarbonization of homeowners in the United States and India. It operates through Owned Service Network, Managed Solutions, Logistics, Transportation, Distributed Energy & Renewables segments. The Owned Service Network segment, consists of owned service providers who serve as a single point solution provider for enterprises, infrastructure providers, homeowners, and light commercial building owners for their electrification and decarbonization needs, including system design, installation, monitoring, maintenance and repair; and uses a technology platform, which provides maintenance, repair, and installation guidance and optimization. The Managed solutions segment provides third party residential and light commercial service. The logistics segment focuses on the facilitation of business-to-business transportation of heavy goods using last-mile delivery software. The Transportation segment focuses on the sale of hardware, software and technical services for electric vehicles to original equipment manufacturers. The Distributed Energy & Renewables segments focuses on the delivery of solar energy and distributed energy solutions. It also provides electrification and decarbonization applications for residential and light commercial buildings; and OEMs offers smart features to their end customers. In addition, the company offers heat pumps, highly efficient air conditioners, fuel-efficient heating systems; solar roof, battery storage, electric vehicles, weatherization, HVAC, solar, battery, and EV charger installation. It serves service providers and end customers. ConnectM Technology Solutions, Inc. was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Marlborough, Massachusetts.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc reported revenue of $35.8M in FY2025 versus $4.3M in FY2021, a compound +69.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$16.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$35.8M
Latest YoY
+58.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+32.4%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +69.5%/yr
FY21 $4.3M
FY22 $15.4M
FY23 $20.0M
FY24 $22.7M
FY25 $35.8M
Net income
FY21 −$3.4M
FY22 −$3.5M
FY23 −$9.1M
FY24 −$22.6M
FY25 −$16.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CNTM

Peer Group

IT Services · 37 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Below median
Fair Value upside +23% · Top 25%
Return on assets −29% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −46% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −39% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth −9% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs IT Services median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 1.22× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE64 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST0 · sector 15
HEALTH100 · sector 100
DIVIDEND0 · sector 5

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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SOFTSOL SOFTSOL ₹193.45 ₹69.00 −64%
ITCONS ITCONS ₹251.00 ₹104.00 −59%
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CNINFOTECH CNINFOTECH ₹88.53 ₹138.32 +56%
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Frequently asked questions

Is ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc (CNTM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.46 versus a price of $5.25, about +23% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CNTM?
Our model-based fair value for ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc is $6.46 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.25.
What is the quality score of CNTM?
ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc (CNTM)?
ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $35.0M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CNTM?
The net profit margin of ConnectM Technology Solutions Inc is about −46.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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