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1SIE Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · IT · Market cap €214B

1 1SIE 1SIE · MI
Price€283.95
Fair Value€91.93
Upside-67.6%
Quality60/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 9.7% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.93% dividend yield
Moderate moat 46/100
Evidence: Medium Range €65.95 – €144.56 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +5.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 68% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€144.56). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (€65.95 to €144.56) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€288.00 €84.88 Fair Value €91.93 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €84.88 – €288.00 · fair‑value band €65.95 – €144.56 · the €283.95 price screens above the €91.93 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

1SIE (1SIE) currently trades at €283.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €91.93, implying the stock looks roughly 67.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, 1SIE generated revenue of €79.7B at a net margin of 9.7%. It earns a return on equity of 12.6%. Net debt stands at €38.3B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 29.3. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €65.95 (bear case) to €144.56 (bull case); at €283.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -68%, 1SIE screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €126.30 €194.07 €290.67 80
Residual Income €86.88 €113.85 €337.64 76
Rev-Margin DCF €71.48 €118.40 €168.60 74
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €120.65 €192.16 €298.05 38
Owner Earnings €117.05 €186.92 €290.37 31
5Y Revenue Exit €71.48 €116.02 €169.59 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €60.45 €96.61 €135.64 41
5Y P/E Exit €93.73 €155.21 €215.43 38
10Y Revenue Exit €85.35 €128.77 €180.13 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €80.91 €115.41 €155.04 37
10Y P/E Exit €102.10 €155.73 €214.00 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €85.76 €188.19 €239.85 54
PEG = 1.0 €29.84 €42.63 €55.42 46
EPV €57.66 €74.28 €89.05 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple €132.43 €176.57 €220.72 63
P/S Multiple €93.11 €124.15 €155.19 58
P/B Multiple €110.17 €146.89 €183.61 55
EV/EBIT €52.89 €82.69 €112.49 53
EV/EBITDA €37.13 €61.67 €86.22 54
EV/Revenue €50.40 €87.64 €124.89 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €40.80 €54.68 €81.61 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €126.30 €194.07 €290.67 80
Rev-Margin DCF €71.48 €118.40 €168.60 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €86.88 €113.85 €337.64 76
ROIC Compounder €57.66 €74.28 €93.78 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €101.32 €144.75 €188.17 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€144.75) versus Asset-Based (€54.68). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €79.7B
Net margin 9.7%
Return on equity 12.6%
Free cash flow €10.8B FY2025
P/E ratio 29.3
Operating margin 12.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €9.68
Dividend yield 1.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -8.6%
Net debt €38.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 60
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 77
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Siemens Aktiengesellschaft, a technology company, focuses in the areas of automation and digitalization across the world. It operates through Digital Industries, Smart Infrastructure, Mobility, Siemens Healthineers, and Siemens Financial Services (SFS) segments.

Full company description

Siemens Aktiengesellschaft, a technology company, focuses in the areas of automation and digitalization across the world. It operates through Digital Industries, Smart Infrastructure, Mobility, Siemens Healthineers, and Siemens Financial Services (SFS) segments. The Digital Industries segment provides automation systems and software for factories, numerical control systems, servo motors, drives and inverters, and integrated automation systems for machine tools and production machines; process control systems, machine-to-machine communication products, sensors and radio frequency identification systems; production and product lifecycle management software, and simulation and testing of mechatronic system. The Smart Infrastructure segment offers products, systems, solutions, services, and software to support sustainable transition from fossil and renewable energy sources; sustainable buildings and communities; and buildings, electrification, and electrical products. The Mobility segment provides rail passenger and freight transportation, such as metro systems, trams and light rail, and commuter trains, as well as trains and passenger coaches; locomotives and solutions for automated transportation and leasing; products and solutions for rail automation and electrification; maintenance and digital services; and digital and cloud-based solutions, and related services. The Siemens Healthineers segment develops, manufactures, and sells various diagnostic and therapeutic products and services; and provides clinical consulting and training services. Its financial services segment offers debt and equity investments; leasing, lending, and working capital; structured, equipment, and project financing; and financial advisory services. It has strategic collaboration with IFS to improve product lifecycle with industrial AI. The company was founded in 1847 and is headquartered in Munich, Germany.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

1SIE reported revenue of €78.9B in FY2025 versus €72.0B in FY2022, a compound +3.1%/yr. Reported net income was €9.6B in FY2025, compounding +37.2%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 69/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€78.9B
Latest YoY
+3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.1%
Revenue +3.1%/yr
FY22 €72.0B
FY23 €74.9B
FY24 €75.9B
FY25 €78.9B
Net income +37.2%/yr
FY22 €3.7B
FY23 €7.9B
FY24 €8.3B
FY25 €9.6B

1SIE screens 68% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "1SIE Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/1SIE

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Cummins India Limited CUMMINSIND ₹5,315 ₹1,355 -75%
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Frequently asked questions

Is 1SIE overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €91.93 versus a price of €283.95, about −68% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 1SIE?
Our model-based fair value for 1SIE is €91.93 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €283.95.
What is the quality score of 1SIE?
1SIE has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of 1SIE?
1SIE reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €79.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 1SIE?
The net profit margin of 1SIE is about 9.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does 1SIE pay a dividend?
1SIE currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.93% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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