Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology Co Ltd (002709) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 73.4B CNY (≈ $11.0B) · ISIN CNE100001RG4
What is Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology Co Ltd really worth?
A solid business, but trading 198% above our fair value of ¥11.36.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −8.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥14.20). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥7.44 to ¥14.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥12.80 – ¥78.24 · fair‑value band ¥7.44 – ¥14.20 · the ¥33.83 price screens above the ¥11.36 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology Co Ltd (002709) currently trades at ¥33.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.36, implying the stock looks roughly 197.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥25.83 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥33.83 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥2.22, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology Co Ltd generated revenue of 19.8B CNY at a net margin of 14.5%. Revenue grew 91.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.4%. Net debt stands at 182M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥7.44 (bear case) to ¥14.20 (bull case); at ¥33.83, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 106% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −58% fair-value upside, at −66%, 002709 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.8085 per share, which is 7.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥25.83) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.22). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of fine chemical materials in China and internationally.
Full company description
Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of fine chemical materials in China and internationally. The company offers personal care products, including shampoo, conditioner, shower gel, hand sanitizer, skin care, and disinfection and sanitization products; rheology and sensory modifier, mild and mild taurate surfactant, silicone, emulsifier, cationic conditioner, suspending stabilizer, natural methyl glucoside derivative, chelating agent, naturally derived preservative, and UV filters; makeup products, such as skin feel conditioner-silicone elastomer gel, carbohydrate thickener, and film former; and household cleaning and pet care products, which include amino acid and amphoteric mild surfactant, conditioner, and thickener. It also provides lithium-ion and sodium-ion battery electrolytes; electrolytes and additives; solid electrolyte; cathode materials; and specialty chemicals. In addition, the company offers lithium battery recycling, personal care, and battery materials solutions. The company serves the papermaking, construction, pesticides, oil fields, organosilicon products, rubber and plastics, printing, and dyeing industries. Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is based in Guangzhou, China
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of 16.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 11.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was 1.4B CNY in FY2025, compounding −11.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +32.7 % · buybacks/dilution −1.5 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
002709 screens 198% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →
Peer Group
Specialty Chemicals · 695 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $485.35 | $222.03 | −54% |
| The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW | $344.86 | $143.38 | −58% |
| Ecolab Inc ECL | $286.75 | $96.18 | −66% |
| Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD | $308.09 | $122.14 | −60% |
| Givaudan SA GIVN | CHF 3,282 | CHF 1,498 | −54% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥77.66 | ¥68.03 | −12% |
| 500820 500820 | ₹2,757 | ₹557.43 | −80% |
| Novozymes A/S NSISB | kr 456.40 | kr 169.99 | −63% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,630 | ₹696.23 | −74% |
| PPG Industries, Inc PPG | $114.22 | $71.31 | −38% |
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