Ceinsys Tech Ltd (CEINSYSTECH) Fair Value & Analysis
Information Technology · IN · Market cap ₹18.1B (≈ $192M) · ISIN INE016Q01014
What is Ceinsys Tech Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 16% above our fair value of ₹586.06.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin.
- The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹114.86 – ₹2,007 · fair‑value band ₹439.36 – ₹736.52 · the ₹678.00 price screens above the ₹586.06 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Ceinsys Tech Ltd (CEINSYSTECH) currently trades at ₹678.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹586.06, implying the stock looks roughly 15.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Information Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹1,146 per share, and 8 of the 17 models we run sit above the ₹678.00 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹154.68, and 9 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Ceinsys Tech Ltd generated revenue of ₹6.3B at a net margin of 18.7%. Revenue grew 52.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 23.3%. Net debt stands at ₹282M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹439.36 (bear case) to ₹736.52 (bull case); at ₹678.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Information Technology peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −14%, CEINSYSTECH screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 12 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹59.61 per share, which is 10.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (₹1,146) versus Dividend Discount (₹36.81). Highest evidence: EPV (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ceinsys Tech Ltd reported revenue of ₹4.2B in FY2025 versus ₹1.9B in FY2021, a compound +22.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹632M in FY2025, compounding +137.3%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
CEINSYSTECH screens 16% overvalued. Compare with 532755 →
Peer Group
IT Services · 37 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs IT Services median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more IT Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 532755 532755 | ₹1,586 | ₹922.45 | −42% |
| BLUECLOUDS BLUECLOUDS | ₹22.11 | ₹16.20 | −27% |
| DANLAW DANLAW | ₹1,679 | ₹1,322 | −21% |
| ConnectM Technology Solutions, Inc CNTM | $4.50 | $7.60 | +69% |
| SOFTSOL SOFTSOL | ₹193.45 | ₹69.00 | −64% |
| ITCONS ITCONS | ₹251.00 | ₹104.00 | −59% |
| ALPHALOGIC ALPHALOGIC | ₹42.22 | ₹13.55 | −68% |
| CNINFOTECH CNINFOTECH | ₹88.53 | ₹138.32 | +56% |
| Data Storage Corporation DTSTW | $0.0771 | $0.0776 | +1% |
| CRESSAN CRESSAN | ₹2.74 | ₹0.8200 | −70% |
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