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Expro Group Holdings NV (XPRO) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $1.8B · ISIN NL0010556684

What is Expro Group Holdings NV really worth?

EG Expro Group Holdings NV logo Expro Group Holdings NV XPRO · US
Price$17.90
Fair Value$7.75
Upside−56.7%
Quality53/100

A solid business, but trading 131% above our fair value of $7.75.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +18.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.3% net margin
!Trails peers (4/15)
!Narrow moat 28/100
!Weak on past: 10 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 12 out of 100
Evidence: High Range $5.81 – $9.69

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +6.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($9.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$24.83 $6.91 Fair Value $7.75 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $6.91 – $24.83 · fair‑value band $5.81 – $9.69 · the $17.90 price screens above the $7.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Expro Group Holdings NV (XPRO) currently trades at $17.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.75, implying the stock looks roughly 130.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $15.29 per share, and 2 of the 26 models we run sit above the $17.90 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $1.23, and 24 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Expro Group Holdings NV generated revenue of $1.6B at a net margin of 2.3%. Revenue declined 6.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.4%. Net debt stands at $27.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $5.81 (bear case) to $9.69 (bull case); at $17.90, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 118% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −57%, XPRO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.2174 per share, which is 2.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $9.90 $15.29 $23.26 80
Growth DCF $9.81 $14.64 $21.41 78
Owner Earnings $12.95 $20.19 $30.90 76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $9.90 $15.29 $23.26 80
Owner Earnings $12.95 $20.19 $30.90 76
5Y Revenue Exit $9.99 $16.21 $24.49 72
5Y EBITDA Exit $11.26 $18.77 $27.98 74
5Y P/E Exit $7.08 $10.36 $13.93 71
10Y Revenue Exit $9.58 $15.08 $23.18 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $10.60 $16.77 $25.79 67
10Y P/E Exit $8.09 $11.22 $15.30 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3.10 $13.20 $18.03 64
Lynch FV $3.37 $4.81 $6.26 61
PEG = 1.0 $3.37 $4.81 $6.26 57
EPV $6.77 $7.55 $8.20 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.7500 $1.35 $1.85 68
DDM Multi-Stage $0.7500 $1.23 $1.44 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $4.79 $6.38 $7.98 63
P/S Multiple $5.81 $7.75 $9.69 58
P/B Multiple $5.81 $7.75 $9.69 55
EV/EBIT $8.70 $11.26 $13.81 66
EV/EBITDA $13.26 $17.34 $21.41 67
EV/Revenue $10.34 $14.32 $18.31 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.76 $9.06 $13.53 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $9.81 $14.64 $21.41 78
Rev-Margin DCF $9.99 $16.10 $23.79 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income $9.28 $8.81 $6.98 76
ROIC Compounder $6.77 $7.55 $8.20 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $4.59 $6.56 $8.52 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($15.29) versus Dividend Discount ($1.23). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 55.9
P/S ratio 1.80 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.3200 price ÷ EPS = P/E 55.9
Dividend yield 0.6% payout 33.3%
Net margin 3.2% FY2025
Return on equity 2.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.9% avg 5y
Operating margin 1.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.6B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −6.0% 3y avg +7.9%
EPS growth (YoY) −74.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $97.8M FY2025
Net debt $27.1M FY2025 · ≈ 0.3 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 44
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 90
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 72
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Expro Group Holdings N.V. provides energy services in North and Latin America, Europe and Sub-Saharan Africa, the Middle East and North Africa, and the Asia-Pacific.

Full company description

Expro Group Holdings N.V. provides energy services in North and Latin America, Europe and Sub-Saharan Africa, the Middle East and North Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. It provides well construction products and services, such as technology solutions in tubular running services, tubular products, cementing, drilling, and wellbore cleanup; and well management services comprising well flow management, subsea well access, and well intervention and integrity solutions. The company serves exploration and production companies in onshore and offshore environments. Expro Group Holdings N.V. was founded in 1938 and is based in Houston, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Expro Group Holdings NV reported revenue of $1.6B in FY2025 versus $826M in FY2021, a compound +18.1%/yr. Reported net income was $51.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.6B
Latest YoY
−6.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (14Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.3%
Revenue +18.1%/yr
FY21 $826M
FY22 $1.3B
FY23 $1.5B
FY24 $1.7B
FY25 $1.6B
Net income
FY21 −$132M
FY22 −$20.1M
FY23 −$23.4M
FY24 $51.9M
FY25 $51.7M

XPRO screens 131% overvalued. Compare with SLB N.V →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Expro Group Holdings NV Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/XPRO

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 185 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside −57% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth −6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.05× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 55.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.14× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.11× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 17.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 5.5× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.00× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST10 · sector 29
HEALTH97 · sector 92
DIVIDEND12 · sector 36

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SLB N.V SLB $57.33 $28.66 −50%
Baker Hughes Company BKR $64.63 $32.40 −50%
TechnipFMC plc FTI $75.27 $27.43 −64%
Halliburton Company HAL $36.18 $21.50 −41%
Tenaris S.A TS $53.09 $45.68 −14%
Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 ¥144.58 ¥34.17 −76%
Saipem SpA SPM €4.57 €2.72 −40%
Subsea 7 S.A SUBC kr 341.20 kr 221.37 −35%
China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 ¥12.31 ¥12.64 +3%
Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT €211.80 €95.01 −55%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Expro Group Holdings NV (XPRO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.75 versus a price of $17.90, about −57% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of XPRO?
Our model-based fair value for Expro Group Holdings NV is $7.75 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $17.90.
What is the quality score of XPRO?
Expro Group Holdings NV has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Expro Group Holdings NV (XPRO)?
Expro Group Holdings NV reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.6B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of XPRO?
The net profit margin of Expro Group Holdings NV is about 2.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Expro Group Holdings NV pay a dividend?
Expro Group Holdings NV currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.60% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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