Akzo Nobel NV (AKZA) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · NL · Market cap €9.8B · ISIN NL0013267909
What is Akzo Nobel NV really worth?
A solid business, but trading 47% above our fair value of €41.45.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 13 days ago
Share price −3.6% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (€25.59 to €65.13) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €45.91 – €92.28 · fair‑value band €25.59 – €65.13 · the €60.74 price screens above the €41.45 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
Analysis
Akzo Nobel NV (AKZA) currently trades at €60.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €41.45, implying the stock looks roughly 46.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €56.40 per share, and 3 of the 24 models we run sit above the €60.74 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at €16.68, and 21 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Akzo Nobel NV generated revenue of €9.9B at a net margin of 6.3%. Revenue declined 8.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.2%. Net debt stands at €3.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €25.59 (bear case) to €65.13 (bull case); at €60.74, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −58% fair-value upside, at −32%, AKZA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly €1.11 per share, which is 2.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€56.40) versus Earnings-Based (€16.68). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Akzo Nobel N.V. produces and sells paints and coatings worldwide. It operates through Decorative Paints and Performance Coatings segments. The company offers decorative paints, including paints, enamels, varnishes, and surface preparation products; and a range of mixing machines, color concepts and advice, and training for applicators.
Full company description
Akzo Nobel N.V. produces and sells paints and coatings worldwide. It operates through Decorative Paints and Performance Coatings segments. The company offers decorative paints, including paints, enamels, varnishes, and surface preparation products; and a range of mixing machines, color concepts and advice, and training for applicators. It also provides performance coatings that produces engineered coatings designed to deliver functional properties, such as corrosion and fouling control, anti-scratch performance, and fire protection to protect and enhance ships, cars, aircraft, yachts, and architectural components, consumer goods, and oil and gas facilities. The company offers its products under the AkzoNobel, Alabastine, Alba, Andercol, Apla, Armstead Trade, Astral, Astral Batiment, AwlGrip, Brikol, Bruguer, Cetabever, Cetol, Chemcraft, Colourland Paints, CONSOLAN, Coral, Cromadex, Cuprinol, Dulux, Dynacoat, Flexa, Glitsa, Grip-Gard, Hammerite, Herbol, Inca, Innenweis, Interlux, International, Interpon, Lesonal, Levis, Luxol, Mactra, Marshall, Mauvilac, Maxilite, Modern Classikk, Molto, Nordsjo, Oxirite, Pintuco, Pinotex, Polycell, Polyfilla, Procolor, Protecto, Relest, Resicoat, Sadolin, Salcomix, Savana, Sea Hawk, Sikkens, Sparlack, Taubmans, Titanlux, Trimetal, U-Tech, Vivechrom, VPowdertech, Wanda, Xyladecor, and Xylazel brands. The company serves energy, packaging, infrastructure, and shipbuilding and maintenance industries, as well as general industries, such as agricultural and construction equipment, construction-related steel, metal fabrication, pipes, appliances, and transportation. The company was formerly known as Akzo NV and changed its name to Akzo Nobel N.V. in 1994. Akzo Nobel N.V. was founded in 1646 and is headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Akzo Nobel NV reported revenue of €10.2B in FY2025 versus €9.6B in FY2021, a compound +1.5%/yr. Reported net income was €635M in FY2025, compounding −6.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −3.5 % · buybacks/dilution +2.9 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
AKZA screens 47% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Akzo Nobel (ENXTAM:AKZA) Stock May Be 42% Undervalued As Merger Board Takes Shape
- AKZOY vs. APD: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
- Glass Flake Coatings Competitive Landscape: Akzo Nobel, PPG, Sherwin-Williams and Jotun Advance Sustainable Solutions
- AKZOY or APD: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
Peer Group
Specialty Chemicals · 695 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $485.35 | $222.03 | −54% |
| The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW | $344.86 | $143.38 | −58% |
| Ecolab Inc ECL | $286.75 | $96.18 | −66% |
| Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD | $308.09 | $122.14 | −60% |
| Givaudan SA GIVN | CHF 3,282 | CHF 1,498 | −54% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥77.66 | ¥68.03 | −12% |
| 500820 500820 | ₹2,757 | ₹557.43 | −80% |
| Novozymes A/S NSISB | kr 456.40 | kr 169.99 | −63% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,630 | ₹696.23 | −74% |
| PPG Industries, Inc PPG | $114.22 | $71.31 | −38% |
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